I was thinking about this, not sure what the outcome should be
I was thinking about this, not sure what the outcome should be
2026-06-05 · Kalshi · 36 条相关讨论
I was thinking about this, not sure what the outcome should be
I was thinking about this, not sure what the outcome should be
After looking at it for the past day I'm pretty sure it should be N.
After looking at it for the past day I'm pretty sure it should be N.
The idea was that Trump would formally announce him today
The idea was that Trump would formally announce him today
That was my reasoning for why it hadn't resolved yet
That was my reasoning for why it hadn't resolved yet
It's arguably not an "official announcement" (very subjective), though he did announce his intention to
It's arguably not an "official announcement" (very subjective), though he did announce his intention to
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This is basically equivalent to Trump telling Todd he's going to nominate him, and making him feel good by including all his friends at the white house
This is basically equivalent to Trump telling Todd he's going to nominate him, and making him feel good by including all his friends at the white house
an official announcement is given to the public
an official announcement is given to the public
Since it says "official announcement", I lean no ig.
Since it says "official announcement", I lean no ig.
If it said "announces" I would count it tbh
If it said "announces" I would count it tbh
based
based
But it definitely wasn't leaked or anything
But it definitely wasn't leaked or anything
its def N imo
its def N imo
And it was qualifying statement
And it was qualifying statement
Just about setting
Just about setting
edited: The "Before Jun 5th" strike was added amidst the media leaks yesterday surrounding Trump's potential announcement. If this market was left open with the knowledge that the criterion had already been met by the dinner "announcement", it would be quite negligent to not resolve all brackets Yes already. It was expected, that when Trump said he would begin the formal process "tomorrow", that we would receive the official nomination along with it on Thursday. However, it didn't happen, and so the strike went dead. Trump may have changed his mind, or the process of his official announcement simply hasn't started yet. I'm just saying, it's going to look really bad for Kalshi if this market goes YES when Trump does the official Truth Social nomination next week for Blanche, or even worse, for someone else, or at a much later time.
edited: The "Before Jun 5th" strike was added amidst the media leaks yesterday surrounding Trump's potential announcement. If this market was left open with the knowledge that the criterion had already been met by the dinner "announcement", it would be quite negligent to not resolve all brackets Yes already. It was expected, that when Trump said he would begin the formal process "tomorrow", that we would receive the official nomination along with it on Thursday. However, it didn't happen, and so the strike went dead. Trump may have changed his mind, or the process of his official announcement simply hasn't started yet. I'm just saying, it's going to look really bad for Kalshi if this market goes YES when Trump does the official Truth Social nomination next week for Blanche, or even worse, for someone else, or at a much later time.
Not really
Not really
The guy isnt even named in the 5 second clip
The guy isnt even named in the 5 second clip
You have to use inference to even figure out who he's talking about
You have to use inference to even figure out who he's talking about
I think if he said that live it would definitely count -- he announced his intention for formally nominate him as permanent AG
I think if he said that live it would definitely count -- he announced his intention for formally nominate him as permanent AG