秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Predict.fun 积分 PP 估值与空投预期计算

2026-06-08 · Predict · 31 条相关讨论

Lol 2026-06-07 21:27:41

Still they are teasing since October 2025

Still they are teasing since October 2025

Lol 2026-06-08 00:27:04

I remember that cto video in 2025... Did they teasing from 2024? 🥲

I remember that cto video in 2025... Did they teasing from 2024? 🥲

Lol 2026-06-08 00:27:39

That doesn't mean they are not milking the users

That doesn't mean they are not milking the users

serhii 2026-06-08 00:34:10

Solid And what price of pp do you expect?

Solid And what price of pp do you expect?

Lol 2026-06-08 00:38:35

0.2$

0.2$

Lol 2026-06-08 00:38:53

Atleast

Atleast

totoLolo 2026-06-08 15:58:08

I think the PP value would be around $0.10 per PP. According to Polymarket and Aspecta, the FDV is expected to be around $500 million. The TGE is currently expected to take place between September and December 2026 on Polymarket (although liquidity is low, a one-year period between launch and TGE seems reasonable). Based on that timeline, we could expect roughly 500 million PP to be emitted (about 52 weeks at slightly less than 10 million PP per week). The airdrop allocation is completely unknown. I consider 10% a reasonable base-case assumption. 5% or less would seem unfair to liquidity providers who have been farming for a full year, especially since the platform relies on them. On the other hand, 20% or more appears unlikely. Under these assumptions, the airdrop would be worth $50 million (10% of a $500 million FDV). Dividing that by 500 million PP results in a value of approximately $0.10 per PP. What do you think?

I think the PP value would be around $0.10 per PP. According to Polymarket and Aspecta, the FDV is expected to be around $500 million. The TGE is currently expected to take place between September and December 2026 on Polymarket (although liquidity is low, a one-year period between launch and TGE seems reasonable). Based on that timeline, we could expect roughly 500 million PP to be emitted (about 52 weeks at slightly less than 10 million PP per week). The airdrop allocation is completely unknown. I consider 10% a reasonable base-case assumption. 5% or less would seem unfair to liquidity providers who have been farming for a full year, especially since the platform relies on them. On the other hand, 20% or more appears unlikely. Under these assumptions, the airdrop would be worth $50 million (10% of a $500 million FDV). Dividing that by 500 million PP results in a value of approximately $0.10 per PP. What do you think?

dannnny 2026-06-08 16:08:29

so if they distributing 10 million PP each week, that means they are airdropping 1m$ every week? (based on your calculation)

so if they distributing 10 million PP each week, that means they are airdropping 1m$ every week? (based on your calculation)

totoLolo 2026-06-08 16:11:17

Yes if my calculation are correct

Yes if my calculation are correct

dannnny 2026-06-08 16:15:09

I think they're unlikely to airdrop more than the money they make from fee every week. They have to earn enough money to be profitable, right?

I think they're unlikely to airdrop more than the money they make from fee every week. They have to earn enough money to be profitable, right?

dannnny 2026-06-08 16:16:25

I think it's best if we can roughly calculate how much money they get from fee each week (by volume, on-chain, etc I don't know how), then we'll know by then the maximum amount they'll be airdropping

I think it's best if we can roughly calculate how much money they get from fee each week (by volume, on-chain, etc I don't know how), then we'll know by then the maximum amount they'll be airdropping

Lol 2026-06-08 16:24:36

No, it's not entirely depends on money they are earning...it depends on how much team is willing to share with it's users in tokens supply% .. i got good airdrops even when protocol earns way lesser in fee..also bad drops even if protocol earns alot in fee..

No, it's not entirely depends on money they are earning...it depends on how much team is willing to share with it's users in tokens supply% .. i got good airdrops even when protocol earns way lesser in fee..also bad drops even if protocol earns alot in fee..

Lol 2026-06-08 16:27:11

500m fdv is undervalued imo considering binance direct involvement in this project and the fee is lower than polymarket, liquidity is excellent for sports markets... it's a matter of time people realise the potential of predictfun..many people are sidelined by shock waves give ln by opinion labs, genius terminal for their airdropp allocation..so people are feeling worried to touch projects backed by binance labs...

500m fdv is undervalued imo considering binance direct involvement in this project and the fee is lower than polymarket, liquidity is excellent for sports markets... it's a matter of time people realise the potential of predictfun..many people are sidelined by shock waves give ln by opinion labs, genius terminal for their airdropp allocation..so people are feeling worried to touch projects backed by binance labs...

dannnny 2026-06-08 16:28:49

opinion's liquidity is pathetic xD, i tried trading there, orderbook is not moving at all

opinion's liquidity is pathetic xD, i tried trading there, orderbook is not moving at all

Lol 2026-06-08 16:30:29

That's a piece of shitty website...no one is trading there except their team..0 liquidity and completely negative sentiment, team is hostile towards its users...there is a reason for tvl of opinion dropping from 140m to 20m in a single day....

That's a piece of shitty website...no one is trading there except their team..0 liquidity and completely negative sentiment, team is hostile towards its users...there is a reason for tvl of opinion dropping from 140m to 20m in a single day....

Lol 2026-06-08 16:31:19

All the metrics are pumped artificially before the days

All the metrics are pumped artificially before the days

dannnny 2026-06-08 16:31:23

people left opinion because their airdrop is shitty

people left opinion because their airdrop is shitty

dannnny 2026-06-08 16:31:40

I hope Predictfun could learn something from that

I hope Predictfun could learn something from that

Lol 2026-06-08 16:31:57

True.. opinion sent shock waves back then 😂

True.. opinion sent shock waves back then 😂

Lol 2026-06-08 16:33:27

Predictfun will allocate at least 8-10% imo....this will bring positive sentiment and will retain the users along with new ones for the upcoming seasons..

Predictfun will allocate at least 8-10% imo....this will bring positive sentiment and will retain the users along with new ones for the upcoming seasons..