秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Kalshi 市场结算过度依赖 Source Agency 的规则争议

2026-06-08 · Kalshi · 15 条相关讨论

SJ 2026-06-08 06:14:16

Let's just add "If a consensus of credible reporting indicates the underlying unambiguously occured, Kalshi has the right to resolve 'Yes'"

Let's just add "If a consensus of credible reporting indicates the underlying unambiguously occured, Kalshi has the right to resolve 'Yes'"

SJ 2026-06-08 06:20:07

Highly subjective!

Highly subjective!

SJ 2026-06-08 06:20:31

Definitely none!

Definitely none!

SJ 2026-06-08 06:20:36

<person> was subjectively used!

<person> was subjectively used!

Frib 2026-06-08 06:21:27

yea but it was about trump saying it, i think the contract should just simply about if person was there via picture or video and then secondary evidence for resolution can be the source agency news articles or verified insta posts

yea but it was about trump saying it, i think the contract should just simply about if person was there via picture or video and then secondary evidence for resolution can be the source agency news articles or verified insta posts

Mitchieboi 2026-06-08 06:22:18

<@277656076147752970> care to give a brief summary?

<@277656076147752970> care to give a brief summary?

SJ 2026-06-08 06:22:27

In DMs yeah

In DMs yeah

Nate 2026-06-08 06:28:28

You gotta add the opposite too, "if a consensus of credible reporting indicates the underlying did not occur, kalshi has the right to resolve N even if there's source agencies erroneously reporting Y". Otherwise without that rule I still argue Spike Y

You gotta add the opposite too, "if a consensus of credible reporting indicates the underlying did not occur, kalshi has the right to resolve N even if there's source agencies erroneously reporting Y". Otherwise without that rule I still argue Spike Y

Nate 2026-06-08 06:29:41

But yes we need better rules so we can understand how these get determined

But yes we need better rules so we can understand how these get determined

Mitchieboi 2026-06-08 06:29:48

I think correct thing to do here is res N, refund Y, rewrite rules

I think correct thing to do here is res N, refund Y, rewrite rules

Mitchieboi 2026-06-08 06:29:54

but ressing Y would be so asinine

but ressing Y would be so asinine

Mitchieboi 2026-06-08 06:30:00

and against their interest

and against their interest

Nate 2026-06-08 06:30:03

I can agree with that

I can agree with that

Frib 2026-06-08 06:43:10

I just think it can be as broad as “Any and all evidence for presence of <person> at <event> can be used for resolution so long as source is credible.” And then we can battle out what’s fake and what’s real

I just think it can be as broad as “Any and all evidence for presence of <person> at <event> can be used for resolution so long as source is credible.” And then we can battle out what’s fake and what’s real