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阿森纳冠军游行人数市场结算争议

2026-06-09 · Limitless · 2 条相关讨论

Oxlade 2026-06-08 21:30:45

Hey <@782762536688812042><@908283733663154226>. I think "Will at least 1 million attend Arsenal’s title parade on May 31, 2026?" market was resolved incorrectly. The rules say the market resolves YES if the Metropolitan Police publish or communicate an official estimate of at least 1,000,000 attendees. But the only attendance figure mentioned in the Met Police report was "hundreds of thousands of Arsenal supporters", which does not mean 1 mil. The rules also say that if the Met Police do not publish an official crowd estimate by June 7 the market should resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. From what I have seen: The Guardian live coverage reported around 800,000 attendees. Full Fact reported that the Met Police told them they had not issued an official attendance estimate and had not confirmed the widely shared 1.5 million figure. Other reports ranged from "hundreds of thousands" to "over a million." That doesn't look like a clear consensus that at least 1 mil people attended. Waiting for clarification from the team.

Hey <@782762536688812042><@908283733663154226>. I think "Will at least 1 million attend Arsenal’s title parade on May 31, 2026?" market was resolved incorrectly. The rules say the market resolves YES if the Metropolitan Police publish or communicate an official estimate of at least 1,000,000 attendees. But the only attendance figure mentioned in the Met Police report was "hundreds of thousands of Arsenal supporters", which does not mean 1 mil. The rules also say that if the Met Police do not publish an official crowd estimate by June 7 the market should resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. From what I have seen: The Guardian live coverage reported around 800,000 attendees. Full Fact reported that the Met Police told them they had not issued an official attendance estimate and had not confirmed the widely shared 1.5 million figure. Other reports ranged from "hundreds of thousands" to "over a million." That doesn't look like a clear consensus that at least 1 mil people attended. Waiting for clarification from the team.

Jeremy | Limitless 2026-06-08 21:51:38

Hey, I just spoke with the team and this is what was used as the resolution source, a statement from Islington Council. https://x.com/islingtonbc/status/2061418412891357656

Hey, I just spoke with the team and this is what was used as the resolution source, a statement from Islington Council. https://x.com/islingtonbc/status/2061418412891357656