all my money locked up in Rodgers' Next Team market, srry 😭
all my money locked up in Rodgers' Next Team market, srry 😭
2026-06-09 · Kalshi · 4 条相关讨论
all my money locked up in Rodgers' Next Team market, srry 😭
all my money locked up in Rodgers' Next Team market, srry 😭
<@1460986477742657662> I’m sorry if you’re on vacation but is there seriously anyway these markets can be resolved? There’s other markets in the same nature for NFL (Alec Pierce) that also haven’t resolved
<@1460986477742657662> I’m sorry if you’re on vacation but is there seriously anyway these markets can be resolved? There’s other markets in the same nature for NFL (Alec Pierce) that also haven’t resolved
There’s no complications, other markets have resolved already in NEXTTEAMNFL
There’s no complications, other markets have resolved already in NEXTTEAMNFL
Adding some information to this market as I've been looking at it quite a bit. I believe this market is 100% determined as I will explain below, and frankly am not sure why there's a hold up w/ resolutions + payouts. ## Reasoning for Pittsburgh Y, All Others N: First, let's examine the NEXTTEAM contract itself. The Underlying of the contract states: > The Underlying for this Contract is the next professional sports team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, as documented by Source Agencies. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The Payout Criterion states: > The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values of the first new team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, where "officially joins" means any of the following events as reported by a Source Agency: > 1. **Signing of a contract** (of any duration, including 10-day, two-way, or exhibit 10 contracts) > ... > The determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source > Agencies, **not when the player physically reports, plays, or passes a physical.** Note that the market opened on 5/7/2026, 1:40 PM EDT. Therefore, all qualifying transactions after this time should be deemed valid/acceptable. On 5/18/2026, the Pittsburgh Steelers **officially** signed Aaron Rodgers. This contract signing is documented by multiple source agencies listed in the rules summary and contract itself, namely including but not limited to the governing league (NFL), official team website, official team social media, ESPN, and The Athletic linked in my previous post here https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1512486509305921607. Additional source from [Spotrac](https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/player/_/id/3745/aaron-rodgers) (not included for source agency, but maybe should be) that shows this is an official contract. Note that according to the Payout Criterion, he does NOT have to play a snap for the Steelers (though he has reported to OTAs already), and, since his contract/signing is an official signing, means this market should be able to be resolved. As this is a mutually exclusive market, naturally this means that all other strikes should go N. ## **But What About Special Provisions?** > Sign-and-trade? Multi-team trades? Loan deals? Rights trades? As there were no trades involved in this contract, I think these clauses can be dismissed as irrelevant for our situation. > Voided transaction? Overall, his contract signing is complete. As mentioned above, Rodgers' 1-year contract being official is documented by multiple sources included in the list of Source Agencies. Moreover, Rodgers playing at OTAs means he has cleared his physical with the Steelers, since players are generally required to be medically cleared before taking part in on-field offseason activities > Retirement? The retirement clause only applies if Rodgers does not join a team. As shown above, he has. His previous contract officially ended on 3/11/2026. This means at the time the market opened, Rodgers was NOT a Pittsburgh Steeler. The signing of this new contract on 5/18/2026 indicates the Pittsburgh Steelers are the next profession team Aaron Rodgers officially joined after the market opened. > The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion. If there's any questions, I'd be happy to discuss/explain my thoughts.
Adding some information to this market as I've been looking at it quite a bit. I believe this market is 100% determined as I will explain below, and frankly am not sure why there's a hold up w/ resolutions + payouts. ## Reasoning for Pittsburgh Y, All Others N: First, let's examine the NEXTTEAM contract itself. The Underlying of the contract states: > The Underlying for this Contract is the next professional sports team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, as documented by Source Agencies. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The Payout Criterion states: > The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values of the first new team that <player> officially joins after Issuance, where "officially joins" means any of the following events as reported by a Source Agency: > 1. **Signing of a contract** (of any duration, including 10-day, two-way, or exhibit 10 contracts) > ... > The determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source > Agencies, **not when the player physically reports, plays, or passes a physical.** Note that the market opened on 5/7/2026, 1:40 PM EDT. Therefore, all qualifying transactions after this time should be deemed valid/acceptable. On 5/18/2026, the Pittsburgh Steelers **officially** signed Aaron Rodgers. This contract signing is documented by multiple source agencies listed in the rules summary and contract itself, namely including but not limited to the governing league (NFL), official team website, official team social media, ESPN, and The Athletic linked in my previous post here https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1512486509305921607. Additional source from [Spotrac](https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/player/_/id/3745/aaron-rodgers) (not included for source agency, but maybe should be) that shows this is an official contract. Note that according to the Payout Criterion, he does NOT have to play a snap for the Steelers (though he has reported to OTAs already), and, since his contract/signing is an official signing, means this market should be able to be resolved. As this is a mutually exclusive market, naturally this means that all other strikes should go N. ## **But What About Special Provisions?** > Sign-and-trade? Multi-team trades? Loan deals? Rights trades? As there were no trades involved in this contract, I think these clauses can be dismissed as irrelevant for our situation. > Voided transaction? Overall, his contract signing is complete. As mentioned above, Rodgers' 1-year contract being official is documented by multiple sources included in the list of Source Agencies. Moreover, Rodgers playing at OTAs means he has cleared his physical with the Steelers, since players are generally required to be medically cleared before taking part in on-field offseason activities > Retirement? The retirement clause only applies if Rodgers does not join a team. As shown above, he has. His previous contract officially ended on 3/11/2026. This means at the time the market opened, Rodgers was NOT a Pittsburgh Steeler. The signing of this new contract on 5/18/2026 indicates the Pittsburgh Steelers are the next profession team Aaron Rodgers officially joined after the market opened. > The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion. If there's any questions, I'd be happy to discuss/explain my thoughts.