秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Kalshi选举市场bracketed MOV类型被指难交易

2026-06-17 · Kalshi · 12 条相关讨论

carl 2026-06-17 08:53:58

Was there a reason we've had bracketed MOV markets over directional? Assume an a/b test was done sometime... but really wish we had directional. Same for markets like this https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trumpendorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16?op_market_ticker=KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T5

Was there a reason we've had bracketed MOV markets over directional? Assume an a/b test was done sometime... but really wish we had directional. Same for markets like this https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorseloss/how-many-trumpendorsed-candidates-will-lose-their-primaries/kxtrumpendorseloss-26sep16?op_market_ticker=KXTRUMPENDORSELOSS-26SEP16-T5

carl 2026-06-17 08:54:30

Like let me trade on trump endorsed candidate losing without having to worry about the oklahoma state house races

Like let me trade on trump endorsed candidate losing without having to worry about the oklahoma state house races

carl 2026-06-17 08:55:08

Or having to track incremental endorsements to adjust fairs, etc

Or having to track incremental endorsements to adjust fairs, etc

carl 2026-06-17 08:55:26

multiple endorsed candidates have lost / are trailing and volume has barely moved lol

multiple endorsed candidates have lost / are trailing and volume has barely moved lol

nonsenseking 2026-06-17 09:08:02

brackets better for market makers apparently

brackets better for market makers apparently

nonsenseking 2026-06-17 09:08:41

easier to provide liquidity on all strikes if they’re mutually exclusive

easier to provide liquidity on all strikes if they’re mutually exclusive

carl 2026-06-17 09:09:17

mecnet is obviously the rationale ya

mecnet is obviously the rationale ya

carl 2026-06-17 09:09:28

simultaneously for mecnet to attract volume you need non market makers

simultaneously for mecnet to attract volume you need non market makers

carl 2026-06-17 09:11:54

just annoying they’re untradeable in any meaningful size

just annoying they’re untradeable in any meaningful size

carl 2026-06-17 09:12:15

whereas if we had rick jackson 2+, 4+, 6+ rn

whereas if we had rick jackson 2+, 4+, 6+ rn

carl 2026-06-17 09:12:20

we’d have many people on it

we’d have many people on it

nonsenseking 2026-06-17 10:22:56

ya also can add strikes easily which u cant for brackets

ya also can add strikes easily which u cant for brackets