秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

42 预测市场持仓缩水引发亏损争议

2026-06-18 · 42 · 4 条相关讨论

Seby 2026-06-18 00:03:27

You gotta be kinding me. Then why would anyone use it if you can lose all your money without even losing the bet?

You gotta be kinding me. Then why would anyone use it if you can lose all your money without even losing the bet?

Seby 2026-06-18 00:03:50

And if the pool size grows again, how will this impact my payout?

And if the pool size grows again, how will this impact my payout?

Th✧i 2026-06-18 00:06:48

That's why we're different from other traditional prediction markets. People use 42 because they can profit by trading the curve as buy low, sell high before resolution, even if your outcome loses, and early correct positions can get big convex payouts. However, holding long-term carries real risk with heavy selling shrinks the pool and drops your current value, as you experienced. If the pool grows again later, your payout increases because it’s a share of the total pool at resolution unless most new money flows into your same outcome and dilutes your share.

That's why we're different from other traditional prediction markets. People use 42 because they can profit by trading the curve as buy low, sell high before resolution, even if your outcome loses, and early correct positions can get big convex payouts. However, holding long-term carries real risk with heavy selling shrinks the pool and drops your current value, as you experienced. If the pool grows again later, your payout increases because it’s a share of the total pool at resolution unless most new money flows into your same outcome and dilutes your share.

Th✧i 2026-06-18 00:12:05

In your case, there are more sellers than buyers, so I understand your reaction and feelings right now. But if the situation were reversed, you could have made a huge profit even if that outcome were wrong. Besides, we always encourage users to DYOR and research the protocol's mechanism before making any investment decisions via [our docs](https://docs.42.space/)

In your case, there are more sellers than buyers, so I understand your reaction and feelings right now. But if the situation were reversed, you could have made a huge profit even if that outcome were wrong. Besides, we always encourage users to DYOR and research the protocol's mechanism before making any investment decisions via [our docs](https://docs.42.space/)