秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Hochul市场因直播未中断是否应计第二次讲话引发激烈争议

2026-06-18 · Kalshi · 24 条相关讨论

Solstice 2026-06-18 02:54:46

"For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the first livestream on the Governor Kathy Hochul main YouTube channel (@GovernorKathyHochul) or official state website (https://www.governor.ny.gov/) after June 17th, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. " There was one stream on her website. Only one. It never ended. Apparently this has happened before and they didn't update the rules to account for this. Complete unacceptable. Refund is warranted when you have rules that contradict the ruling.

"For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the first livestream on the Governor Kathy Hochul main YouTube channel (@GovernorKathyHochul) or official state website (https://www.governor.ny.gov/) after June 17th, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. " There was one stream on her website. Only one. It never ended. Apparently this has happened before and they didn't update the rules to account for this. Complete unacceptable. Refund is warranted when you have rules that contradict the ruling.

lucariokai 2026-06-18 02:55:26

i remember my first hochul scam

i remember my first hochul scam

elweyjay 2026-06-18 02:55:29

who we got for england

who we got for england

Mitchieboi 2026-06-18 02:57:46

<@1448568704580456529> yeah we got cooked on this once already

<@1448568704580456529> yeah we got cooked on this once already

Solstice 2026-06-18 03:00:52

Here is my argument. I don't expect <@1417220501407011020> and team to decide this way, but logic is so solid. The rules on the Hochul market state: "For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the first livestream on the Governor Kathy Hochul main YouTube channel (@GovernorKathyHochul) or official state website after June 17th, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. " She livestream on her website. She did NOT live stream on her YouTube. I had her YT pulled up the whole time. If someone saw differently then I'm all ears. I was confused and refreshed many times. I believe she uplaoded the videos after. There was not a YT livestream (again, that I saw). She DID livestream on her site. And that was one continous live stream. It never stopped. It was one continous stream. Per the rules the next live stream counts. Since she did not stream on her YT, those video uploads are irrelevant. What matters is the live stream on her site. As the rules state: "For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the first livestream on the Governor Kathy Hochul...." Rules say nothing about different parts of the same live stream. What's in both videos ought to count becaues those are from the same stream, the Hochul team just decided to split them up.

Here is my argument. I don't expect <@1417220501407011020> and team to decide this way, but logic is so solid. The rules on the Hochul market state: "For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the first livestream on the Governor Kathy Hochul main YouTube channel (@GovernorKathyHochul) or official state website after June 17th, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. " She livestream on her website. She did NOT live stream on her YouTube. I had her YT pulled up the whole time. If someone saw differently then I'm all ears. I was confused and refreshed many times. I believe she uplaoded the videos after. There was not a YT livestream (again, that I saw). She DID livestream on her site. And that was one continous live stream. It never stopped. It was one continous stream. Per the rules the next live stream counts. Since she did not stream on her YT, those video uploads are irrelevant. What matters is the live stream on her site. As the rules state: "For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the first livestream on the Governor Kathy Hochul...." Rules say nothing about different parts of the same live stream. What's in both videos ought to count becaues those are from the same stream, the Hochul team just decided to split them up.

Solstice 2026-06-18 03:01:56

Yes, precedents that aren't in the rules are examples of criminal behavior by Kalshi and team. You can't resolve a market based on something other than the rules and think you are moral person. You're a criminal.

Yes, precedents that aren't in the rules are examples of criminal behavior by Kalshi and team. You can't resolve a market based on something other than the rules and think you are moral person. You're a criminal.

TSP 2026-06-18 03:02:09

we've had the exact same thing happen before like 1 to 1

we've had the exact same thing happen before like 1 to 1

Solstice 2026-06-18 03:02:53

It looks like it's gonne be a $1,500 loss for me. Whatever. It's the principle of the matter. We see this far too much.

It looks like it's gonne be a $1,500 loss for me. Whatever. It's the principle of the matter. We see this far too much.

Dr. Slips 2026-06-18 03:03:16

hasnt this happened before

hasnt this happened before

Solstice 2026-06-18 03:03:33

Based on what everyone is saying, it seems that, yes, they will resolve against their rules and against me.

Based on what everyone is saying, it seems that, yes, they will resolve against their rules and against me.

Solstice 2026-06-18 03:50:47

Making another argument here, <@1417220501407011020>, on the pending Hochul resolution. It sounds like you've ruled on this one before, but I, and others, believe that needs to be ammended. What no one has said, is she didn't Livestream on her YouTube. You can click the LIVE button and see. The videos she has on her channel today were NOT livestreamed. They were uploaded later. The livestream on her website is what counts. We can all agree there. And she never ended that stream. It had the entireity of both those videos AND more. It was one continuous stream. She also mentioned the 2nd speech in the first one. "when I leave, believe it or not, I'm going to another housing project in Brooklyn funded by HCR and supported by all of us" Maybe that's an argument against counting the second one but I think it's irrelevant. The rules are very clear on the market. What counts IS the livestream. There is nothing in the rules that delinates announcements or parts within a livestream. The rules only delinate the "first livestream." As we know, Hocul often puts the Livestream in a holding place so she can answer questions. Why would those count but this one not count? Again.... "For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the FIRST LIVESTREAM on the Governor Kathy Hochul main YouTube channel or official state website after June 17th, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. " She said President and Safe is the "FIRST LIVESTREAM." Per the rules as published by Kalshi, I don't see how those can go anything but YES.

Making another argument here, <@1417220501407011020>, on the pending Hochul resolution. It sounds like you've ruled on this one before, but I, and others, believe that needs to be ammended. What no one has said, is she didn't Livestream on her YouTube. You can click the LIVE button and see. The videos she has on her channel today were NOT livestreamed. They were uploaded later. The livestream on her website is what counts. We can all agree there. And she never ended that stream. It had the entireity of both those videos AND more. It was one continuous stream. She also mentioned the 2nd speech in the first one. "when I leave, believe it or not, I'm going to another housing project in Brooklyn funded by HCR and supported by all of us" Maybe that's an argument against counting the second one but I think it's irrelevant. The rules are very clear on the market. What counts IS the livestream. There is nothing in the rules that delinates announcements or parts within a livestream. The rules only delinate the "first livestream." As we know, Hocul often puts the Livestream in a holding place so she can answer questions. Why would those count but this one not count? Again.... "For the purposes of this market, “next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement” refers to the FIRST LIVESTREAM on the Governor Kathy Hochul main YouTube channel or official state website after June 17th, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. " She said President and Safe is the "FIRST LIVESTREAM." Per the rules as published by Kalshi, I don't see how those can go anything but YES.

Mitchieboi 2026-06-18 03:56:36

counter argument, the market was for the let them build announcement

counter argument, the market was for the let them build announcement

Mitchieboi 2026-06-18 03:56:42

and the second event was separate

and the second event was separate

Mitchieboi 2026-06-18 03:56:46

"when I leave, believe it or not, I'm going to another housing project in Brooklyn funded by HCR and supported by all of us"

"when I leave, believe it or not, I'm going to another housing project in Brooklyn funded by HCR and supported by all of us"

dixpco 2026-06-18 03:59:21

doesnt the title literally say which event counts. Each event, even though it was the same livestream (im assuming it was), were different events

doesnt the title literally say which event counts. Each event, even though it was the same livestream (im assuming it was), were different events

BigIsh 2026-06-18 04:18:20

This one lowkey should have counted

This one lowkey should have counted

BigIsh 2026-06-18 04:18:43

Yt should be > Vimeo but w/o yt the whole Vimeo stream should count

Yt should be > Vimeo but w/o yt the whole Vimeo stream should count

sloth 2026-06-18 04:19:01

That's not founded in the rules though

That's not founded in the rules though

sloth 2026-06-18 04:20:13

And my strong sense is this line of reasoning doesnt work because Kalshi team is philosophically opposed to allowing two events to count

And my strong sense is this line of reasoning doesnt work because Kalshi team is philosophically opposed to allowing two events to count

BigIsh 2026-06-18 04:21:51

Ik it’s against the rules rn but that’s what jt should be changed to

Ik it’s against the rules rn but that’s what jt should be changed to