秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

用户呼吁用方向性投票百分比市场取代分桶市场

2026-06-23 · Kalshi · 34 条相关讨论

carl 2026-06-23 01:35:32

directional?

directional?

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-23 01:38:15

i personally hate the ones that are exact

i personally hate the ones that are exact

carl 2026-06-23 01:38:18

please bernard

please bernard

carl 2026-06-23 01:38:28

i would love to be pouring money into directional MOV on every market im playing

i would love to be pouring money into directional MOV on every market im playing

carl 2026-06-23 01:38:34

but no!

but no!

carl 2026-06-23 01:38:50

bc of buckets vs directional

bc of buckets vs directional

carl 2026-06-23 01:39:04

it's so bad

it's so bad

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-23 01:39:07

directionals were great on LA Mayor

directionals were great on LA Mayor

carl 2026-06-23 01:39:10

i ranted about it last week

i ranted about it last week

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-23 01:39:22

boo buckets yay directionals

boo buckets yay directionals

not ess pea 2026-06-23 01:40:25

Yeah I like to do up or down

Yeah I like to do up or down

BLONK 2026-06-23 01:40:49

So we like directional more than bucketed for vote percents?

So we like directional more than bucketed for vote percents?

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-23 01:41:05

I personally do, esp when liq is lower

I personally do, esp when liq is lower

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-23 01:41:34

I played the directional %s hard for LA Mayor, and it was a lot more fun than figuring out the bounded ones

I played the directional %s hard for LA Mayor, and it was a lot more fun than figuring out the bounded ones

ruuudy 2026-06-23 02:00:14

Put both buckets and directional up and see which one actually gets liquidity

Put both buckets and directional up and see which one actually gets liquidity

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-23 02:19:55

<@1066645794108735510> Directional % strikes are just intuitively better. They make it much more legible what the markets think the final outcome will be. So if we think, like, Valdez lands at 42%, that will be clearer just by eyeballing the Valdez 40%+ strike trading near 50/50 than if, say, the strike was Valdez 40-45 and it traded at 20

<@1066645794108735510> Directional % strikes are just intuitively better. They make it much more legible what the markets think the final outcome will be. So if we think, like, Valdez lands at 42%, that will be clearer just by eyeballing the Valdez 40%+ strike trading near 50/50 than if, say, the strike was Valdez 40-45 and it traded at 20