秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

市场幂曲线导致纸手获利而早期买家亏损引发争议

2026-07-10 · 42 · 23 条相关讨论

Johnny张 2026-07-10 05:51:39

The market over 42 is getting worse and worse

The market over 42 is getting worse and worse

Johnny张 2026-07-10 05:52:27

losing the originality that 42 did before, those who arrive early will have an advantage

losing the originality that 42 did before, those who arrive early will have an advantage

Johnny张 2026-07-10 05:52:58

Now it's like trading meme coins

Now it's like trading meme coins

Johnny张 2026-07-10 05:56:09

I accept the risk to predict a certain option early but those who are afraid sell it and then enter the order after me but their rate is higher and their risk is lower

I accept the risk to predict a certain option early but those who are afraid sell it and then enter the order after me but their rate is higher and their risk is lower

Johnny张 2026-07-10 05:57:41

<@805808072705703956> <@834446071605624863>

<@805808072705703956> <@834446071605624863>

wenlanbo 2026-07-10 06:01:15

What are the markets you enjoy? We are pushing as many as we can to satisfy most requests/asks

What are the markets you enjoy? We are pushing as many as we can to satisfy most requests/asks

Johnny张 2026-07-10 06:02:08

I mean the mechanism of markets

I mean the mechanism of markets

Johnny张 2026-07-10 06:02:37

Now it's like memecoin trading, not 42 anymore

Now it's like memecoin trading, not 42 anymore

Johnny张 2026-07-10 06:03:40

For example, you and I entered the same option, but then you sold out the position, and my market value was deducted

For example, you and I entered the same option, but then you sold out the position, and my market value was deducted

Johnny张 2026-07-10 06:04:10

Then you buy that option again but your rate is higher than mine

Then you buy that option again but your rate is higher than mine

Ihor 🔥 2026-07-10 06:08:46

I get what you're saying, it annoys me too. People are paper handing like crazy, they can't hold a position for s..t

I get what you're saying, it annoys me too. People are paper handing like crazy, they can't hold a position for s..t

wenlanbo 2026-07-10 06:15:14

Thank you <@1192175236112711801> <@1251548343348367464> for the valuable feedback, like I said before, we work very hard to make 42 for everyone

Thank you <@1192175236112711801> <@1251548343348367464> for the valuable feedback, like I said before, we work very hard to make 42 for everyone

Ihor 🔥 2026-07-10 06:22:35

Tbh from my end, this is not a criticism to 42 specifically, I know you guys are trying to take this product to the next level I really appreciate it

Tbh from my end, this is not a criticism to 42 specifically, I know you guys are trying to take this product to the next level I really appreciate it

Ihor 🔥 2026-07-10 06:23:10

It's more of a general observation that most people are paper handing way too much for small profits

It's more of a general observation that most people are paper handing way too much for small profits

Ihor 🔥 2026-07-10 06:24:09

Maybe if 42 could come up with some mechanism to encourage holding the shares more, that would be awesome

Maybe if 42 could come up with some mechanism to encourage holding the shares more, that would be awesome

Wandering 2026-07-10 08:49:09

win? pnl -51%?

win? pnl -51%?

Wandering 2026-07-10 08:49:52

Won the prediction, but lost money

Won the prediction, but lost money

Th✧i 2026-07-10 09:44:59

Even if your chosen outcome wins, you can still receive less than what you invested (*<1x payout*) because 42 uses a parimutuel system combined with a Power Curve. When more people buy the same Outcome Token after you, the total supply of the winning tokens increases, which reduces your percentage share of the final pool. Additionally, if many participants sell and withdraw their funds before resolution, the overall collateral pool shrinks significantly, lowering the payout amount for winners as well. Furthermore, if you entered late at a higher price on the curve, you receive fewer tokens per dollar compared to early buyers, which can result in lower or even negative returns despite being correct on the final outcome.

Even if your chosen outcome wins, you can still receive less than what you invested (*<1x payout*) because 42 uses a parimutuel system combined with a Power Curve. When more people buy the same Outcome Token after you, the total supply of the winning tokens increases, which reduces your percentage share of the final pool. Additionally, if many participants sell and withdraw their funds before resolution, the overall collateral pool shrinks significantly, lowering the payout amount for winners as well. Furthermore, if you entered late at a higher price on the curve, you receive fewer tokens per dollar compared to early buyers, which can result in lower or even negative returns despite being correct on the final outcome.

Wandering 2026-07-10 09:47:10

Isn't that just comparing who can run faster?

Isn't that just comparing who can run faster?

Th✧i 2026-07-10 09:53:58

Timing does play a big role because of how the Power Curve works. The system is designed to reward people who spot value and position early, rather than just being right at the very end. It creates stronger upside for early conviction and makes the market more dynamic. The following reasons can also cause the payout to drop below 1: - Others purchasing a large volume of that specific outcome drives the payout below 1. - The sale of other outcomes in the market reduces the pool, causing the payout to drop below 1.

Timing does play a big role because of how the Power Curve works. The system is designed to reward people who spot value and position early, rather than just being right at the very end. It creates stronger upside for early conviction and makes the market more dynamic. The following reasons can also cause the payout to drop below 1: - Others purchasing a large volume of that specific outcome drives the payout below 1. - The sale of other outcomes in the market reduces the pool, causing the payout to drop below 1.

bitbigcat 2026-07-10 10:08:35

This is also what makes 42space unique; of course, we’ll soon be launching new products to cater to the interests of different audiences.<:stonks:1377615767209513010>

This is also what makes 42space unique; of course, we’ll soon be launching new products to cater to the interests of different audiences.<:stonks:1377615767209513010>

Johnny张 2026-07-10 10:09:53

Do you know where the uniqueness of 42space lies?

Do you know where the uniqueness of 42space lies?

Johnny张 2026-07-10 10:10:22

It seems you didn't understand what I said

It seems you didn't understand what I said