秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

用户调侃个人投票属于内幕信息

2026-07-22 · Kalshi · 27 条相关讨论

Four 2026-07-22 14:49:34

depends what they know

depends what they know

Dr. Slips 2026-07-22 14:50:22

is the argument that everyone has insider info cuz they know who they voting for?

is the argument that everyone has insider info cuz they know who they voting for?

Four 2026-07-22 14:50:51

yes i think so

yes i think so

Dr. Slips 2026-07-22 14:51:24

so if I vote for fishback

so if I vote for fishback

Four 2026-07-22 14:51:30

depends on your state

depends on your state

Dr. Slips 2026-07-22 14:51:31

and then place a bet on him

and then place a bet on him

Four 2026-07-22 14:51:48

technically yeah

technically yeah

Nate 2026-07-22 14:51:50

I think almost nobody would consider knowing who you're voting for to be material information

I think almost nobody would consider knowing who you're voting for to be material information

Four 2026-07-22 14:51:55

you know you're at least one of the 500 votes hes gonna get

you know you're at least one of the 500 votes hes gonna get

Nate 2026-07-22 14:52:00

This is all so silly

This is all so silly

Four 2026-07-22 14:52:06

i think its just "yucky on principal" so they dont want people to do it

i think its just "yucky on principal" so they dont want people to do it

Four 2026-07-22 14:52:21

we have quite a few laws like that

we have quite a few laws like that

Dr. Slips 2026-07-22 14:53:34

or because...

or because...

Dr. Slips 2026-07-22 14:53:44

there will be an emergency

there will be an emergency

Four 2026-07-22 14:54:08

if i move to a different state is that inside info because i am no longer elgibile to vote in my previous state's elections?

if i move to a different state is that inside info because i am no longer elgibile to vote in my previous state's elections?

Nate 2026-07-22 14:56:17

What if I know who my family or friends are voting for

What if I know who my family or friends are voting for

Nate 2026-07-22 14:56:34

What if I know who like 1000 likely voters are voting for??

What if I know who like 1000 likely voters are voting for??

Dr. Slips 2026-07-22 14:56:59

having friends / family is +ev and insider info

having friends / family is +ev and insider info

SJ 2026-07-22 14:57:04

What if the election comes down to 1 vote and you voted, thus you directly influenced the outcome

What if the election comes down to 1 vote and you voted, thus you directly influenced the outcome

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-22 14:58:07

Bro I invested in McDonalds stock then I went out and bought a McChicken am I going to jail?

Bro I invested in McDonalds stock then I went out and bought a McChicken am I going to jail?

Nate 2026-07-22 14:59:22

Yeah you're not allowed to trade mcd stock after buying a burger because you now have $5 worth of non public financial info

Yeah you're not allowed to trade mcd stock after buying a burger because you now have $5 worth of non public financial info

Nate 2026-07-22 15:01:27

What if I publicly disclose who I'm going to vote for before trading? Does that make my vote public info and avoid the issue?

What if I publicly disclose who I'm going to vote for before trading? Does that make my vote public info and avoid the issue?

Nate 2026-07-22 15:01:38

This line of logic creates a lot of fun questions

This line of logic creates a lot of fun questions