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NooT参与话题 1消息总数 253

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NooT 2026-07-13 06:15:05 Polymarket

this is peak volatility rn take a look at the orderbook lol

this is peak volatility rn take a look at the orderbook lol

NooT 2026-07-13 06:14:18 Polymarket

but over 10k trades it will end up being 50/50 because of the efficent market theory

but over 10k trades it will end up being 50/50 because of the efficent market theory

NooT 2026-07-13 06:13:58 Polymarket

theres regimes within the 50/50 on btc

theres regimes within the 50/50 on btc

NooT 2026-07-13 06:13:53 Polymarket

thats why we see up up up down down up down up down

thats why we see up up up down down up down up down

NooT 2026-07-13 06:13:44 Polymarket

imagine the x axis being individual markets

imagine the x axis being individual markets

NooT 2026-07-13 06:13:11 Polymarket

heres a pic that will put randon walks in perspective

heres a pic that will put randon walks in perspective

NooT 2026-07-13 06:12:35 Polymarket

just with regimes

just with regimes

NooT 2026-07-13 06:12:26 Polymarket

like a roulette table

like a roulette table

NooT 2026-07-13 06:12:23 Polymarket

yes

yes

NooT 2026-07-13 06:12:22 Polymarket

well

well

NooT 2026-07-13 06:12:20 Polymarket

not 50/50

not 50/50

NooT 2026-07-13 06:12:13 Polymarket

thats why we get up up up up up up down up down

thats why we get up up up up up up down up down

NooT 2026-07-13 06:11:59 Polymarket

i belive its super important for them to look into it

i belive its super important for them to look into it

NooT 2026-07-13 06:11:50 Polymarket

for those that dont know what a random walk is

for those that dont know what a random walk is

NooT 2026-07-13 06:11:18 Polymarket

thats fucking sick

thats fucking sick

NooT 2026-07-13 06:07:05 Polymarket

https://klipy.com/gifs/simulation-simulations

https://klipy.com/gifs/simulation-simulations

NooT 2026-07-13 06:06:47 Polymarket

theyre just following a random walk

theyre just following a random walk

NooT 2026-07-13 06:06:42 Polymarket

markets arent manipulated

markets arent manipulated

NooT 2026-07-13 06:06:37 Polymarket

and the profits of you doign that will get eaten by trading fees of buying and selling btc over and over

and the profits of you doign that will get eaten by trading fees of buying and selling btc over and over

NooT 2026-07-13 06:06:18 Polymarket

actually that applies more to the alt coins

actually that applies more to the alt coins

NooT 2026-07-13 06:06:05 Polymarket

so long as you have $100k. you can move btc candles however much you want.

so long as you have $100k. you can move btc candles however much you want.

NooT 2026-07-13 06:04:25 Polymarket

with taker fees.

with taker fees.

NooT 2026-07-13 06:04:21 Polymarket

not bad

not bad

NooT 2026-07-13 06:04:17 Polymarket

calculated 3% edge over 2500 trades

calculated 3% edge over 2500 trades

NooT 2026-07-13 06:03:56 Polymarket

then crosses over

then crosses over

NooT 2026-07-13 06:03:54 Polymarket

SMA under vwap

SMA under vwap

NooT 2026-07-13 06:03:51 Polymarket

anotha win for the strategy

anotha win for the strategy

NooT 2026-07-12 10:16:38 Polymarket

😭

😭

NooT 2026-07-12 10:16:33 Polymarket

bro being mean to the mods cause he lost

bro being mean to the mods cause he lost

NooT 2026-07-12 09:58:36 Polymarket

he had such good damage too

he had such good damage too

NooT 2026-07-12 09:58:26 Polymarket

so funny bro

so funny bro

NooT 2026-07-12 09:35:49 Polymarket

<@401851842386198529>

<@401851842386198529>

NooT 2026-07-12 09:35:46 Polymarket

MY STREAM IS DELAYED I THOUGHT U WERE TROLLING

MY STREAM IS DELAYED I THOUGHT U WERE TROLLING

NooT 2026-07-12 09:35:37 Polymarket

WHAT THE HELL

WHAT THE HELL

NooT 2026-07-12 09:23:53 Polymarket

why tf is king green fighting AGAIN 😭

why tf is king green fighting AGAIN 😭

NooT 2026-07-12 07:30:57 Polymarket

ppl need way more than TWAP

ppl need way more than TWAP

NooT 2026-07-12 07:30:44 Polymarket

polymarket adding TWAP

polymarket adding TWAP

NooT 2026-07-12 07:30:40 Polymarket

Idk if this is good or bad for my company

Idk if this is good or bad for my company

NooT 2026-07-12 07:24:42 Polymarket

Luke riley man wow

Luke riley man wow

NooT 2026-07-12 07:24:04 Polymarket

All tooling is free lol

All tooling is free lol

NooT 2026-07-12 07:23:54 Polymarket

Do you know what orderflow candles are

Do you know what orderflow candles are

NooT 2026-07-12 07:20:14 Polymarket

no ai at all

no ai at all

NooT 2026-07-12 07:20:11 Polymarket

this some cool shit

this some cool shit

NooT 2026-07-12 07:20:03 Polymarket

fuck ai founders

fuck ai founders

NooT 2026-07-12 07:19:29 Polymarket

how bout this one

how bout this one

NooT 2026-07-12 07:18:38 Polymarket

for backtesting with these indicators

for backtesting with these indicators

NooT 2026-07-12 07:18:32 Polymarket

I have 100M trades stored in my database lol

I have 100M trades stored in my database lol

NooT 2026-07-12 07:18:20 Polymarket

Im more a founder bro

Im more a founder bro

NooT 2026-07-12 07:17:21 Polymarket

btc up down line

btc up down line

NooT 2026-07-12 07:16:42 Polymarket

I have the provisional patent

I have the provisional patent