Polymarkethttps://polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025/starmer-out-by-june-22-2026?r=iqt#80r4jTW
https://polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025/starmer-out-by-june-22-2026?r=iqt#80r4jTW
it参与话题 0消息总数 81
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 81 条，显示第 1-50 条on this note, can someone give me some people and help me bond this to 99
on this note, can someone give me some people and help me bond this to 99
i like this
i like this
https://polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025/starmer-out-by-june-22-2026?r=iqt#80r4jTW
https://polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025/starmer-out-by-june-22-2026?r=iqt#80r4jTW
that seem to be a decent bond
that seem to be a decent bond
why dont we all bond the keir stamer market
why dont we all bond the keir stamer market
neat, too expensive and messy
neat, too expensive and messy
whcih market is this
whcih market is this
are there any new markets to flip today?
are there any new markets to flip today?
rightly so
rightly so
https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30/will-trump-agree-to-withdraw-troops-from-the-iranian-region-by-june-30?r=iqt#BxRYzKc this is flipping
https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30/will-trump-agree-to-withdraw-troops-from-the-iranian-region-by-june-30?r=iqt#BxRYzKc this is flipping
<@941405798096076880> can you please clarify when you wake up, markets has been crazy but we cant just hide for ever
<@941405798096076880> can you please clarify when you wake up, markets has been crazy but we cant just hide for ever
which one
which one
so you would know that this point is clearly not definitive
so you would know that this point is clearly not definitive
tbh nothing trump does expect for when he was in china seems formal to me, the thingy yesterday reminded me so much of despicable me
tbh nothing trump does expect for when he was in china seems formal to me, the thingy yesterday reminded me so much of despicable me
i thought you would want troops to stay there and protect your great israel lol
i thought you would want troops to stay there and protect your great israel lol
i think you meant should not count?
i think you meant should not count?
btw anyone want to flip the lebanon market,
btw anyone want to flip the lebanon market,
For people who are not familiar, just ask yourself, Can the troop withdrawal not happen? YES or NO. The answer is pretty clearly YES, if the final deal does not go through, the troop will stay. Definitive troop withdrawal means the troop are going to leave 100%, this is clearly not the case.
For people who are not familiar, just ask yourself, Can the troop withdrawal not happen? YES or NO. The answer is pretty clearly YES, if the final deal does not go through, the troop will stay. Definitive troop withdrawal means the troop are going to leave 100%, this is clearly not the case.
and i think the market is strucutred in a way if trump doesnt explicitly say that enrichment is allowed, it will go p2
and i think the market is strucutred in a way if trump doesnt explicitly say that enrichment is allowed, it will go p2
Exactly, the clause in the rules explicitly stated good faith, or openness to an action, is not classified as definitive, the market is structured in this way for clear resolution; we need the final deal to resolve.
Exactly, the clause in the rules explicitly stated good faith, or openness to an action, is not classified as definitive, the market is structured in this way for clear resolution; we need the final deal to resolve.
yea lots of americans doing it these days
yea lots of americans doing it these days
it will be quite a messy one i think
it will be quite a messy one i think
but this rule is not as shit as others
but this rule is not as shit as others
they seem to be pretty bad at that as of late
they seem to be pretty bad at that as of late
**Vote P4** The rules explicitly forbid non-definitive statements; "Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify." "Definitive" is literally defined by the OED and the Cambridge Dictionary as "Final, not able to be changed or improved" Did Trump make such a definitive statement? Obviously NOT. This proposal is based on this clause of the MOU that was read out: The U.S. and Iran commit to negotiating and achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days, extendable with mutual consent. The U.S. further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of Iran within 30 days after the final deal. Do we have a Final Deal? No. Is the Final Deal Imminent? No Trump has repeatedly said things such as, No it's not Final ,It’s a memorandum of understanding, and if I don't like it, we'll go back to shooting at them, dropping bombs on their head. If I don't like it, if they don't behave, we'll go right back to dropping bombs right smack in the middle of their head. Pete Hagesth has also just said, The president has pointed out that we will be prepared to recommence if underneath the timeline of these talks Iran does not do what it says it’s going to do Clearly, the troop withdrawal will not go ahead if the final deal is not reached, and as Trump suggested, it has Not been reached, and there is a clear possibility of it Not being reached. Therefore, the statement regarding troop withdrawal is clearly Not Definitive as defined by the likes of OED. This clearly does Not satisfy the market rules. Do not vote based on vibe; this market has pretty clear rules Absent a final deal by the deadline or a separate definitive U.S. announcement agreeing to withdrawal, the rules are not met.
**Vote P4** The rules explicitly forbid non-definitive statements; "Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify." "Definitive" is literally defined by the OED and the Cambridge Dictionary as "Final, not able to be changed or improved" Did Trump make such a definitive statement? Obviously NOT. This proposal is based on this clause of the MOU that was read out: The U.S. and Iran commit to negotiating and achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days, extendable with mutual consent. The U.S. further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of Iran within 30 days after the final deal. Do we have a Final Deal? No. Is the Final Deal Imminent? No Trump has repeatedly said things such as, No it's not Final ,It’s a memorandum of understanding, and if I don't like it, we'll go back to shooting at them, dropping bombs on their head. If I don't like it, if they don't behave, we'll go right back to dropping bombs right smack in the middle of their head. Pete Hagesth has also just said, The president has pointed out that we will be prepared to recommence if underneath the timeline of these talks Iran does not do what it says it’s going to do Clearly, the troop withdrawal will not go ahead if the final deal is not reached, and as Trump suggested, it has Not been reached, and there is a clear possibility of it Not being reached. Therefore, the statement regarding troop withdrawal is clearly Not Definitive as defined by the likes of OED. This clearly does Not satisfy the market rules. Do not vote based on vibe; this market has pretty clear rules Absent a final deal by the deadline or a separate definitive U.S. announcement agreeing to withdrawal, the rules are not met.
Can the troop withdraw not happen? Yes or NO. If the answer is yes, then it should be P4
Can the troop withdraw not happen? Yes or NO. If the answer is yes, then it should be P4
and all seemed to have ignored what definitive mean
and all seemed to have ignored what definitive mean
you guys are literally pasting the same thing in the dispute thread lol
you guys are literally pasting the same thing in the dispute thread lol
It is nothing more than an openess to withdraw troop IF the FInal deal is signed!
It is nothing more than an openess to withdraw troop IF the FInal deal is signed!
What we have now is not a definitive agreement that troops will be withdrawn at whatever point in time in whatever step of the process
What we have now is not a definitive agreement that troops will be withdrawn at whatever point in time in whatever step of the process
I mean we have had a lot of bad rules as of late, but this one is quite clear, and this clause is there for that exact reason
I mean we have had a lot of bad rules as of late, but this one is quite clear, and this clause is there for that exact reason
You know the rules explicitly said > Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
You know the rules explicitly said > Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
I literally linked to it
I literally linked to it
Please look up what definitive mean
Please look up what definitive mean
Instead, they will be dropping bombs on the heads of the iranians, as suggested by TRUMP
Instead, they will be dropping bombs on the heads of the iranians, as suggested by TRUMP
No, because if the final deal is not signed, troops will not be withdrawn.
No, because if the final deal is not signed, troops will not be withdrawn.
Is this the case?
Is this the case?
its simple, dont over complicated it, a definitive commitment of troop withdrawl means troop will definitely be withdrawed, regardless by what point
its simple, dont over complicated it, a definitive commitment of troop withdrawl means troop will definitely be withdrawed, regardless by what point
please look up its definition if your first langugage is not english
please look up its definition if your first langugage is not english
do you know what definitive mean
do you know what definitive mean
why is it definitive, because you said so?
why is it definitive, because you said so?
Trump literally said number of times, and now Hagesth too, that they are mererly open for a final deal, if they are happy with it. Trump literally said, > No it's not **Final** ,It’s a memorandum of understanding, and if I don't like it, we'll go back to shooting at them, dropping bombs on their head. If I don't like it, if they don't behave, we'll go right back to dropping bombs right smack in the middle of their head.
Trump literally said number of times, and now Hagesth too, that they are mererly open for a final deal, if they are happy with it. Trump literally said, > No it's not **Final** ,It’s a memorandum of understanding, and if I don't like it, we'll go back to shooting at them, dropping bombs on their head. If I don't like it, if they don't behave, we'll go right back to dropping bombs right smack in the middle of their head.
Definitive is definied as Final, Unable to be changed or improved, https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/definitive
Definitive is definied as Final, Unable to be changed or improved, https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/definitive
MOU is clearly not definitive, do people know what definitive is definied as lol
MOU is clearly not definitive, do people know what definitive is definied as lol
https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30/will-trump-agree-to-withdraw-troops-from-the-iranian-region-by-june-30?r=iqt#BxRYzKc
https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30/will-trump-agree-to-withdraw-troops-from-the-iranian-region-by-june-30?r=iqt#BxRYzKc
guys what are we talking about, how is this getting scam proposed
guys what are we talking about, how is this getting scam proposed
do it
do it
hezbollah
hezbollah
We are resolving based on facts, not on the word of a crazy alt-right nationalist, vs credible reports coming from all sides. He said during the last ceasefire that he wouldn't allow it, and he also had said the same type of BS re temple mount. He represents the right-wing faction of the administration and often makes claims for his own political gain.
We are resolving based on facts, not on the word of a crazy alt-right nationalist, vs credible reports coming from all sides. He said during the last ceasefire that he wouldn't allow it, and he also had said the same type of BS re temple mount. He represents the right-wing faction of the administration and often makes claims for his own political gain.
第 1 / 2 页
下一页 →