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Kawa参与话题 7消息总数 1651

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Kawa 2026-06-18 03:27:03 Polymarket

just add a conservative filter on top of what i just said, same outcome

just add a conservative filter on top of what i just said, same outcome

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:26:07 Polymarket

but i dont think thats meaningful imo

but i dont think thats meaningful imo

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:26:01 Polymarket

u did get me there

u did get me there

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:25:58 Polymarket

thats an edge case

thats an edge case

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:25:51 Polymarket

https://tenor.com/view/point-at-you-point-you-thumbs-up-two-thumbs-up-gif-6261391895630358153

https://tenor.com/view/point-at-you-point-you-thumbs-up-two-thumbs-up-gif-6261391895630358153

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:24:43 Polymarket

the only way what ur saying could have merit is if the amount of orders increases while im inside it

the only way what ur saying could have merit is if the amount of orders increases while im inside it

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:24:16 Polymarket

how would they cancel behind me when its my shares that are last

how would they cancel behind me when its my shares that are last

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:22:50 Polymarket

and if it increases in size, i put those shares behind me

and if it increases in size, i put those shares behind me

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:22:26 Polymarket

gang say 40c has 100 shares, and my order is 10, now its 110 shares, if it decreases without a corresponding trade clearly that happend cuz of a cancel, and it clearly wasnt me that cancelled

gang say 40c has 100 shares, and my order is 10, now its 110 shares, if it decreases without a corresponding trade clearly that happend cuz of a cancel, and it clearly wasnt me that cancelled

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:21:28 Polymarket

idk why this is confusing to u guys

idk why this is confusing to u guys

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:21:21 Polymarket

update on changes that occur

update on changes that occur

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:21:12 Polymarket

u model by putting urself in at wtvr level, keep track of the shares ahead of u and behind u

u model by putting urself in at wtvr level, keep track of the shares ahead of u and behind u

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:20:50 Polymarket

yes?

yes?

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:20:36 Polymarket

im recording the websockets not the blockchain

im recording the websockets not the blockchain

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:19:48 Polymarket

if a limit order disappears without a corresponding trade thats a cancel

if a limit order disappears without a corresponding trade thats a cancel

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:19:32 Polymarket

cancels are blips bro

cancels are blips bro

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:19:14 Polymarket

i record every 100ms and event change

i record every 100ms and event change

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:18:54 Polymarket

instead of telling claude to backtest ur maker

instead of telling claude to backtest ur maker

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:18:45 Polymarket

like its very simple logic u just need to think it out fully

like its very simple logic u just need to think it out fully

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:18:32 Polymarket

estimating queu position is so easy too just put ur orders behind where other ppls was, cancels move u up, trades eating thru the book fill u

estimating queu position is so easy too just put ur orders behind where other ppls was, cancels move u up, trades eating thru the book fill u

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:17:27 Polymarket

1 to 1

1 to 1

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:17:25 Polymarket

my makers results were exactly the same as my backtest

my makers results were exactly the same as my backtest

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:16:58 Polymarket

yes u can bruh

yes u can bruh

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:16:31 Polymarket

and yeam boom

and yeam boom

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:16:17 Polymarket

thats cancels

thats cancels

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:16:13 Polymarket

some common sense, if a trade didnt happen but limit orders have shifted

some common sense, if a trade didnt happen but limit orders have shifted

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:15:58 Polymarket

then u just need like

then u just need like

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:15:48 Polymarket

and imo 100 levels of the bid and ask

and imo 100 levels of the bid and ask

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:15:40 Polymarket

u just need to record trade data

u just need to record trade data

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:15:29 Polymarket

yeah its easy

yeah its easy

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:15:14 Polymarket

modeling making isnt hard

modeling making isnt hard

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:14:57 Polymarket

anything else i'd bet on it being a non ml model

anything else i'd bet on it being a non ml model

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:14:39 Polymarket

if their win rate is like 50-60% i give it a coin flip on ml

if their win rate is like 50-60% i give it a coin flip on ml

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:13:49 Polymarket

u can

u can

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:13:48 Polymarket

other strats tho

other strats tho

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:13:45 Polymarket

ml = u can never reverse engineer it

ml = u can never reverse engineer it

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:13:38 Polymarket

its of my opinion that

its of my opinion that

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:11:05 Polymarket

it just takes a sharp mind and many months of toil

it just takes a sharp mind and many months of toil

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:10:47 Polymarket

u can

u can

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:10:32 Polymarket

theres literally thousands

theres literally thousands

Kawa 2026-06-18 03:10:28 Polymarket

u can never be out of technical literature to read

u can never be out of technical literature to read

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:36:45 Polymarket

prove me fucking wrong

prove me fucking wrong

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:36:39 Polymarket

yeah well prove me wrong sonderist

yeah well prove me wrong sonderist

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:36:14 Polymarket

when has tardis not been greedy

when has tardis not been greedy

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:34:45 Polymarket

be successful!

be successful!

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:34:42 Polymarket

yall can do it!

yall can do it!

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:34:39 Polymarket

im good!

im good!

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:34:24 Polymarket

im using so much that i will go broke getting that historical data

im using so much that i will go broke getting that historical data

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:34:04 Polymarket

and thats if ur using 1 data source for btc

and thats if ur using 1 data source for btc

Kawa 2026-06-18 02:33:57 Polymarket

getting data is hard enough, let alone regime awareness

getting data is hard enough, let alone regime awareness

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