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NIELS参与话题 1消息总数 149

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NIELS 2026-05-31 15:56:46 Polymarket

My alt is also in the negatives

My alt is also in the negatives

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:55:13 Polymarket

We continue to eat.

We continue to eat.

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:50:44 Polymarket

Oh it's some meme

Oh it's some meme

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:49:44 Polymarket

I saw that nigga in lilo and stitch

I saw that nigga in lilo and stitch

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:49:10 Polymarket

don't gatekeep this Ohan guy

don't gatekeep this Ohan guy

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:48:48 Polymarket

fuck OHAN

fuck OHAN

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:48:27 Polymarket

I'm a dumb dog bruh

I'm a dumb dog bruh

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:48:05 Polymarket

What does that mean

What does that mean

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:48:02 Polymarket

Who cares if he's down

Who cares if he's down

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:47:53 Polymarket

Mm?

Mm?

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:47:43 Polymarket

Is he some bot guy

Is he some bot guy

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:47:28 Polymarket

Ohan

Ohan

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:47:27 Polymarket

I dont even know who khan is bro

I dont even know who khan is bro

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:47:01 Polymarket

Strat

Strat

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:46:58 Polymarket

If their start is trash that's liquidity for you g

If their start is trash that's liquidity for you g

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:46:44 Polymarket

Why does it matter if it's trash? If it's ass why can't you run it up with them?

Why does it matter if it's trash? If it's ass why can't you run it up with them?

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:46:25 Polymarket

You're *

You're *

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:46:04 Polymarket

I don't do any real chart stuff at all. The only chart thing I did was find the average change over 5 minutes

I don't do any real chart stuff at all. The only chart thing I did was find the average change over 5 minutes

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:44:33 Polymarket

You either understand or you're dumber than a dog

You either understand or you're dumber than a dog

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:44:25 Polymarket

I can't explain it to you like you're 5

I can't explain it to you like you're 5

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:44:08 Polymarket

Green usually means up

Green usually means up

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:43:53 Polymarket

It votes in the same direction of the market

It votes in the same direction of the market

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:43:31 Polymarket

dick * my bad didn't know I could swear

dick * my bad didn't know I could swear

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:43:09 Polymarket

It changes frequently but it's based off of this dihh

It changes frequently but it's based off of this dihh

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:42:52 Polymarket

It makes money bruh

It makes money bruh

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:42:36 Polymarket

I say this but I'm down $15k btw

I say this but I'm down $15k btw

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:42:28 Polymarket

You just have to work backwards and cut out differences

You just have to work backwards and cut out differences

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:42:12 Polymarket

You can spend all day on it bruh

You can spend all day on it bruh

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:42:08 Polymarket

If you have the data to backtest it's easy

If you have the data to backtest it's easy

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:41:53 Polymarket

This is just normal pattern matching

This is just normal pattern matching

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:41:47 Polymarket

Honestly if this is quant stuff they are retarded

Honestly if this is quant stuff they are retarded

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:41:22 Polymarket

Because it cuts losers so often

Because it cuts losers so often

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:41:17 Polymarket

Yeah that's what my conclusion is too for awhile but I don't start checking my stop loss until the last N seconds or the round

Yeah that's what my conclusion is too for awhile but I don't start checking my stop loss until the last N seconds or the round

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:40:28 Polymarket

It can legit swing from 1->100c in 1s

It can legit swing from 1->100c in 1s

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:40:19 Polymarket

Cause in the final (whatever seconds) it's so violent if it's close to strike

Cause in the final (whatever seconds) it's so violent if it's close to strike

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:40:05 Polymarket

Yeah mine is/was too. That's why I only sell when it's super super deep like 90%+

Yeah mine is/was too. That's why I only sell when it's super super deep like 90%+

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:39:19 Polymarket

But I would sell so many "winners" because my stop loss was bad

But I would sell so many "winners" because my stop loss was bad

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:39:07 Polymarket

Unironically that's the hardest part and I didn't have one for a really long time but even selling at 1c is better than 0c imo

Unironically that's the hardest part and I didn't have one for a really long time but even selling at 1c is better than 0c imo

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:38:24 Polymarket

I was wrong and couldn't sell the loser

I was wrong and couldn't sell the loser

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:38:19 Polymarket

not this specific round but

not this specific round but

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:38:13 Polymarket

The loss came from this

The loss came from this

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:37:45 Polymarket

Like the book was empty and I couldn't sell it

Like the book was empty and I couldn't sell it

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:37:37 Polymarket

The $50 loss is from me bailing and nobody buying

The $50 loss is from me bailing and nobody buying

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:37:22 Polymarket

I have data from like February for 1s book ticks

I have data from like February for 1s book ticks

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:37:04 Polymarket

I do

I do

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:36:11 Polymarket

Or Thursday night. I think it happened after work

Or Thursday night. I think it happened after work

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:35:49 Polymarket

Friday night I briefly set it to 50sh and I lost so I set it back to 5sh after that for the night (the -$17 day)

Friday night I briefly set it to 50sh and I lost so I set it back to 5sh after that for the night (the -$17 day)

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:34:51 Polymarket

I'm too scared to keep scaling it cause I half trust it. Some strategies I've "found" have looked good before and as I scale I get burned. It's been around a week and yesterday I pulled it from 5sh (min gtc) -> 15sh... I'm already thinking about how I can split that up into three orders instead of one. So I'm sure I can squeeze out more % if I watch how my bot reacts. The plan is to try and get $250/day which I estimate would be like 30sh per trade, but I'm pulling these numbers out of thin air rn.

I'm too scared to keep scaling it cause I half trust it. Some strategies I've "found" have looked good before and as I scale I get burned. It's been around a week and yesterday I pulled it from 5sh (min gtc) -> 15sh... I'm already thinking about how I can split that up into three orders instead of one. So I'm sure I can squeeze out more % if I watch how my bot reacts. The plan is to try and get $250/day which I estimate would be like 30sh per trade, but I'm pulling these numbers out of thin air rn.

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:29:42 Polymarket

Curiosity killed da cat

Curiosity killed da cat

NIELS 2026-05-31 15:25:34 Polymarket

I think

I think