Polymarketi think the discounted cash flow from BTC is lower today than it was 2 days ago
i think the discounted cash flow from BTC is lower today than it was 2 days ago
IHateVariance参与话题 4消息总数 242
该用户的聊天记录定位。
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共 242 条，显示第 201-242 条what is brier score
what is brier score
https://tenor.com/view/trainspotting-disco-mark-renton-alone-gif-6162303
https://tenor.com/view/trainspotting-disco-mark-renton-alone-gif-6162303
learn the ways
learn the ways
learn the ropes
learn the ropes
i dont wanna battle, i just want to learn
i dont wanna battle, i just want to learn
i wish those were also my accounts
i wish those were also my accounts
no, because SBF will be free after all the trump bootlicking he's doing on twitter
no, because SBF will be free after all the trump bootlicking he's doing on twitter
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.'" - Albert Einstein
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.'" - Albert Einstein
can we get a market on if polymarket office installs bulletproof windows like robinhood did?
can we get a market on if polymarket office installs bulletproof windows like robinhood did?
Noone cares my man. This is Polymarket, I'll let you in on a secret. They don't care about the truth, they just want to rake in fees.
Noone cares my man. This is Polymarket, I'll let you in on a secret. They don't care about the truth, they just want to rake in fees.
let's be honest, you didn't write this, it was all chadgpt
let's be honest, you didn't write this, it was all chadgpt
nooo, keep on trading, the rebates you provide are keeping my family afloat
nooo, keep on trading, the rebates you provide are keeping my family afloat
https://tenor.com/view/breaking-bad-jessie-pinkman-aaron-paul-get-away-with-it-frustration-gif-4405537
https://tenor.com/view/breaking-bad-jessie-pinkman-aaron-paul-get-away-with-it-frustration-gif-4405537
rich, how come your number goes up faster than my number. how are u so good
rich, how come your number goes up faster than my number. how are u so good
I wouldn't know, I only make
I wouldn't know, I only make
also BItara's back and he's retarded as ever 🎉
also BItara's back and he's retarded as ever 🎉
wait, they arent released yet
wait, they arent released yet
tis on chain
tis on chain
today's vibe https://media1.tenor.com/m/l7y4bqM9KB4AAAAd/honkler-clown-world.gif
today's vibe https://media1.tenor.com/m/l7y4bqM9KB4AAAAd/honkler-clown-world.gif
I think they should resolve both MSTR markets to $0. will teach them a lesson
I think they should resolve both MSTR markets to $0. will teach them a lesson
nice mate u got there
nice mate u got there
gg, but not really, we both played like shit
gg, but not really, we both played like shit
https://lichess.org/UNxth26z
https://lichess.org/UNxth26z
nice fork
nice fork
gg
gg
oh wow, noone? tough crowd
oh wow, noone? tough crowd
anyone up for a chess game? 2min, 1sec increment https://lichess.org/MiDd6jLT
anyone up for a chess game? 2min, 1sec increment https://lichess.org/MiDd6jLT
https://www.theblock.co/data/decentralized-finance/prediction-markets/polymarket-daily-usd-volume-per-category
https://www.theblock.co/data/decentralized-finance/prediction-markets/polymarket-daily-usd-volume-per-category
crypto volume. last 2 days are due to the MSTR market which they keep open
crypto volume. last 2 days are due to the MSTR market which they keep open
lol Lol LOl LOL lOL loL lol
lol Lol LOl LOL lOL loL lol
you weasel
you weasel
you'
you'
the thing is, i can't make money even without manipulator in. am i losing money to all the exploits? In this paper I will
the thing is, i can't make money even without manipulator in. am i losing money to all the exploits? In this paper I will
Finally see why they keep the MSTR market open. The only way to keep crypto volume up lol
Finally see why they keep the MSTR market open. The only way to keep crypto volume up lol
Ok but even if you believe in "new rules being added mid market to flip it" look at it as random noise in whatever MSTR market you're doing. It will end 50/50 up or down so UMA manipulating will be in your favor or not 50% of the time.
Ok but even if you believe in "new rules being added mid market to flip it" look at it as random noise in whatever MSTR market you're doing. It will end 50/50 up or down so UMA manipulating will be in your favor or not 50% of the time.
Basing market settlement based on precedent is capital F Fucking retarded
Basing market settlement based on precedent is capital F Fucking retarded
Ok but even if you believe in "UMA manipulating" look at it as random noise in whatever MSTR market you're doing. It will end 50/50 up or down so UMA manipulating will be in your favor or not 50% of the time.
Ok but even if you believe in "UMA manipulating" look at it as random noise in whatever MSTR market you're doing. It will end 50/50 up or down so UMA manipulating will be in your favor or not 50% of the time.
Yeah, my point is not that it cant be played. But rather that there is no intrinsic value if these contracts cant do what they say they do. Every market has essentially 4 ackthually asterisks to it
Yeah, my point is not that it cant be played. But rather that there is no intrinsic value if these contracts cant do what they say they do. Every market has essentially 4 ackthually asterisks to it
So even though it happened, it got resolved that it didnt. So you cant hedge if something happens by a date, you can only hedge if it happens and becomes public knowledge. Ok. Hmm, this is *very* dumb
So even though it happened, it got resolved that it didnt. So you cant hedge if something happens by a date, you can only hedge if it happens and becomes public knowledge. Ok. Hmm, this is *very* dumb
Ah, well that makes sense. Sort of. Anyone thought that these prediction markets are actually dumb?
Ah, well that makes sense. Sort of. Anyone thought that these prediction markets are actually dumb?
as i don't want to do any research and want every answer be brought to me on a silver plate, as I'm a little baby, can you tell me what is the uncertainty in the end of may market?
as i don't want to do any research and want every answer be brought to me on a silver plate, as I'm a little baby, can you tell me what is the uncertainty in the end of may market?
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