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Jaroslav参与话题 6消息总数 228

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Jaroslav 2026-06-15 18:53:30 Polymarket

And?

And?

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 18:52:31 Polymarket

it's also grasping at straws that Pakistan would be lying about what the US agreed to. Numerous mainstream outlets are taking the veracity as a given. Those articles are credible reporting (which inevitably involves judgment calls about what information to privilege in their storytelling.)

it's also grasping at straws that Pakistan would be lying about what the US agreed to. Numerous mainstream outlets are taking the veracity as a given. Those articles are credible reporting (which inevitably involves judgment calls about what information to privilege in their storytelling.)

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 18:48:27 Polymarket

Trump on Iran: 'I don't know if you heard, but we ended the war with Iran today' Anyone remember that?

Trump on Iran: 'I don't know if you heard, but we ended the war with Iran today' Anyone remember that?

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 18:47:10 Polymarket

1. that white house email is perfectly clear. i understand that it's bad for you and you don't like it. 2. there is a consensus that the war has been declared over/ended: Pakistan, Iran, the US, AFP, NBC, Times of Israel, CBS, etc. Not every source that has written about this topic should be weighted equally. Obviously someone who has seen the draft counts for more than someone speculating.

1. that white house email is perfectly clear. i understand that it's bad for you and you don't like it. 2. there is a consensus that the war has been declared over/ended: Pakistan, Iran, the US, AFP, NBC, Times of Israel, CBS, etc. Not every source that has written about this topic should be weighted equally. Obviously someone who has seen the draft counts for more than someone speculating.

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 18:41:10 Polymarket

Israel not a party to the agreement

Israel not a party to the agreement

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 18:35:23 Polymarket

It's an official white house release It's a resolution source that we lack standing to question

It's an official white house release It's a resolution source that we lack standing to question

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 18:33:09 Polymarket

> Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

> Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 17:34:38 Polymarket

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 15/July 31/Aug 15?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 15/July 31/Aug 15?

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 17:05:20 Polymarket

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by July 31?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by July 31?

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 14:30:21 Polymarket

Why does google ai think Avi's in prison rn? AI Overview Avraham "Avi" Eisenberg is a cryptocurrency investor famous for executing a $110 million exploit of the decentralized finance (DeFi) platform Mango Markets in 2022. While his criminal fraud convictions for the crypto scheme were later vacated by a federal judge, he is currently serving a four-year federal prison sentence for a separate guilty plea to possessing child sexual abuse material (CSAM)

Why does google ai think Avi's in prison rn? AI Overview Avraham "Avi" Eisenberg is a cryptocurrency investor famous for executing a $110 million exploit of the decentralized finance (DeFi) platform Mango Markets in 2022. While his criminal fraud convictions for the crypto scheme were later vacated by a federal judge, he is currently serving a four-year federal prison sentence for a separate guilty plea to possessing child sexual abuse material (CSAM)

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 14:19:24 Polymarket

i'm sure it was nothing serious

i'm sure it was nothing serious

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 14:18:49 Polymarket

someone dumped like $1m into n after the announcement

someone dumped like $1m into n after the announcement

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:33:23 Polymarket

consensus of reporting

consensus of reporting

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:32:40 Polymarket

> ▪️ Based on the agreements reached, the war and military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, will end immediately and permanently as of tonight, and in addition, the naval blockade against Iran will end immediately and completely. "immediately" so it seems to be in force, confirming pakistani mediator statement

> ▪️ Based on the agreements reached, the war and military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, will end immediately and permanently as of tonight, and in addition, the naval blockade against Iran will end immediately and completely. "immediately" so it seems to be in force, confirming pakistani mediator statement

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:30:23 Polymarket

end of war and end of us blockade are effective tonight end of iranian blockade is effective friday

end of war and end of us blockade are effective tonight end of iranian blockade is effective friday

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:29:35 Polymarket

immediately as of tonight

immediately as of tonight

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:29:21 Polymarket

that means it happened babe

that means it happened babe

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:28:46 Polymarket

▪️ Based on the agreements reached, the war and military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, will end immediately and permanently as of tonight, and in addition, the naval blockade against Iran will end immediately and completely.

▪️ Based on the agreements reached, the war and military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, will end immediately and permanently as of tonight, and in addition, the naval blockade against Iran will end immediately and completely.

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:27:46 Polymarket

Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED. Both sides have declared the immediate and **permanent** termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED. Both sides have declared the immediate and **permanent** termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:26:08 Polymarket

Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED. Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED. Both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

Jaroslav 2026-06-15 07:25:25 Polymarket

it is formally adopted permanent peace is effective tonight per the parties and mediators

it is formally adopted permanent peace is effective tonight per the parties and mediators

Jaroslav 2026-06-14 03:28:24 Polymarket

Perm peace more dates

Perm peace more dates

Jaroslav 2026-06-12 18:36:47 Polymarket

This is a cool market but it needs later dates https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by-20260607234645733#15eYNJz

This is a cool market but it needs later dates https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by-20260607234645733#15eYNJz

Jaroslav 2026-06-10 05:49:10 Polymarket

maybe sept 30 strikes for these?

maybe sept 30 strikes for these?

Jaroslav 2026-06-10 05:43:10 Polymarket

Which comes first? New Iran agreement or new Gaza agreement

Which comes first? New Iran agreement or new Gaza agreement

Jaroslav 2026-06-01 07:10:28 Polymarket

Zahrani river crossing 😭

Zahrani river crossing 😭

Jaroslav 2026-05-31 09:09:41 Polymarket

hm my bad. maybe i just was never patient enough to see it push

hm my bad. maybe i just was never patient enough to see it push

Jaroslav 2026-05-31 09:00:28 Polymarket

If you put a reward bounty on a market does it actually display on the market? I don't think it shows it to me, but maybe that's cause you can't earn from your own bounty?

If you put a reward bounty on a market does it actually display on the market? I don't think it shows it to me, but maybe that's cause you can't earn from your own bounty?

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