KalshiYeah have to setup all the positions now especially before endorsements come in
Yeah have to setup all the positions now especially before endorsements come in
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共 1103 条，显示第 601-650 条I’ll chill with what I have for now
I’ll chill with what I have for now
Good point but I’m out of money in Kalshi by setting up my August positions
Good point but I’m out of money in Kalshi by setting up my August positions
Dude has been an electoral god in Colorado politics for the past 20 years
Dude has been an electoral god in Colorado politics for the past 20 years
If Hickenlooper falls to 60 I’m gonna start buying
If Hickenlooper falls to 60 I’m gonna start buying
It’s Los Angeles
It’s Los Angeles
How republicans vote means nothing
How republicans vote means nothing
Unpopular incumbents lose
Unpopular incumbents lose
CO-01 is looking interesting though
CO-01 is looking interesting though
No shot he loses
No shot he loses
Ngl hoping Hickenlooper goes on sale
Ngl hoping Hickenlooper goes on sale
I don’t need a poll to tell me Karen bass is very unpopular
I don’t need a poll to tell me Karen bass is very unpopular
It’s gonna flip completely when it does
It’s gonna flip completely when it does
Abdul El Sayed will likely be the first DSA senator
Abdul El Sayed will likely be the first DSA senator
Y Raman is free money
Y Raman is free money
When the first la mayor poll comes out which shows an unpopular incumbent losing it’ll be crazy lol
When the first la mayor poll comes out which shows an unpopular incumbent losing it’ll be crazy lol
Exactly I think she was probably favored regardless
Exactly I think she was probably favored regardless
https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2069631645464813580?s=46
https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2069631645464813580?s=46
But now I think the DSA is gonna go into overdrive
But now I think the DSA is gonna go into overdrive
Hong was probably favored before last night
Hong was probably favored before last night
That’s a completely different topic
That’s a completely different topic
Nassau is very close to NYC
Nassau is very close to NYC
Mamdani energized Republican turnout
Mamdani energized Republican turnout
Obviously Mamdani attacks won’t work the same in like Virginia, but in swingy counties and races in New York it can definitely make the difference.
Obviously Mamdani attacks won’t work the same in like Virginia, but in swingy counties and races in New York it can definitely make the difference.
Bruce Blakeman won by 1 in 2021
Bruce Blakeman won by 1 in 2021
Mamdani attacks worked outside of nyc
Mamdani attacks worked outside of nyc
Nassau County is a swing county by the way which Tom Suozzi represents
Nassau County is a swing county by the way which Tom Suozzi represents
Nassau County voted for Bruce Blakeman by 10 points when Mamdani was on the ballot last November
Nassau County voted for Bruce Blakeman by 10 points when Mamdani was on the ballot last November
Suozzi will also have his own race to focus on
Suozzi will also have his own race to focus on
Like I said I only think Lawler is the narrow favorite
Like I said I only think Lawler is the narrow favorite
I mean I’m just saying how I think the campaign will go, if it goes well she will probably win.
I mean I’m just saying how I think the campaign will go, if it goes well she will probably win.
It’s easier to say I’ll be the moderate when you are actually already in
It’s easier to say I’ll be the moderate when you are actually already in
Suozzi is in a completely different situation since he is an incumbent with a moderate record
Suozzi is in a completely different situation since he is an incumbent with a moderate record
Imo I think she will struggle to disassociate from the DSA. They will have full control of NYC right next door.
Imo I think she will struggle to disassociate from the DSA. They will have full control of NYC right next door.
Millions are gonna be spent in the district
Millions are gonna be spent in the district
I’m not saying Lawler is a lock to win but I think he is the narrow favorite after tonight
I’m not saying Lawler is a lock to win but I think he is the narrow favorite after tonight
He outran Harris by 8 points last time before Mamdani
He outran Harris by 8 points last time before Mamdani
It’s why I’m saying specifically I think Mike Lawler is the biggest winner from tonight
It’s why I’m saying specifically I think Mike Lawler is the biggest winner from tonight
Nationwide electorate doesn’t matter in singular districts tho
Nationwide electorate doesn’t matter in singular districts tho
I think he is gonna milk everything he can out of tonight’s primaries though
I think he is gonna milk everything he can out of tonight’s primaries though
Lawler’s seat isn’t nyc
Lawler’s seat isn’t nyc
At least off the top of my head it was something like that
At least off the top of my head it was something like that
Mamdani only won Jewish voters by like 10% that is awful for a Democrat
Mamdani only won Jewish voters by like 10% that is awful for a Democrat
NY Jews are gonna run to the right
NY Jews are gonna run to the right
His district is very Jewish
His district is very Jewish
I think Mike Lawler will win at this point
I think Mike Lawler will win at this point
Dane actually voted against voter id when Milwaukee voted for it
Dane actually voted against voter id when Milwaukee voted for it
There is also Dane County.
There is also Dane County.
I don’t see why the DSA won’t push their luck after tonight, let alone in Milwaukee. I haven’t done the math but I’m pretty sure if Hong won Milwaukee comfortably she wins the primary.
I don’t see why the DSA won’t push their luck after tonight, let alone in Milwaukee. I haven’t done the math but I’m pretty sure if Hong won Milwaukee comfortably she wins the primary.
Not in a primary I don’t believe
Not in a primary I don’t believe