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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1103

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not ess pea 2026-06-24 03:54:03 Kalshi

Inb4 Trump dual endorsement

Inb4 Trump dual endorsement

not ess pea 2026-06-24 00:12:03 Kalshi

https://x.com/zacharydonnini/status/2069445826938560720?s=46

https://x.com/zacharydonnini/status/2069445826938560720?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-24 00:11:58 Kalshi

https://x.com/zacharydonnini/status/2069445825592201464?s=46

https://x.com/zacharydonnini/status/2069445825592201464?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-23 21:45:12 Kalshi

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/2069412802175893852?s=46

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/2069412802175893852?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-23 21:44:07 Kalshi

What would have the Rich Baris vs Roy Cooper margin be

What would have the Rich Baris vs Roy Cooper margin be

not ess pea 2026-06-23 21:43:12 Kalshi

He almost ran this year

He almost ran this year

not ess pea 2026-06-23 21:43:04 Kalshi

Rich Baris will be once he primaries Ted Budd

Rich Baris will be once he primaries Ted Budd

not ess pea 2026-06-23 21:41:18 Kalshi

Ramaswamy has been doing way more on top of his presidential run

Ramaswamy has been doing way more on top of his presidential run

not ess pea 2026-06-23 21:40:51 Kalshi

I think Husted hasn’t gotten his name out enough

I think Husted hasn’t gotten his name out enough

not ess pea 2026-06-23 11:18:52 Kalshi

I still have sayed as the heavy favorite though, it just means the race will probably stay competitive

I still have sayed as the heavy favorite though, it just means the race will probably stay competitive

not ess pea 2026-06-23 11:18:13 Kalshi

Perry Johnson vs Jocelyn Benson would’ve been Josh Shapiro/Josh Stein numbers

Perry Johnson vs Jocelyn Benson would’ve been Josh Shapiro/Josh Stein numbers

not ess pea 2026-06-23 11:17:42 Kalshi

Cause it means the governors race won’t be a blowout

Cause it means the governors race won’t be a blowout

not ess pea 2026-06-23 11:17:30 Kalshi

John James locking up the nomination in Michigan is huge for rogers tbh

John James locking up the nomination in Michigan is huge for rogers tbh

not ess pea 2026-06-23 11:17:09 Kalshi

He also released a Sayed push poll recently

He also released a Sayed push poll recently

not ess pea 2026-06-23 08:49:33 Kalshi

James Fishback and Dan Bilzerian, the future for Florida is bright!

James Fishback and Dan Bilzerian, the future for Florida is bright!

not ess pea 2026-06-23 08:49:15 Kalshi

I trade based only on America first candidates

I trade based only on America first candidates

not ess pea 2026-06-23 08:37:42 Kalshi

I’m sure this map will be very accurate with the actual votes

I’m sure this map will be very accurate with the actual votes

not ess pea 2026-06-23 08:36:48 Kalshi

https://x.com/umichvoter/status/2069165524206977253?s=46 I love making things up

https://x.com/umichvoter/status/2069165524206977253?s=46 I love making things up

not ess pea 2026-06-23 08:34:28 Kalshi

I’ll try

I’ll try

not ess pea 2026-06-23 08:33:17 Kalshi

He is a big Israel controls the world guy

He is a big Israel controls the world guy

not ess pea 2026-06-23 08:33:11 Kalshi

Probably

Probably

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:56:39 Kalshi

Gambaro Fall after Reynoso Summer

Gambaro Fall after Reynoso Summer

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:56:08 Kalshi

Bought at 1% lol

Bought at 1% lol

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:55:58 Kalshi

Getting there

Getting there

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:55:46 Kalshi

Only if Charles Gambaro wins

Only if Charles Gambaro wins

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:54:46 Kalshi

I doubt Emerson would find another D+10 sample if they repolled today

I doubt Emerson would find another D+10 sample if they repolled today

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:54:28 Kalshi

His D+13 poll also skewed the RCP a ton with the Emerson poll but I actually trust Emerson’s poll more since it was when gas was like 4.50

His D+13 poll also skewed the RCP a ton with the Emerson poll but I actually trust Emerson’s poll more since it was when gas was like 4.50

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:53:39 Kalshi

I knew everything he was saying was bs when he said Trump was underwater in KY-04

I knew everything he was saying was bs when he said Trump was underwater in KY-04

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:53:09 Kalshi

Rich Baris in Kentucky was a great example

Rich Baris in Kentucky was a great example

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:50:27 Kalshi

In reality your own research is better than anything these guys will try to sell you

In reality your own research is better than anything these guys will try to sell you

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:49:50 Kalshi

The thing is most of these analysts make what they want to push

The thing is most of these analysts make what they want to push

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:47:10 Kalshi

I remember when people treated ralston like a god after 2022 and he was immediately wrong in the next cycle

I remember when people treated ralston like a god after 2022 and he was immediately wrong in the next cycle

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:46:49 Kalshi

Have any of these data analyst users on Twitter ever been right

Have any of these data analyst users on Twitter ever been right

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:45:59 Kalshi

I hate Adam Carlson

I hate Adam Carlson

not ess pea 2026-06-23 07:45:25 Kalshi

Wan123 is the same user who dumped 25k on Espillat

Wan123 is the same user who dumped 25k on Espillat

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:46:37 Kalshi

Turek needs to get his fundraising up

Turek needs to get his fundraising up

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:45:12 Kalshi

I’m pretty sure his district would flip if the GB is that red in Texas

I’m pretty sure his district would flip if the GB is that red in Texas

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:44:58 Kalshi

Also Cuellar probably doesn’t like that generic ballot

Also Cuellar probably doesn’t like that generic ballot

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:43:56 Kalshi

Turek > Talarico I stand by this

Turek > Talarico I stand by this

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:42:33 Kalshi

lol I knew it would be Paxton+2 and Abbott +10 I think I literally said it in a group chat

lol I knew it would be Paxton+2 and Abbott +10 I think I literally said it in a group chat

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:42:19 Kalshi

https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2069173601434226986?s=46kl

https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2069173601434226986?s=46kl

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:39:46 Kalshi

Bass only would’ve beat Pratt because Pratt is a Republican

Bass only would’ve beat Pratt because Pratt is a Republican

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:39:35 Kalshi

She is too unpopular of an incumbent

She is too unpopular of an incumbent

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:39:21 Kalshi

Bass only had a chance vs Pratt imo

Bass only had a chance vs Pratt imo

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:38:57 Kalshi

I think bass is cooked in November

I think bass is cooked in November

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:37:32 Kalshi

Especially because I remember how cheap I bought mamdani at year, just makes me upset I bought when it was basically even lol.

Especially because I remember how cheap I bought mamdani at year, just makes me upset I bought when it was basically even lol.

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:36:56 Kalshi

WY-AL Democratic Nominee <@1066645794108735510>

WY-AL Democratic Nominee <@1066645794108735510>

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:34:54 Kalshi

Like just by doing research on the district I still think she will be fine

Like just by doing research on the district I still think she will be fine

not ess pea 2026-06-23 05:34:34 Kalshi

It’s probably the same whale who caused the last one

It’s probably the same whale who caused the last one

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