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not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:02:44 Kalshi

Mamdani campaigned on fighting back against Trump on all means necessary

Mamdani campaigned on fighting back against Trump on all means necessary

not ess pea 2026-06-21 02:01:57 Kalshi

Most of these leftists also would protest against a deportation before they even know the reason

Most of these leftists also would protest against a deportation before they even know the reason

not ess pea 2026-06-21 01:58:52 Kalshi

It’s what turned California blue

It’s what turned California blue

The district is Mamdani+.30 and the incumbent is polling in the 30s I find it very unlikely the undecided’s break for Espaillat

The district is Mamdani+.30 and the incumbent is polling in the 30s I find it very unlikely the undecided’s break for Espaillat

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:10:36 Kalshi

Ossoff is way better at articulating his views than Newsom just being woke 2.0. It’s why he is gonna shoot up to 1st for 2028 if bottoms wins

Ossoff is way better at articulating his views than Newsom just being woke 2.0. It’s why he is gonna shoot up to 1st for 2028 if bottoms wins

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:10:01 Kalshi

Probably up there with Platner

Probably up there with Platner

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:09:51 Kalshi

Yeah Mike Collins is a disaster

Yeah Mike Collins is a disaster

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:07:58 Kalshi

Husted was DeWine’s Lt Governor

Husted was DeWine’s Lt Governor

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:07:45 Kalshi

Yes Trump is a maga candidate but it’s different than a guy he ran to run off him

Yes Trump is a maga candidate but it’s different than a guy he ran to run off him

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:07:20 Kalshi

Vance and Moreno both underperformed meanwhile DeWine and Trump swept

Vance and Moreno both underperformed meanwhile DeWine and Trump swept

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:07:02 Kalshi

Ohio is also a very moderate red state in the idea that they prefer generic R’s over MAGA candidates

Ohio is also a very moderate red state in the idea that they prefer generic R’s over MAGA candidates

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:06:42 Kalshi

Asking for donations

Asking for donations

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:06:35 Kalshi

I’ve been getting Talarico and Ossoff ads in Florida

I’ve been getting Talarico and Ossoff ads in Florida

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:06:21 Kalshi

He keeps on getting donations

He keeps on getting donations

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:05:50 Kalshi

It’s Talarico and Ossoff who are getting all of the money this year

It’s Talarico and Ossoff who are getting all of the money this year

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:05:41 Kalshi

Brown was also really well funded in 2024

Brown was also really well funded in 2024

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:05:29 Kalshi

Husted is already leading in some

Husted is already leading in some

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:05:25 Kalshi

Moreno did not lead in any polls until September too

Moreno did not lead in any polls until September too

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:04:50 Kalshi

The country is just really polarized

The country is just really polarized

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:04:20 Kalshi

I think one of peltola and brown will win but probably not both

I think one of peltola and brown will win but probably not both

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:03:49 Kalshi

Florida, Texas, Nebraska, Montana the GOP will hold

Florida, Texas, Nebraska, Montana the GOP will hold

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:03:08 Kalshi

Like outside of some good recruits in Ohio and Alaska I don’t think most red states will be all that close on the senate level

Like outside of some good recruits in Ohio and Alaska I don’t think most red states will be all that close on the senate level

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:02:15 Kalshi

The swing states will always be closer than the red and blue states

The swing states will always be closer than the red and blue states

not ess pea 2026-06-20 13:00:27 Kalshi

John James did almost beat incumbent Gary Peters in 2020’s D+5 environment

John James did almost beat incumbent Gary Peters in 2020’s D+5 environment

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:58:45 Kalshi

It’s why I’m so skeptical of how winnable it is in a blue year

It’s why I’m so skeptical of how winnable it is in a blue year

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:58:19 Kalshi

The thing about Michigan is that other than Trump they haven’t voted Republican for anything in recent history

The thing about Michigan is that other than Trump they haven’t voted Republican for anything in recent history

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:57:47 Kalshi

But like I still don’t know if that will be enough

But like I still don’t know if that will be enough

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:57:32 Kalshi

El Sayed could get nuked in the rurals just because of his name tbh

El Sayed could get nuked in the rurals just because of his name tbh

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:53:53 Kalshi

Idk I could see it in another year but Dems are really really angry

Idk I could see it in another year but Dems are really really angry

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:53:41 Kalshi

You think Haley Stevens voters will break for Mike Rogers?

You think Haley Stevens voters will break for Mike Rogers?

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:53:10 Kalshi

I think VA was a whole different case of candidate quality and the shut down

I think VA was a whole different case of candidate quality and the shut down

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:52:50 Kalshi

NJ was a wake up call for republicans though that the gains they made were slipping away. Ciattarelli only outperformed Trump 2020 by 2% iirc

NJ was a wake up call for republicans though that the gains they made were slipping away. Ciattarelli only outperformed Trump 2020 by 2% iirc

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:52:08 Kalshi

2025 in NYC and NJ had the highest turnout ever for an off year

2025 in NYC and NJ had the highest turnout ever for an off year

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:51:49 Kalshi

Turnout on both sides will be high

Turnout on both sides will be high

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:50:10 Kalshi

They also didn’t vote for Mike Rogers either in 2024

They also didn’t vote for Mike Rogers either in 2024

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:50:02 Kalshi

They were very anti war in 2024 and viewed Trump as the preferable candidate

They were very anti war in 2024 and viewed Trump as the preferable candidate

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:49:44 Kalshi

Trump made most of his gains in Michigan through the Muslim community

Trump made most of his gains in Michigan through the Muslim community

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:49:35 Kalshi

I think there’s gonna be a big blue wave in Michigan

I think there’s gonna be a big blue wave in Michigan

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:49:27 Kalshi

El Sayed though in Michigan will probably pull it out

El Sayed though in Michigan will probably pull it out

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