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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1103

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not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:49:12 Kalshi

I just don’t see a state that voted for Ron Johnson and Trump electing a democratic socialist for governor

I just don’t see a state that voted for Ron Johnson and Trump electing a democratic socialist for governor

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:48:30 Kalshi

I remember when Andrew Gillum was the progressive candidate in my state (Florida) in 2018

I remember when Andrew Gillum was the progressive candidate in my state (Florida) in 2018

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:47:45 Kalshi

GOP could flip Wisconsin along with Kansas if they really nominate Franchesa Hong

GOP could flip Wisconsin along with Kansas if they really nominate Franchesa Hong

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:47:24 Kalshi

Yeah I think Dems flip AK and IA on the governor levels

Yeah I think Dems flip AK and IA on the governor levels

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:46:27 Kalshi

He is gonna destroy Zach Lahn imo

He is gonna destroy Zach Lahn imo

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:45:49 Kalshi

Rob Sand in Iowa though is so impressive

Rob Sand in Iowa though is so impressive

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:45:37 Kalshi

Talarico has said a lot of woke 1.0 stuff in a state as culturally conservative as Texas. I also don’t buy the Paxton is electoral opinion argument when he has already won statewide 3 times.

Talarico has said a lot of woke 1.0 stuff in a state as culturally conservative as Texas. I also don’t buy the Paxton is electoral opinion argument when he has already won statewide 3 times.

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:45:04 Kalshi

Talarico is the most overrated candidate of the cycle imo. Turek, Peltola, Brown, Cooper are all way better for their states

Talarico is the most overrated candidate of the cycle imo. Turek, Peltola, Brown, Cooper are all way better for their states

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:44:35 Kalshi

I think Paxton and Ricketts are very underpriced right now

I think Paxton and Ricketts are very underpriced right now

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:43:52 Kalshi

So it messed up the numbers

So it messed up the numbers

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:43:48 Kalshi

Costello got more votes than I thought he would

Costello got more votes than I thought he would

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:43:38 Kalshi

It would’ve been a 500 dollar payout

It would’ve been a 500 dollar payout

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:43:33 Kalshi

I had money on plantner winning by under 50 points and I lost by 2 points

I had money on plantner winning by under 50 points and I lost by 2 points

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:41:47 Kalshi

Overall I’d say Platner is the favorite

Overall I’d say Platner is the favorite

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:41:38 Kalshi

Platner is also not the greatest opponent but Dems are standing behind him

Platner is also not the greatest opponent but Dems are standing behind him

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:41:25 Kalshi

People like to compare her to tester but Montana is way more red than Maine is blue

People like to compare her to tester but Montana is way more red than Maine is blue

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:41:09 Kalshi

Collins is a strong incumbent with a history of strong overpreformances but Maine is still a blue state

Collins is a strong incumbent with a history of strong overpreformances but Maine is still a blue state

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:40:38 Kalshi

I think it’s about right

I think it’s about right

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:39:48 Kalshi

On if he will win?

On if he will win?

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:38:03 Kalshi

Thanks

Thanks

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:36:12 Kalshi

In reality I’m up 500 not 600

In reality I’m up 500 not 600

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:36:04 Kalshi

The election’s tab is inflated because of the current bet

The election’s tab is inflated because of the current bet

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:35:19 Kalshi

So I think I know a little bit

So I think I know a little bit

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:35:15 Kalshi

I’m up 500 bucks on elections

I’m up 500 bucks on elections

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:33:52 Kalshi

No 💀

No 💀

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:33:34 Kalshi

What about him

What about him

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:33:20 Kalshi

Like I said if nothing happens in like a week I’m selling

Like I said if nothing happens in like a week I’m selling

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:32:51 Kalshi

If Trump is gonna get serious about ousting fine he needs to start soon

If Trump is gonna get serious about ousting fine he needs to start soon

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:32:40 Kalshi

Yeah Trump cares about his record and the primary is in 2 months

Yeah Trump cares about his record and the primary is in 2 months

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:30:54 Kalshi

Like I said I think if fine moves past today with no issue and the administration holds no grudges he wins pretty easily

Like I said I think if fine moves past today with no issue and the administration holds no grudges he wins pretty easily

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:30:10 Kalshi

Like he will say dumb things but the thing that could actually cost his re election bid is if Trump takes away his endorsement

Like he will say dumb things but the thing that could actually cost his re election bid is if Trump takes away his endorsement

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:29:48 Kalshi

No and Yes

No and Yes

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:29:15 Kalshi

But nobody challenged Boebert since it was past the deadline

But nobody challenged Boebert since it was past the deadline

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:29:09 Kalshi

It all depends on if Trump responds to Fine being anti Vance, Trump wanted to primary Boebert for just campaigning with TM.

It all depends on if Trump responds to Fine being anti Vance, Trump wanted to primary Boebert for just campaigning with TM.

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:28:31 Kalshi

Like if nothing changes in a week and fine stays quiet after tonight’s crashout he is fine

Like if nothing changes in a week and fine stays quiet after tonight’s crashout he is fine

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:27:42 Kalshi

Gambaro actually has a path if keeps on being anti Vance/the Trump administration

Gambaro actually has a path if keeps on being anti Vance/the Trump administration

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:27:29 Kalshi

They are groyper candidates

They are groyper candidates

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:27:15 Kalshi

Well Bilzerian and Baker are DOA

Well Bilzerian and Baker are DOA

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:24:24 Kalshi

I believe because that dude sold his no position

I believe because that dude sold his no position

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:24:12 Kalshi

Odds back to 2%

Odds back to 2%

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:23:26 Kalshi

I mean it’s still nice to see my money going up

I mean it’s still nice to see my money going up

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:22:11 Kalshi

Yeah Trump isn’t gonna endorse either of the groyper candidates

Yeah Trump isn’t gonna endorse either of the groyper candidates

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:21:43 Kalshi

I was just the first

I was just the first

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:21:33 Kalshi

Other people did

Other people did

not ess pea 2026-06-20 12:21:30 Kalshi

lol no

lol no

not ess pea 2026-06-20 11:17:02 Kalshi

Once a truth social comes out of Trump trashing fine my Gambaro contract is gonna hit like crack

Once a truth social comes out of Trump trashing fine my Gambaro contract is gonna hit like crack

not ess pea 2026-06-20 11:15:38 Kalshi

Gambaro has now passed Bilzerian and Baker

Gambaro has now passed Bilzerian and Baker

not ess pea 2026-06-20 09:47:50 Kalshi

Filing deadline has passed in Florida

Filing deadline has passed in Florida

not ess pea 2026-06-20 09:46:27 Kalshi

Bilzerian and Baker are both groypers

Bilzerian and Baker are both groypers

not ess pea 2026-06-20 09:46:17 Kalshi

Everyone else running is a groyper

Everyone else running is a groyper

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