秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1103

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 1103 条,显示第 951-1000 条
not ess pea 2026-06-20 09:46:13 Kalshi

My theory is that if fine keeps attacking the administration Trump will settle for Gambaro

My theory is that if fine keeps attacking the administration Trump will settle for Gambaro

not ess pea 2026-06-20 09:41:12 Kalshi

Currently tied with Blizerian, the other groyper

Currently tied with Blizerian, the other groyper

not ess pea 2026-06-20 09:40:57 Kalshi

Gambaro has now surpassed Baker

Gambaro has now surpassed Baker

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:53:37 Kalshi

If Trump endorses against Fine, it has to be Gambaro

If Trump endorses against Fine, it has to be Gambaro

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:53:24 Kalshi

Only candidate who isn’t a groyper and has a campaign

Only candidate who isn’t a groyper and has a campaign

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:22:31 Kalshi

Ed Gallrein was a nobody too until he was the normie r running against Massie

Ed Gallrein was a nobody too until he was the normie r running against Massie

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:21:49 Kalshi

For some reason the last name for Thomas is a banned word?

For some reason the last name for Thomas is a banned word?

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:21:41 Kalshi

Greene and Thomas

Greene and Thomas

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:18:02 Kalshi

Every Republican who has attacked this admin got dealt with

Every Republican who has attacked this admin got dealt with

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:11:34 Kalshi

He hates the Iran deal

He hates the Iran deal

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:11:25 Kalshi

No fine literally just tweeted he isn’t supporting Jd anymore

No fine literally just tweeted he isn’t supporting Jd anymore

not ess pea 2026-06-20 08:09:34 Kalshi

Fine is attacking JD, could see Trump endorsing one of the challengers in the field

Fine is attacking JD, could see Trump endorsing one of the challengers in the field

not ess pea 2026-06-20 06:48:54 Kalshi

<@1066645794108735510> Vermont at Large Republican nominee

<@1066645794108735510> Vermont at Large Republican nominee

not ess pea 2026-06-20 06:48:07 Kalshi

<@1066645794108735510> Wyoming At Large democratic nominee

<@1066645794108735510> Wyoming At Large democratic nominee

not ess pea 2026-06-20 05:13:14 Kalshi

I don’t usually do bets for elections that are not for awhile but this felt like a steal

I don’t usually do bets for elections that are not for awhile but this felt like a steal

not ess pea 2026-06-20 05:11:30 Kalshi

I like my odds at 13% with the person who actually filed with the FEC

I like my odds at 13% with the person who actually filed with the FEC

not ess pea 2026-06-20 05:11:14 Kalshi

Also lol

Also lol

not ess pea 2026-06-20 05:10:59 Kalshi

If the electorate is even somewhat similar to 2025 DAC will be fine, not to mention how bad Espaillat is polling as the incumbent

If the electorate is even somewhat similar to 2025 DAC will be fine, not to mention how bad Espaillat is polling as the incumbent

not ess pea 2026-06-20 05:09:52 Kalshi

New York isn’t a big EV state

New York isn’t a big EV state

not ess pea 2026-06-20 03:11:04 Kalshi

<@1066645794108735510> 2026 Wyoming Senate Democratic Nominee

<@1066645794108735510> 2026 Wyoming Senate Democratic Nominee

not ess pea 2026-06-19 07:25:30 Kalshi

<@1066645794108735510> Arizona Republican Gubernatorial primary margin of victory

<@1066645794108735510> Arizona Republican Gubernatorial primary margin of victory

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:49:40 Kalshi

Probably voted for him in 06 and was a Clinton Dem but moved to the right under Obama

Probably voted for him in 06 and was a Clinton Dem but moved to the right under Obama

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:49:13 Kalshi

Wouldn’t a lot of them also be sick of Sherrod Brown

Wouldn’t a lot of them also be sick of Sherrod Brown

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:48:20 Kalshi

The far right R’s are kind of a myth though

The far right R’s are kind of a myth though

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:44:26 Kalshi

The DeWine R’s would unironically eat that up

The DeWine R’s would unironically eat that up

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:44:17 Kalshi

Ramaswamy needs to moderate, I saw a video of Acton saying she would have republicans in her cabinet

Ramaswamy needs to moderate, I saw a video of Acton saying she would have republicans in her cabinet

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:43:43 Kalshi

I could see the DeWine R’s breaking for Acton Husted when it’s said and done

I could see the DeWine R’s breaking for Acton Husted when it’s said and done

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:43:16 Kalshi

Tim Ryan wouldn’t do that

Tim Ryan wouldn’t do that

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:43:10 Kalshi

I saw some video of Sherrod folding to some Republican guy screaming at him at an event

I saw some video of Sherrod folding to some Republican guy screaming at him at an event

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:42:54 Kalshi

I just think when the debates come around and Sherrod Brown has to do more interviews the age factor will show for sure

I just think when the debates come around and Sherrod Brown has to do more interviews the age factor will show for sure

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:42:19 Kalshi

He would have had a chance if he actually tried

He would have had a chance if he actually tried

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:41:46 Kalshi

For those who don’t remember in 2018, Ohio senate was safe d and polls underestimated Recacci by like 10 points

For those who don’t remember in 2018, Ohio senate was safe d and polls underestimated Recacci by like 10 points

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:41:01 Kalshi

It’ll be a close one regardless

It’ll be a close one regardless

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:40:39 Kalshi

Husted will win the DeWine Republicans who held their nose for Sherrod and Ryan

Husted will win the DeWine Republicans who held their nose for Sherrod and Ryan

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:39:43 Kalshi

RCV is gonna favor tom begich so hard

RCV is gonna favor tom begich so hard

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:39:37 Kalshi

I also think Dems flip Alaska Governor quite easily the field is so big for republicans

I also think Dems flip Alaska Governor quite easily the field is so big for republicans

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:39:19 Kalshi

Sherrod is just really old atp and coming off a loss vs a car salesman

Sherrod is just really old atp and coming off a loss vs a car salesman

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:38:52 Kalshi

My hottest take is Tim Ryan would have been stronger than Sherrod this time

My hottest take is Tim Ryan would have been stronger than Sherrod this time

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:38:37 Kalshi

Tim Ryan is a beast

Tim Ryan is a beast

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:38:34 Kalshi

Oh for sure

Oh for sure

not ess pea 2026-06-18 06:33:28 Kalshi

I can’t wait for Pratt Summer

I can’t wait for Pratt Summer

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:56:31 Kalshi

He was his Lt governor

He was his Lt governor

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:56:28 Kalshi

Husted is also a big DeWine guy

Husted is also a big DeWine guy

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:48:40 Kalshi

I just think out of all of his opponents in the modern era husted is by far the strongest

I just think out of all of his opponents in the modern era husted is by far the strongest

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:48:19 Kalshi

Husted has won statewide before

Husted has won statewide before

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:48:13 Kalshi

That was in 2006 tho

That was in 2006 tho

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:47:51 Kalshi

Moreno and Renacci

Moreno and Renacci

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:47:47 Kalshi

Tbf he has ran against awful candidates

Tbf he has ran against awful candidates

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:39:46 Kalshi

Which is what the current odds suggest

Which is what the current odds suggest

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:39:42 Kalshi

I’d just be surprised if Ramaswamy does better than Husted

I’d just be surprised if Ramaswamy does better than Husted

← 上一页 第 20 / 23 页 下一页 →