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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1103

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not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:39:35 Kalshi

Early Ohio polls are pretty bad anyway

Early Ohio polls are pretty bad anyway

not ess pea 2026-06-18 04:38:04 Kalshi

I think the governor and senate odds should be reversed

I think the governor and senate odds should be reversed

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:45:04 Kalshi

Even though overall I’d say it was a net positive interview for Vance

Even though overall I’d say it was a net positive interview for Vance

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:44:53 Kalshi

When I heard he was going on the view I thought yeah he is worried about Rubio and after watching some clips it confirmed my suspicion more

When I heard he was going on the view I thought yeah he is worried about Rubio and after watching some clips it confirmed my suspicion more

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:44:02 Kalshi

He actually acted like a regular person on the view

He actually acted like a regular person on the view

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:43:56 Kalshi

Also Vance is totally terrified of Rubio now

Also Vance is totally terrified of Rubio now

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:41:38 Kalshi

The more candidates in the field the better for her since name recognition can do crazy things

The more candidates in the field the better for her since name recognition can do crazy things

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:40:50 Kalshi

Idk I just think a year ago if you told me if Harris has a chance I’d say hell no but now I think yeah she does

Idk I just think a year ago if you told me if Harris has a chance I’d say hell no but now I think yeah she does

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:38:35 Kalshi

Yeah I’m right Harris isn’t on here

Yeah I’m right Harris isn’t on here

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:37:38 Kalshi

There was no 2024 primary

There was no 2024 primary

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:37:08 Kalshi

In 2020

In 2020

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:37:04 Kalshi

Wasn’t she withdrawn though

Wasn’t she withdrawn though

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:35:44 Kalshi

Newsom is only able to successfully run the shadow campaign right now cause he has nothing on the line in November and already delivered a big victory with prop 50

Newsom is only able to successfully run the shadow campaign right now cause he has nothing on the line in November and already delivered a big victory with prop 50

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:34:37 Kalshi

The party doesn’t like when you set your personal ambitions over the party

The party doesn’t like when you set your personal ambitions over the party

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:34:13 Kalshi

A lot of these politicians like to say I’m focusing on November

A lot of these politicians like to say I’m focusing on November

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:33:55 Kalshi

Yeah he did

Yeah he did

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:33:45 Kalshi

California is D+30 and Florida is R+10

California is D+30 and Florida is R+10

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:33:38 Kalshi

Even though it’s red but still

Even though it’s red but still

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:33:33 Kalshi

Florida is way more purple than California

Florida is way more purple than California

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:33:17 Kalshi

Newsom would do fine in California but I genuinely believe Harris would beat him

Newsom would do fine in California but I genuinely believe Harris would beat him

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:32:57 Kalshi

DeSantis won by more than Newsom in 2022

DeSantis won by more than Newsom in 2022

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:32:25 Kalshi

Senator Talarico and Senator Sullivan what a truth nuke

Senator Talarico and Senator Sullivan what a truth nuke

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:31:48 Kalshi

I’m pretty sure Harris is more popular in California than Newsom

I’m pretty sure Harris is more popular in California than Newsom

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:31:39 Kalshi

So did Obama in like 06 but he just genuinely seems uninterested

So did Obama in like 06 but he just genuinely seems uninterested

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:31:03 Kalshi

I think Wes Moore is a big sleeper candidate but he isn’t interested I believe

I think Wes Moore is a big sleeper candidate but he isn’t interested I believe

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:30:32 Kalshi

If the southern states are later she is cooked

If the southern states are later she is cooked

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:30:07 Kalshi

Pay attention to who these presidential candidates back in primaries cause Chip Roy and Thomas Massie both backed DeSantis and DeSantis never endorsed them back

Pay attention to who these presidential candidates back in primaries cause Chip Roy and Thomas Massie both backed DeSantis and DeSantis never endorsed them back

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:29:28 Kalshi

Newsom endorsed rob sand

Newsom endorsed rob sand

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:29:14 Kalshi

Yeah that’s the thing a year ago I thought no way she already lost, but she clearly wants back in

Yeah that’s the thing a year ago I thought no way she already lost, but she clearly wants back in

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:28:47 Kalshi

California would be safe Harris too

California would be safe Harris too

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:28:42 Kalshi

The south would all be safe Harris

The south would all be safe Harris

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:28:35 Kalshi

She has been endorsing a ton of progressives off the top of my head she endorsed Crockett over Talarico

She has been endorsing a ton of progressives off the top of my head she endorsed Crockett over Talarico

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:28:02 Kalshi

Ossoff would be the favorite in NH I think

Ossoff would be the favorite in NH I think

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:27:45 Kalshi

Harris has been going pretty far left since she lost she has been endorsing a bunch of progressives

Harris has been going pretty far left since she lost she has been endorsing a bunch of progressives

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:27:31 Kalshi

They like normie dems

They like normie dems

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:27:08 Kalshi

I think Harris would lose nh

I think Harris would lose nh

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:26:53 Kalshi

And Trump lost it by 2%

And Trump lost it by 2%

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:26:48 Kalshi

They keep electing republicans for governor

They keep electing republicans for governor

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:26:42 Kalshi

NH might be a swing state depending on how relevant Trump is by election season 2028

NH might be a swing state depending on how relevant Trump is by election season 2028

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:26:16 Kalshi

Something like that probably

Something like that probably

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:25:11 Kalshi

Newsom and Ossoff both being in would also make the minority vote safe Harris

Newsom and Ossoff both being in would also make the minority vote safe Harris

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:22:04 Kalshi

Clyburn not being drawn out is huge for Harris

Clyburn not being drawn out is huge for Harris

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:21:46 Kalshi

A year ago if you said Harris I’d call you crazy cause she already lost but she has been staying around

A year ago if you said Harris I’d call you crazy cause she already lost but she has been staying around

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:19:14 Kalshi

Kentucky and NYC also are also very different when it comes to AIPAC

Kentucky and NYC also are also very different when it comes to AIPAC

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:18:01 Kalshi

No way Undecideds don’t break for the Mamdani endorsed candidate

No way Undecideds don’t break for the Mamdani endorsed candidate

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:17:41 Kalshi

Darializa could win big

Darializa could win big

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:16:42 Kalshi

Incumbent is also polling in the 30s lol

Incumbent is also polling in the 30s lol

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:16:36 Kalshi

I would put more but I need to follow my own personal rules I made for myself

I would put more but I need to follow my own personal rules I made for myself

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:16:20 Kalshi

Mamdani+30 district

Mamdani+30 district

not ess pea 2026-06-18 03:15:58 Kalshi

Just wait a bit longer

Just wait a bit longer

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