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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1092

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not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:38:14 Kalshi

no they aren’t real

no they aren’t real

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:34:21 Kalshi

Maybe tilt Weiser if I had to choose

Maybe tilt Weiser if I had to choose

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:34:04 Kalshi

I think it’s a 50-50 race tbh

I think it’s a 50-50 race tbh

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:33:59 Kalshi

Yeah market totally overreacted

Yeah market totally overreacted

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:33:00 Kalshi

Also helps Weiser he has held statewide office before

Also helps Weiser he has held statewide office before

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:31:31 Kalshi

I think that’s the difference between Weiser and Gonzales that Weiser has held his own, but will it be enough?

I think that’s the difference between Weiser and Gonzales that Weiser has held his own, but will it be enough?

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:31:14 Kalshi

Agreed

Agreed

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:30:00 Kalshi

If Bennet squeaks out a win solely on name recognition I would not be surprised

If Bennet squeaks out a win solely on name recognition I would not be surprised

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:29:10 Kalshi

Name recognition is big for these candidates and a lot of comparisons are being made to NY-13. But people don’t take into account how much pushing Mamdani did for DAC.

Name recognition is big for these candidates and a lot of comparisons are being made to NY-13. But people don’t take into account how much pushing Mamdani did for DAC.

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:28:27 Kalshi

I think Bennet is more likely than Gonzales

I think Bennet is more likely than Gonzales

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:28:13 Kalshi

eh who really knows

eh who really knows

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:26:52 Kalshi

I just don’t think Bennet is unpopular enough for a blowout. It’ll be a close margin in either direction imo

I just don’t think Bennet is unpopular enough for a blowout. It’ll be a close margin in either direction imo

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:15:54 Kalshi

The poll also had a ton of undecideds and name recognition can carry bennet if it comes down to them

The poll also had a ton of undecideds and name recognition can carry bennet if it comes down to them

not ess pea 2026-06-29 08:15:31 Kalshi

I think the nyc vibe shift

I think the nyc vibe shift

not ess pea 2026-06-29 07:41:00 Kalshi

https://x.com/chaznuttycombe/status/2071351989556940880?s=46

https://x.com/chaznuttycombe/status/2071351989556940880?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-29 07:20:25 Kalshi

https://x.com/drewsav/status/2071329176016003548?s=46

https://x.com/drewsav/status/2071329176016003548?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-29 02:12:45 Kalshi

is it really a big day though

is it really a big day though

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:43:25 Kalshi

Boycott Elon or whatever

Boycott Elon or whatever

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:43:22 Kalshi

I love how there is no Twitter account

I love how there is no Twitter account

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:06:52 Kalshi

Cause everyone will enter early 2027

Cause everyone will enter early 2027

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:06:46 Kalshi

The 2027 markets are gonna be carried by the primaries

The 2027 markets are gonna be carried by the primaries

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:06:00 Kalshi

but it’s still 3 years early so who really knows

but it’s still 3 years early so who really knows

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:05:48 Kalshi

I think Ron Johnson’s senate seat flips he’s gonna retire

I think Ron Johnson’s senate seat flips he’s gonna retire

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:05:37 Kalshi

There’s already a ton of 2028 markets open

There’s already a ton of 2028 markets open

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:04:49 Kalshi

Im up 900 bucks rn but im pretty comfortable in saying I’ll finish this primary season with like 1.2K in profit maybe? Maybe by November 1.5K.

Im up 900 bucks rn but im pretty comfortable in saying I’ll finish this primary season with like 1.2K in profit maybe? Maybe by November 1.5K.

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:04:17 Kalshi

I just think by 2028 I’ll already have experience on a whole cycle on the app so I’ll be more comfortable betting large amounts too.

I just think by 2028 I’ll already have experience on a whole cycle on the app so I’ll be more comfortable betting large amounts too.

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:03:33 Kalshi

Trump was down by 14 points in summer 2020 during the blm protests and he only lost by 40k votes in a few states

Trump was down by 14 points in summer 2020 during the blm protests and he only lost by 40k votes in a few states

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:03:08 Kalshi

I’m not betting on 2028 until like September

I’m not betting on 2028 until like September

not ess pea 2026-06-28 11:00:58 Kalshi

I’m prob gonna take a break from Kalshi after November and lock in for 2028 primaries when they happen

I’m prob gonna take a break from Kalshi after November and lock in for 2028 primaries when they happen

not ess pea 2026-06-28 10:53:53 Kalshi

I may be wrong tho this is all off the top of my head

I may be wrong tho this is all off the top of my head

not ess pea 2026-06-28 10:53:38 Kalshi

The deadline was by like summer 2027 or something like that

The deadline was by like summer 2027 or something like that

not ess pea 2026-06-28 10:53:29 Kalshi

One of the judges who voted to overturn is retiring in January though

One of the judges who voted to overturn is retiring in January though

not ess pea 2026-06-28 10:50:20 Kalshi

Right now it’s still conservative majority on VA SCOTUS until then

Right now it’s still conservative majority on VA SCOTUS until then

not ess pea 2026-06-28 10:49:50 Kalshi

I’m pretty sure the ruling will be overturned when one of the judges get retired I think I heard in January?

I’m pretty sure the ruling will be overturned when one of the judges get retired I think I heard in January?

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