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no they aren’t real
no they aren’t real
Maybe tilt Weiser if I had to choose
Maybe tilt Weiser if I had to choose
I think it’s a 50-50 race tbh
I think it’s a 50-50 race tbh
Yeah market totally overreacted
Yeah market totally overreacted
Also helps Weiser he has held statewide office before
Also helps Weiser he has held statewide office before
I think that’s the difference between Weiser and Gonzales that Weiser has held his own, but will it be enough?
I think that’s the difference between Weiser and Gonzales that Weiser has held his own, but will it be enough?
Agreed
Agreed
If Bennet squeaks out a win solely on name recognition I would not be surprised
If Bennet squeaks out a win solely on name recognition I would not be surprised
Name recognition is big for these candidates and a lot of comparisons are being made to NY-13. But people don’t take into account how much pushing Mamdani did for DAC.
Name recognition is big for these candidates and a lot of comparisons are being made to NY-13. But people don’t take into account how much pushing Mamdani did for DAC.
I think Bennet is more likely than Gonzales
I think Bennet is more likely than Gonzales
eh who really knows
eh who really knows
I just don’t think Bennet is unpopular enough for a blowout. It’ll be a close margin in either direction imo
I just don’t think Bennet is unpopular enough for a blowout. It’ll be a close margin in either direction imo
The poll also had a ton of undecideds and name recognition can carry bennet if it comes down to them
The poll also had a ton of undecideds and name recognition can carry bennet if it comes down to them
I think the nyc vibe shift
I think the nyc vibe shift
I believe Bennet is a undervalued even though I still think Weiser is a slight favorite
I believe Bennet is a undervalued even though I still think Weiser is a slight favorite
Incumbent AG vs Incumbent Senator Gonzales seems to have picked up no momentum, despite Hickenlooper being in theory possible to take down.
Incumbent AG vs Incumbent Senator Gonzales seems to have picked up no momentum, despite Hickenlooper being in theory possible to take down.
Yeah after doing more research Bennet vs Weiser will be the closest race
Yeah after doing more research Bennet vs Weiser will be the closest race
I think Bennet is a little underpriced tho
I think Bennet is a little underpriced tho
I take this back
I take this back
Hickenlooper, Weiser and Kiros all seem to be favorites
Hickenlooper, Weiser and Kiros all seem to be favorites
https://x.com/chaznuttycombe/status/2071351989556940880?s=46
https://x.com/chaznuttycombe/status/2071351989556940880?s=46
I’d imagine Bennet and Hickenlooper have similar coalitions
I’d imagine Bennet and Hickenlooper have similar coalitions
Like if hickenlooper was at 60%-50% I think that would be a good buy
Like if hickenlooper was at 60%-50% I think that would be a good buy
It’s still probably lean Hickenlooper
It’s still probably lean Hickenlooper
https://x.com/drewsav/status/2071329176016003548?s=46
https://x.com/drewsav/status/2071329176016003548?s=46
If a progressive sweep is gonna happen in Colorado I think 7% is pretty low
If a progressive sweep is gonna happen in Colorado I think 7% is pretty low
Tbh
Tbh
I like the pricing on Gonzales
I like the pricing on Gonzales
is it really a big day though
is it really a big day though
Boycott Elon or whatever
Boycott Elon or whatever
I love how there is no Twitter account
I love how there is no Twitter account
Cause everyone will enter early 2027
Cause everyone will enter early 2027
The 2027 markets are gonna be carried by the primaries
The 2027 markets are gonna be carried by the primaries
but it’s still 3 years early so who really knows
but it’s still 3 years early so who really knows
I think Ron Johnson’s senate seat flips he’s gonna retire
I think Ron Johnson’s senate seat flips he’s gonna retire
There’s already a ton of 2028 markets open
There’s already a ton of 2028 markets open
Im up 900 bucks rn but im pretty comfortable in saying I’ll finish this primary season with like 1.2K in profit maybe? Maybe by November 1.5K.
Im up 900 bucks rn but im pretty comfortable in saying I’ll finish this primary season with like 1.2K in profit maybe? Maybe by November 1.5K.
I just think by 2028 I’ll already have experience on a whole cycle on the app so I’ll be more comfortable betting large amounts too.
I just think by 2028 I’ll already have experience on a whole cycle on the app so I’ll be more comfortable betting large amounts too.
Trump was down by 14 points in summer 2020 during the blm protests and he only lost by 40k votes in a few states
Trump was down by 14 points in summer 2020 during the blm protests and he only lost by 40k votes in a few states
I’m not betting on 2028 until like September
I’m not betting on 2028 until like September
I’m prob gonna take a break from Kalshi after November and lock in for 2028 primaries when they happen
I’m prob gonna take a break from Kalshi after November and lock in for 2028 primaries when they happen
Rules on other markets can be wack unless you read it like 30 times
Rules on other markets can be wack unless you read it like 30 times
Yeah it’s why I mainly bet on elections
Yeah it’s why I mainly bet on elections
<@252215153305583616> was your bet dependent on VASCOTUS bringing the case back in January?
<@252215153305583616> was your bet dependent on VASCOTUS bringing the case back in January?
I may be wrong tho this is all off the top of my head
I may be wrong tho this is all off the top of my head
The deadline was by like summer 2027 or something like that
The deadline was by like summer 2027 or something like that
One of the judges who voted to overturn is retiring in January though
One of the judges who voted to overturn is retiring in January though
Yeah idk why the market was resolved
Yeah idk why the market was resolved
Right now it’s still conservative majority on VA SCOTUS until then
Right now it’s still conservative majority on VA SCOTUS until then
I’m pretty sure the ruling will be overturned when one of the judges get retired I think I heard in January?
I’m pretty sure the ruling will be overturned when one of the judges get retired I think I heard in January?