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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1092

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not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:46:27 Kalshi

No like actually

No like actually

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:45:45 Kalshi

It was like a 30 point miss

It was like a 30 point miss

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:45:41 Kalshi

Do you know of the VT 2022 trafalgar poll

Do you know of the VT 2022 trafalgar poll

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:45:30 Kalshi

That was their big miss

That was their big miss

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:45:23 Kalshi

I mean Quantus was good before that

I mean Quantus was good before that

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:44:24 Kalshi

That Fleming internal was already off by 15 points

That Fleming internal was already off by 15 points

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:43:21 Kalshi

Yeah trump endorsed gubernatorial candidates tend to lose more

Yeah trump endorsed gubernatorial candidates tend to lose more

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:42:46 Kalshi

Bro if New Orleans reports at like Fleming+30 I’m gonna cry

Bro if New Orleans reports at like Fleming+30 I’m gonna cry

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:41:16 Kalshi

Sad times

Sad times

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:40:03 Kalshi

<@115995427005792262> good luck

<@115995427005792262> good luck

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:39:49 Kalshi

It’s still probably over though for my bet

It’s still probably over though for my bet

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:39:29 Kalshi

I would sell but I wanna see New Orleans report

I would sell but I wanna see New Orleans report

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:34:34 Kalshi

I’m prob gonna lose my bet

I’m prob gonna lose my bet

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:34:30 Kalshi

They def overreacted more with 12

They def overreacted more with 12

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:33:31 Kalshi

It was crazy in the Ne-02 dem primary tho

It was crazy in the Ne-02 dem primary tho

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:33:21 Kalshi

People exaggerate the Election Day early vote difference most times

People exaggerate the Election Day early vote difference most times

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:33:09 Kalshi

Eh

Eh

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:32:28 Kalshi

Yeah I watched the order book some whale sunk my position

Yeah I watched the order book some whale sunk my position

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:32:12 Kalshi

I think it will stay closeish

I think it will stay closeish

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:32:07 Kalshi

Yeah I think the margin markers overreacted

Yeah I think the margin markers overreacted

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:31:09 Kalshi

Orleans can save my margin bet if it’s good for Fleming

Orleans can save my margin bet if it’s good for Fleming

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:23:23 Kalshi

Shits and Giggles

Shits and Giggles

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:20:35 Kalshi

This is where the steal is happening

This is where the steal is happening

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:15:32 Kalshi

The dream isn’t dead

The dream isn’t dead

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:14:18 Kalshi

By who

By who

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:10:34 Kalshi

I might be cooked

I might be cooked

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:09:29 Kalshi

Down even more now lol

Down even more now lol

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:08:50 Kalshi

We are looking at a closeish race

We are looking at a closeish race

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:08:39 Kalshi

Even though I’m down

Even though I’m down

not ess pea 2026-06-28 09:08:33 Kalshi

I think my bet is looking good at least

I think my bet is looking good at least

not ess pea 2026-06-28 08:39:27 Kalshi

https://x.com/realtxpolitics/status/2071025288411025851?s=46

https://x.com/realtxpolitics/status/2071025288411025851?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-28 06:44:42 Kalshi

The dominion voting machines are stealing the election from Fleming

The dominion voting machines are stealing the election from Fleming

not ess pea 2026-06-28 06:42:49 Kalshi

MAHA!!!!

MAHA!!!!

not ess pea 2026-06-28 06:42:47 Kalshi

Okay good

Okay good

not ess pea 2026-06-28 06:42:43 Kalshi

and take all of the Tylenol and vaccines

and take all of the Tylenol and vaccines

not ess pea 2026-06-28 06:42:29 Kalshi

so should I not trust the government

so should I not trust the government

not ess pea 2026-06-28 06:41:49 Kalshi

My friend and I asked our biology professor once if Tylenol will give us autism and she walked away

My friend and I asked our biology professor once if Tylenol will give us autism and she walked away

not ess pea 2026-06-28 06:27:21 Kalshi

What is MAHA even about

What is MAHA even about

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:57:50 Kalshi

Basically

Basically

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:47:39 Kalshi

Rfk jr initially ran in 2024 as a democrat

Rfk jr initially ran in 2024 as a democrat

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:45:11 Kalshi

He was trying to get some libertarian in Iowa to drop out

He was trying to get some libertarian in Iowa to drop out

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:45:03 Kalshi

It is funny to me how rfk jr is basically a republican now

It is funny to me how rfk jr is basically a republican now

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:44:24 Kalshi

Fleming is the true MAHA candidate. Make Louisiana healthy again!

Fleming is the true MAHA candidate. Make Louisiana healthy again!

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:43:28 Kalshi

Most Cassidy voters in round 1 seem to have been anti trumpers

Most Cassidy voters in round 1 seem to have been anti trumpers

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:41:40 Kalshi

Runoff will also be lower turnout so whoever has the more energized base gets an advantage

Runoff will also be lower turnout so whoever has the more energized base gets an advantage

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:41:21 Kalshi

Polls have them breaking heavily for Fleming

Polls have them breaking heavily for Fleming

not ess pea 2026-06-28 05:41:14 Kalshi

The Cassidy voters are free to break for whoever

The Cassidy voters are free to break for whoever

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