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Dr Scemer, PhD🚨参与话题 10消息总数 969

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Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:19:29 Kalshi

But again… I couldn’t have imagined Trump leading LA28…

But again… I couldn’t have imagined Trump leading LA28…

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:19:09 Kalshi

I can’t imagine… Pratt leading LA28…

I can’t imagine… Pratt leading LA28…

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:13:31 Kalshi

It’s a nanny welfare society take.

It’s a nanny welfare society take.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:12:49 Kalshi

New investors can’t do high risk trading. New mention market people shouldn’t be able to trade Hochul.

New investors can’t do high risk trading. New mention market people shouldn’t be able to trade Hochul.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:12:19 Kalshi

Or at least restrict cuck market from inexperienced players.

Or at least restrict cuck market from inexperienced players.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:11:21 Kalshi

I do feel that this is the reason why mention is dying… we enable profit from misbond over sustainability of the mention markets… The only way to deter this is to write better rules.

I do feel that this is the reason why mention is dying… we enable profit from misbond over sustainability of the mention markets… The only way to deter this is to write better rules.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:09:48 Kalshi

It’s insensible that Saylor sold bitcoins. I hope they are more mad about that too.

It’s insensible that Saylor sold bitcoins. I hope they are more mad about that too.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:08:22 Kalshi

They should hire liberal arts graduates such as myself.

They should hire liberal arts graduates such as myself.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:07:21 Kalshi

Honestly, I think crypto bro should rebel and defy Poly clarification.

Honestly, I think crypto bro should rebel and defy Poly clarification.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:06:55 Kalshi

Yeah. I share this sentiment.

Yeah. I share this sentiment.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:06:15 Kalshi

Even then, the new markets do not update the rules to inform users what happens when numbers are said.

Even then, the new markets do not update the rules to inform users what happens when numbers are said.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:04:49 Kalshi

That was kinda super edge edge case imo…

That was kinda super edge edge case imo…

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:04:09 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/powell-good-afternoon-gif-1103592307961161183

https://tenor.com/view/powell-good-afternoon-gif-1103592307961161183

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:03:53 Kalshi

He’s as damaging as Powell’s Good Afternoon.

He’s as damaging as Powell’s Good Afternoon.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:03:01 Kalshi

It requires some level of foreknowledge to navigate such market.

It requires some level of foreknowledge to navigate such market.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:02:26 Kalshi

Like yesterday’s “what will Hochul say at the roundtable?” Is a bit hard for noobs, when she does remarks and questions.

Like yesterday’s “what will Hochul say at the roundtable?” Is a bit hard for noobs, when she does remarks and questions.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:00:58 Kalshi

But mention market could continue to make rules around “edge cases” and what not.

But mention market could continue to make rules around “edge cases” and what not.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 21:00:28 Kalshi

I think Kalshi is better. Yeah.

I think Kalshi is better. Yeah.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 20:58:40 Kalshi

I mean this is the reason why Polymarket inevitably ends up being “only 5% wins all the money” product. The Titles of the markets, the rules and the strikes need to be internally coherent to ensure that it resolves in accordance with the truth, and not some precedence or rules external to the market. Market integrity is super important and this goes for mention market too.

I mean this is the reason why Polymarket inevitably ends up being “only 5% wins all the money” product. The Titles of the markets, the rules and the strikes need to be internally coherent to ensure that it resolves in accordance with the truth, and not some precedence or rules external to the market. Market integrity is super important and this goes for mention market too.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 20:53:15 Kalshi

Precedence unwritten in the rules sets the truth.

Precedence unwritten in the rules sets the truth.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 20:52:21 Kalshi

Sharps play by the rules, not truth.

Sharps play by the rules, not truth.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 20:48:04 Kalshi

PM is meant to be a “truth machine.” Everytime it contradicts the truth, the markets and contracts lose integrity.

PM is meant to be a “truth machine.” Everytime it contradicts the truth, the markets and contracts lose integrity.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 20:29:29 Kalshi

Barging into this channel at this hour is like…

Barging into this channel at this hour is like…

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 18:08:16 Kalshi

Yes.

Yes.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 06:31:17 Kalshi

**Fish Fry** strike please

**Fish Fry** strike please

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 06:22:58 Kalshi

Carney a également évoqué le “terrorisme” en francais 🥖

Carney a également évoqué le “terrorisme” en francais 🥖

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 05:04:13 Kalshi

Trump Roundtable on Friday https://www.plzjake.com/markets/trump-at-a-roundtable-in-wisconsin-2026-06-05

Trump Roundtable on Friday https://www.plzjake.com/markets/trump-at-a-roundtable-in-wisconsin-2026-06-05

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 03:43:54 Kalshi

We don’t bet on who wins. We bet on how many bones will be broken.

We don’t bet on who wins. We bet on how many bones will be broken.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 03:42:15 Kalshi

I always wondered why UFC Freedom 250 doesn’t have cards we’ve all been waiting for like: **Musk v. Zuckerberg Rand Paul v. Markwayne Mullin Trump v. Biden**

I always wondered why UFC Freedom 250 doesn’t have cards we’ve all been waiting for like: **Musk v. Zuckerberg Rand Paul v. Markwayne Mullin Trump v. Biden**

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 02:47:11 Kalshi

https://x.com/jakesherman/status/2061518448677859362?s=46

https://x.com/jakesherman/status/2061518448677859362?s=46

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 02:31:51 Kalshi

On Israeli incursion into Lebanon.

On Israeli incursion into Lebanon.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 02:31:28 Kalshi

https://webtv.un.org/en/asset/k1s/k1sj690yhq

https://webtv.un.org/en/asset/k1s/k1sj690yhq

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 02:30:34 Kalshi

emergency UNSC meeting.

emergency UNSC meeting.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 02:30:22 Kalshi

<@1417220501407011020> https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/06/01/world/iran-war-us-trump-israel-lebanon/fb3fe8cb-c61f-5af6-968c-1dff4271bd4e?smid=url-share&smid=nytcore-ios-share&rsrc=cl-share

<@1417220501407011020> https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/06/01/world/iran-war-us-trump-israel-lebanon/fb3fe8cb-c61f-5af6-968c-1dff4271bd4e?smid=url-share&smid=nytcore-ios-share&rsrc=cl-share

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 02:23:04 Kalshi

We c*cked those with Iranian money. We made Iranians poor.

We c*cked those with Iranian money. We made Iranians poor.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 02:20:47 Kalshi

He has 5 executive time and policy meetings today. His physician say he is tip top. Sad. MAGA. Thank you for your attention. President DJT

He has 5 executive time and policy meetings today. His physician say he is tip top. Sad. MAGA. Thank you for your attention. President DJT

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 01:28:53 Kalshi

He just wanna name a few more things, trade some stocks and give the keys to JD.

He just wanna name a few more things, trade some stocks and give the keys to JD.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 01:28:23 Kalshi

He just doesn't give a f*ck anymore... right?

He just doesn't give a f*ck anymore... right?

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 01:26:46 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/ciel-tsukihime-melty-blood-greece-greek-gif-12126200263252157354

https://tenor.com/view/ciel-tsukihime-melty-blood-greece-greek-gif-12126200263252157354

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-02 01:24:29 Kalshi

I thought prediction market is supposed to be a truth machine...

I thought prediction market is supposed to be a truth machine...

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 23:19:10 Kalshi

There it goes

There it goes

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 23:18:11 Kalshi

Governor, what do you think about Mr HOTWHEEL?

Governor, what do you think about Mr HOTWHEEL?

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 23:17:53 Kalshi

Kathy is a grannie

Kathy is a grannie

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 23:02:43 Kalshi

Asians are smart.

Asians are smart.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 23:02:33 Kalshi

Good Asian.

Good Asian.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 23:02:28 Kalshi

HOWEVER

HOWEVER

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 22:57:37 Kalshi

How does this bro see?

How does this bro see?

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 22:56:50 Kalshi

She looks concerned.

She looks concerned.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 22:56:11 Kalshi

ICE is about to walk in.

ICE is about to walk in.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-06-01 22:55:19 Kalshi

They are learning to bullsh*t for their future job interviews.

They are learning to bullsh*t for their future job interviews.

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