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Effendi参与话题 0消息总数 351

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Effendi 2026-06-19 19:32:47 Polymarket

That’s what the status quo actually means btw this whole enrichment thing is totally made up and if you’re arguing disingenuously fair game but in terms of what it actually is as far as an Iranian concession it’s a commitment to not enrich beyond 60% or attempt a nuclear breakout

That’s what the status quo actually means btw this whole enrichment thing is totally made up and if you’re arguing disingenuously fair game but in terms of what it actually is as far as an Iranian concession it’s a commitment to not enrich beyond 60% or attempt a nuclear breakout

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:31:54 Polymarket

Not proliferating or enriching above 60% which is what it actually is

Not proliferating or enriching above 60% which is what it actually is

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:31:43 Polymarket

There’s additional variables which nullify the Reuters quote, namely that it was made when the contents of the MOU were still unknown (and potentially not finalized) and is contradicted by further Reuters reporting, the entire obsession with the Reuters quote is centered around the fog that existed around the deal at the time rather than any kind of authoritative statement of Iranian state policy on enrichment

There’s additional variables which nullify the Reuters quote, namely that it was made when the contents of the MOU were still unknown (and potentially not finalized) and is contradicted by further Reuters reporting, the entire obsession with the Reuters quote is centered around the fog that existed around the deal at the time rather than any kind of authoritative statement of Iranian state policy on enrichment

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:29:50 Polymarket

I thrive seething

I thrive seething

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:29:02 Polymarket

https://www.facebook.com/CBSNews/videos/vice-president-jd-vance-says-tehran-has-promised-not-to-enrich-uranium-and-has-p/1020741833704014/ The actual video

https://www.facebook.com/CBSNews/videos/vice-president-jd-vance-says-tehran-has-promised-not-to-enrich-uranium-and-has-p/1020741833704014/ The actual video

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:28:29 Polymarket

^ here

^ here

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:28:15 Polymarket

Already addressed this and have quoted it multiple times

Already addressed this and have quoted it multiple times

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:23:30 Polymarket

Commitments made upon conclusion of upcoming nuclear negotiations have no bearing on the status of this market, there’s no justification for the interpretation of anything here as representing a commitment to halt enrichment as I’ve continually outlined for 12 hours

Commitments made upon conclusion of upcoming nuclear negotiations have no bearing on the status of this market, there’s no justification for the interpretation of anything here as representing a commitment to halt enrichment as I’ve continually outlined for 12 hours

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:22:41 Polymarket

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, or at least any evidence?

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, or at least any evidence?

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:21:28 Polymarket

This leap requires multiple jumps which have zero basis in reality, and simply don’t exist in the MOU in any way shape or form

This leap requires multiple jumps which have zero basis in reality, and simply don’t exist in the MOU in any way shape or form

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:20:47 Polymarket

https://x.com/IranIntlbrk/status/2067887814570578055

https://x.com/IranIntlbrk/status/2067887814570578055

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:20:41 Polymarket

Which have mind you been reiterated by actual senior figures of the Islamic Republic as recently as today

Which have mind you been reiterated by actual senior figures of the Islamic Republic as recently as today

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:20:15 Polymarket

Such an acquiescence would represent a substantial departure in the Iranian negotiating position and a move away from the previously stated Iranian red lines

Such an acquiescence would represent a substantial departure in the Iranian negotiating position and a move away from the previously stated Iranian red lines

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:19:46 Polymarket

It’s logically a leap because it isn’t what those words mean the leap is concluding that “status quo” in the MOU refers in any way shape or form to the enrichment file which is specifically precluded from this MOU pending further negotiations, and that leap is predicated by tying this statement (baselessly) to prior claims (similarly baseless and likely untrue for the record) made about the status of Iranian enrichment, its multiple leaps which has zero basis in reality which is why no media reporting exists and no evidence exists for this claim

It’s logically a leap because it isn’t what those words mean the leap is concluding that “status quo” in the MOU refers in any way shape or form to the enrichment file which is specifically precluded from this MOU pending further negotiations, and that leap is predicated by tying this statement (baselessly) to prior claims (similarly baseless and likely untrue for the record) made about the status of Iranian enrichment, its multiple leaps which has zero basis in reality which is why no media reporting exists and no evidence exists for this claim

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:15:28 Polymarket

https://tenor.com/view/wolfofwallstreet-wall-drink-drinking-leo-nardo-di-caprio-gif-5341587

https://tenor.com/view/wolfofwallstreet-wall-drink-drinking-leo-nardo-di-caprio-gif-5341587

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:14:48 Polymarket

No that’s not the status quo that’s a leap, statements made by Iran about one of the most tightly held state secrets and foreign intelligence agencies stating that Iran isn’t actively enriching (from before the war btw) and the acceptance of the status quo therefore meaning accepting a pause of enrichment is a leap which has at no point been established by a single person as having any kind of basis

No that’s not the status quo that’s a leap, statements made by Iran about one of the most tightly held state secrets and foreign intelligence agencies stating that Iran isn’t actively enriching (from before the war btw) and the acceptance of the status quo therefore meaning accepting a pause of enrichment is a leap which has at no point been established by a single person as having any kind of basis

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:13:30 Polymarket

They all share something in common of being unbelievably hollow and that’s because this market is unequivocally not Y as of now

They all share something in common of being unbelievably hollow and that’s because this market is unequivocally not Y as of now

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:13:06 Polymarket

Many have been distorting quotes and circumstances / significance around said quotes

Many have been distorting quotes and circumstances / significance around said quotes

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:12:53 Polymarket

Many have been predicated on a lack of understanding of the phraseology

Many have been predicated on a lack of understanding of the phraseology

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:12:36 Polymarket

Many of the claims made have been blatant egregious lies

Many of the claims made have been blatant egregious lies

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:12:05 Polymarket

Not one of these arguments holds up to scrutiny as even a significant variable let alone market resolving

Not one of these arguments holds up to scrutiny as even a significant variable let alone market resolving

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:11:48 Polymarket

I will dedicate the coming days to addressing literally every ridiculous and patently false claim made by those arguing Y here as I’ve already spent the last 12~ hours doing

I will dedicate the coming days to addressing literally every ridiculous and patently false claim made by those arguing Y here as I’ve already spent the last 12~ hours doing

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:09:17 Polymarket

And considering the president of the United States ceded the probable reality that Iran would consider enriching, the MOU outlining enrichment as a clause left to future negotiations, and endless other reporting here I’m not sure what this insistence on the opinion piece by the parliamentarian whose party is in opposition is all about but it’s obviously hollow

And considering the president of the United States ceded the probable reality that Iran would consider enriching, the MOU outlining enrichment as a clause left to future negotiations, and endless other reporting here I’m not sure what this insistence on the opinion piece by the parliamentarian whose party is in opposition is all about but it’s obviously hollow

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:08:13 Polymarket

Presupposing that a pause means that pause refers to enrichment is a leap, yes

Presupposing that a pause means that pause refers to enrichment is a leap, yes

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:07:50 Polymarket

Considering the obvious opinion based nature of his writing why should his opinions be exalted above others?

Considering the obvious opinion based nature of his writing why should his opinions be exalted above others?

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:07:34 Polymarket

Just as he makes a claim I can find endless other examples of others making a claim

Just as he makes a claim I can find endless other examples of others making a claim

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:07:04 Polymarket

No it doesn’t, he makes a claim of what status quo is, he’s far from an authoritative source here and the entire text clearly outlines the statement as his opinion on the deal rather than any kind of authoritative statement on behalf of the government of Iran

No it doesn’t, he makes a claim of what status quo is, he’s far from an authoritative source here and the entire text clearly outlines the statement as his opinion on the deal rather than any kind of authoritative statement on behalf of the government of Iran

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:06:21 Polymarket

They’re left with chaotic misquotes, misinterpretations and gross distortion of basic facts

They’re left with chaotic misquotes, misinterpretations and gross distortion of basic facts

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:05:54 Polymarket

Typically an argument is needed for a scam to be sufficient to resolve a market, luckily for N holders in the case of this market Y has quite literally zero market with any foundation to stand on

Typically an argument is needed for a scam to be sufficient to resolve a market, luckily for N holders in the case of this market Y has quite literally zero market with any foundation to stand on

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:04:49 Polymarket

Not even one holds up to the slightest scrutiny

Not even one holds up to the slightest scrutiny

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:04:36 Polymarket

All of these points have been engaged with sufficiently, literally all of them

All of these points have been engaged with sufficiently, literally all of them

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:04:19 Polymarket

It’s little more than a parliamentarian in Iran (not in government btw his party is the official opposition party in parliament) expressing his opinion about the meaning of the deal

It’s little more than a parliamentarian in Iran (not in government btw his party is the official opposition party in parliament) expressing his opinion about the meaning of the deal

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:03:38 Polymarket

No actually that’s not the quote, he’s presupposing based on stated Iranian policy that Iran isn’t enriching and then concluding (his opinion rather than any kind of authoritative statement) that the text in the MOU means by extension that Iran has acquiesced on the right to enrichment

No actually that’s not the quote, he’s presupposing based on stated Iranian policy that Iran isn’t enriching and then concluding (his opinion rather than any kind of authoritative statement) that the text in the MOU means by extension that Iran has acquiesced on the right to enrichment

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:02:14 Polymarket

This is a widely talked about topic around the world running with people’s opinions as the basis to resolve the market as basically the sole argument left standing is absurd and you know it as well as I do

This is a widely talked about topic around the world running with people’s opinions as the basis to resolve the market as basically the sole argument left standing is absurd and you know it as well as I do

Effendi 2026-06-19 19:01:10 Polymarket

> This is what you’re citing where he specifically as a parliamentarian outside of the “ruling” government btw, is criticizing the flaws and ambiguities in the deal as he sees it? This is the 7th moved goalpost smoking gun with no relevance? This is the post I could find which is mediocre I think I have a different one but having trouble finding it in the mess, tldr he’s critiquing the deal itself and bringing up the lack of clarity in the deal and is speaking as a member of parliament (one of many ruling state structures in Iran) in a party outside of government and outlining his opinion on the matter, it’s far from any kind of authoritative statement on the policy of Iran even if he was the kind of figure capable of making such statements (which he’s not)

> This is what you’re citing where he specifically as a parliamentarian outside of the “ruling” government btw, is criticizing the flaws and ambiguities in the deal as he sees it? This is the 7th moved goalpost smoking gun with no relevance? This is the post I could find which is mediocre I think I have a different one but having trouble finding it in the mess, tldr he’s critiquing the deal itself and bringing up the lack of clarity in the deal and is speaking as a member of parliament (one of many ruling state structures in Iran) in a party outside of government and outlining his opinion on the matter, it’s far from any kind of authoritative statement on the policy of Iran even if he was the kind of figure capable of making such statements (which he’s not)

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:56:45 Polymarket

Addressed this in a prior post let me quote it for you

Addressed this in a prior post let me quote it for you

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:56:34 Polymarket

The entire MOU was this, Lebanon, SOU, sanctions, nuclear etc

The entire MOU was this, Lebanon, SOU, sanctions, nuclear etc

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:54:04 Polymarket

It’s a very bad sign in these disputes when the entire original argument is abandoned in pursuit of another one tbh

It’s a very bad sign in these disputes when the entire original argument is abandoned in pursuit of another one tbh

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:53:16 Polymarket

And moved onto a completely different basket of worthless distortions

And moved onto a completely different basket of worthless distortions

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:53:03 Polymarket

They’ve basically totally abandoned the arguments they were making originally as they were obviously ridiculous and hollow

They’ve basically totally abandoned the arguments they were making originally as they were obviously ridiculous and hollow

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:52:49 Polymarket

They’ve almost exclusively presented worthless arguments that fall apart upon the slightest inspection it’s insanity this is only 50/50 rn on the market really shows the faith people have in this sites resolution process

They’ve almost exclusively presented worthless arguments that fall apart upon the slightest inspection it’s insanity this is only 50/50 rn on the market really shows the faith people have in this sites resolution process

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:50:29 Polymarket

The commitment on the status quo is against upblending U235 to enrichment statuses above 60% and not pursuing proliferation

The commitment on the status quo is against upblending U235 to enrichment statuses above 60% and not pursuing proliferation

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:50:02 Polymarket

The yes cause also shot itself in the foot by continually tying itself to a misinterpretation of the phrase “further uranium enrichment” which they’ve largely stopped arguing but was central to the argument they’re making

The yes cause also shot itself in the foot by continually tying itself to a misinterpretation of the phrase “further uranium enrichment” which they’ve largely stopped arguing but was central to the argument they’re making

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:47:47 Polymarket

https://tenor.com/view/blocked-block-you-blocked-blocking-gif-14145534

https://tenor.com/view/blocked-block-you-blocked-blocking-gif-14145534

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:47:41 Polymarket

Someone else can engage with you if they want I won’t waste my time you’re no concern to me

Someone else can engage with you if they want I won’t waste my time you’re no concern to me

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:47:26 Polymarket

It’s random drivel which borders on nonsensical

It’s random drivel which borders on nonsensical

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:47:08 Polymarket

No, they’re not “irrelevant” in a market about Irans statements on the matter and nothing you’ve said has had any substance to it

No, they’re not “irrelevant” in a market about Irans statements on the matter and nothing you’ve said has had any substance to it

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:46:43 Polymarket

Idk what you’re yapping about and I can tell someone else with low cog will enjoy going back and forth with you this is a market about Iranian claims sir

Idk what you’re yapping about and I can tell someone else with low cog will enjoy going back and forth with you this is a market about Iranian claims sir

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:46:10 Polymarket

Irans laws are irrelevant to Iran? Okay!

Irans laws are irrelevant to Iran? Okay!

Effendi 2026-06-19 18:45:35 Polymarket

I’m not even sure you’re asking to be honest mate

I’m not even sure you’re asking to be honest mate