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Splunks参与话题 10消息总数 1061

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Splunks 2026-06-12 23:26:32 Polymarket

I don't feel like moving my funds

I don't feel like moving my funds

Splunks 2026-06-12 23:26:23 Polymarket

can I trade the IPO on hyperliquid 😭

can I trade the IPO on hyperliquid 😭

Splunks 2026-06-12 23:23:40 Polymarket

jw cause one guy a while back was a student and got access to bloom terminal without paying

jw cause one guy a while back was a student and got access to bloom terminal without paying

Splunks 2026-06-12 23:16:14 Polymarket

You have Bloomberg terminal?

You have Bloomberg terminal?

Splunks 2026-06-12 23:15:33 Polymarket

Whether that would count by the rules idk haven't looked at it

Whether that would count by the rules idk haven't looked at it

Splunks 2026-06-12 23:15:16 Polymarket

You've conditionally agreed

You've conditionally agreed

Splunks 2026-06-12 15:01:26 Polymarket

<@1272383282687905939> <@941405798096076880>

<@1272383282687905939> <@941405798096076880>

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:36:19 Polymarket

that's a factor, but I saw some pulled punches in the replays

that's a factor, but I saw some pulled punches in the replays

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:18:17 Polymarket

some ex-gf

some ex-gf

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:17:58 Polymarket

some disgruntled ex-team member, someone gets hacked, someone tells the wrong person whose not directly benefiting, etc

some disgruntled ex-team member, someone gets hacked, someone tells the wrong person whose not directly benefiting, etc

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:16:47 Polymarket

and maybe it's more difficult to model due to the variety of different games

and maybe it's more difficult to model due to the variety of different games

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:16:30 Polymarket

yeah exactly

yeah exactly

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:15:38 Polymarket

but who knows

but who knows

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:15:12 Polymarket

I just feel like it only takes one leak of that happening to blow up into a massive scandal

I just feel like it only takes one leak of that happening to blow up into a massive scandal

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:14:19 Polymarket

like more fixed than the Mike Tyson v Jake Paul fight?

like more fixed than the Mike Tyson v Jake Paul fight?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:13:46 Polymarket

why would they fix these things

why would they fix these things

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:13:33 Polymarket

breh isn't that a little paranoid 😭

breh isn't that a little paranoid 😭

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:13:09 Polymarket

wym fixed?

wym fixed?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:10:14 Polymarket

do you bet/win consistently?

do you bet/win consistently?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:09:48 Polymarket

noice

noice

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:09:41 Polymarket

did you buy the dip?

did you buy the dip?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:09:28 Polymarket

did korea end up winning?

did korea end up winning?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:08:51 Polymarket

now can you tell?

now can you tell?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:08:00 Polymarket

but I do have a friend whose done really well in e-sports so there's that

but I do have a friend whose done really well in e-sports so there's that

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:07:50 Polymarket

it just seems inaccessible even if you're just a guy who knows sports really well

it just seems inaccessible even if you're just a guy who knows sports really well

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:07:41 Polymarket

right which none of us are or could reasonably be though. Don't get me wrong I have no idea how the sharps do it, but I've just read they have a lot of automation/algos running. I don't even know where the human in the loop is tbh

right which none of us are or could reasonably be though. Don't get me wrong I have no idea how the sharps do it, but I've just read they have a lot of automation/algos running. I don't even know where the human in the loop is tbh

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:06:48 Polymarket

yeah the no bookie thing is nice but if it's "efficient" doesn't that mean fish money gets taken quickly by the sharps and really probably by the tool-assisted players?

yeah the no bookie thing is nice but if it's "efficient" doesn't that mean fish money gets taken quickly by the sharps and really probably by the tool-assisted players?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:05:37 Polymarket

intwisting

intwisting

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:04:43 Polymarket

or are they better in those specific kinds of situations?

or are they better in those specific kinds of situations?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:04:23 Polymarket

isn't that just determined by their past statistical performance, like when you say "they're the better team" you just mean they have a better record

isn't that just determined by their past statistical performance, like when you say "they're the better team" you just mean they have a better record

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:03:35 Polymarket

ok so what was the nuance there that wasn't score related? YOu're saying their "momentum" was scuffed?

ok so what was the nuance there that wasn't score related? YOu're saying their "momentum" was scuffed?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:03:03 Polymarket

a thing that happens then changes the odds of them winning

a thing that happens then changes the odds of them winning

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:02:51 Polymarket

right but how did you profit off this "slip up" I don't get it. You're just describing a thing that happened right?

right but how did you profit off this "slip up" I don't get it. You're just describing a thing that happened right?

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:01:44 Polymarket

like quit the game? or just started playing worse until they lost

like quit the game? or just started playing worse until they lost

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:00:09 Polymarket

that you're always buying into some EV- position

that you're always buying into some EV- position

Splunks 2026-06-12 14:00:01 Polymarket

I feel like sports isn't like the rest of poly, everything is so dominated by people who have these statistical models

I feel like sports isn't like the rest of poly, everything is so dominated by people who have these statistical models

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:58:57 Polymarket

maybe, but then how do you know your next bet is EV+ and not just gamble?

maybe, but then how do you know your next bet is EV+ and not just gamble?

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:49:33 Polymarket

this time is different boys

this time is different boys

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:46:50 Polymarket

the model is in your head, got it

the model is in your head, got it

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:46:36 Polymarket

oooooooooh

oooooooooh

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:46:24 Polymarket

aren't you up against model havers?

aren't you up against model havers?

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:46:17 Polymarket

wtf, this nbba has no model

wtf, this nbba has no model

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:46:02 Polymarket

have you back tested this model smart guy?

have you back tested this model smart guy?

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:45:53 Polymarket

so you're claiming to have some kind of model you've built?

so you're claiming to have some kind of model you've built?

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:41:26 Polymarket

ok so I'll fade USA then

ok so I'll fade USA then

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:40:33 Polymarket

I was joking about that part

I was joking about that part

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:40:21 Polymarket

which team?

which team?

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:40:05 Polymarket

alright. the fuck I'm 'posta buy then? any alfa?

alright. the fuck I'm 'posta buy then? any alfa?

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:39:26 Polymarket

I AM pretty smart now that I think about it

I AM pretty smart now that I think about it

Splunks 2026-06-12 13:39:16 Polymarket

https://klipy.com/gifs/pepe-hmm-2

https://klipy.com/gifs/pepe-hmm-2

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