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Splunks参与话题 10消息总数 1061

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共 1061 条,显示第 801-850 条
Splunks 2026-06-12 06:06:32 Polymarket

breh I just closed my short like 15 min ago

breh I just closed my short like 15 min ago

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:59:23 Polymarket

he def thonkin aboot it

he def thonkin aboot it

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:59:10 Polymarket

enrichment

enrichment

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:59:02 Polymarket

uranium

uranium

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:58:36 Polymarket

bro that was you? 😭

bro that was you? 😭

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:47:35 Polymarket

sheeeesh

sheeeesh

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:47:29 Polymarket

jfc June 15th ceasefire swung like 25c both ways

jfc June 15th ceasefire swung like 25c both ways

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:46:50 Polymarket

nice

nice

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:46:30 Polymarket

this you?

this you?

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:42:42 Polymarket

<@761097372108980237> you think this weekend is likely? like more than 50%?

<@761097372108980237> you think this weekend is likely? like more than 50%?

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:41:49 Polymarket

inb4 isreal starts reacting to "hezbollah ceasefire violations" suddenly

inb4 isreal starts reacting to "hezbollah ceasefire violations" suddenly

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:39:33 Polymarket

he's saying maybe in Europe tho

he's saying maybe in Europe tho

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:39:19 Polymarket

no

no

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:37:33 Polymarket

deal needed seasoning lmao

deal needed seasoning lmao

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:37:24 Polymarket

just sprinkle some bombs on it I guess

just sprinkle some bombs on it I guess

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:31:45 Polymarket

at least on the ceasefire annoucement market

at least on the ceasefire annoucement market

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:31:39 Polymarket

just becareful, trump is a sped so he could easily pre-empt a deal like a week before its done

just becareful, trump is a sped so he could easily pre-empt a deal like a week before its done

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:30:00 Polymarket

june 15th is probably the most profitable play yeah

june 15th is probably the most profitable play yeah

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:29:20 Polymarket

but don't sell yet, let it bounce back like a stripper booty do

but don't sell yet, let it bounce back like a stripper booty do

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:29:08 Polymarket

hmm, yeah a tad cooked

hmm, yeah a tad cooked

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:28:46 Polymarket

I mean like did you go out to june 30th? july?

I mean like did you go out to june 30th? july?

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:27:39 Polymarket

thanks to CBS

thanks to CBS

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:27:31 Polymarket

how far out did you fade it because it's recovering

how far out did you fade it because it's recovering

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:26:59 Polymarket

breh muh liquidity

breh muh liquidity

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:24:42 Polymarket

any idea when lol?

any idea when lol?

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:23:57 Polymarket

but trump annoucement is unpredictable

but trump annoucement is unpredictable

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:23:46 Polymarket

even if they're on track, these nggas slow af

even if they're on track, these nggas slow af

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:23:33 Polymarket

I probably should accumulate June 12 no, we'll see where price goes

I probably should accumulate June 12 no, we'll see where price goes

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:21:23 Polymarket

mosaic?

mosaic?

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:19:56 Polymarket

no shit lol, but trump doesn't thank god

no shit lol, but trump doesn't thank god

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:19:29 Polymarket

I'm so confused, how do we go from "what deal?" to "oh yeah US just accepted our deal" from the same news source in an hour

I'm so confused, how do we go from "what deal?" to "oh yeah US just accepted our deal" from the same news source in an hour

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:14:09 Polymarket

sure you can kill them, but it'll take much longer

sure you can kill them, but it'll take much longer

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:14:01 Polymarket

once they expect assassinations and are in war mode it gets harder to kill them, Iraq leadership had less resources than Iran and they were a bitch to hunt down

once they expect assassinations and are in war mode it gets harder to kill them, Iraq leadership had less resources than Iran and they were a bitch to hunt down

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:09:45 Polymarket

that's true in the long run, I was just trying to see what's changed in the course in your mind. It seems like that's been the peace theory the whole time though, nothing has changed in the original course due to the bombings. My thinking is even if Iran wants to make a deal more than they did before for some reason, they're going to drag it out at least a week for PR. Making a deal a day or two after a bombing run from your enemy is massive pussy shit for a nation of martyrs

that's true in the long run, I was just trying to see what's changed in the course in your mind. It seems like that's been the peace theory the whole time though, nothing has changed in the original course due to the bombings. My thinking is even if Iran wants to make a deal more than they did before for some reason, they're going to drag it out at least a week for PR. Making a deal a day or two after a bombing run from your enemy is massive pussy shit for a nation of martyrs

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:07:24 Polymarket

the only thing that's changed here is their economy is even more fucked

the only thing that's changed here is their economy is even more fucked

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:06:43 Polymarket

so your thesis is this second round of minor bombings scared them, but the massive bombing rounds from two countries that killed like 30% of their leadership didn't? Iiiiiiiintwisting

so your thesis is this second round of minor bombings scared them, but the massive bombing rounds from two countries that killed like 30% of their leadership didn't? Iiiiiiiintwisting

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:04:32 Polymarket

they negotiated a ceasefire and then proceeded to be extremely obstinate every single day after. They were playing with trump. Scared people would've made a deal way sooner

they negotiated a ceasefire and then proceeded to be extremely obstinate every single day after. They were playing with trump. Scared people would've made a deal way sooner

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:03:25 Polymarket

I want it to show up in their behavior, yeah

I want it to show up in their behavior, yeah

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:03:10 Polymarket

I'm not in their heads, maybe they all pooped a little, but it hasn't shown up in their actions much

I'm not in their heads, maybe they all pooped a little, but it hasn't shown up in their actions much

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:02:16 Polymarket

then why didn't the first massive multi-week long round of assasinations not scare them?

then why didn't the first massive multi-week long round of assasinations not scare them?

Splunks 2026-06-12 03:00:51 Polymarket

what's different this time vs every other? This is the most humiliating time for Iran, a pretty martyr based society, to give in.

what's different this time vs every other? This is the most humiliating time for Iran, a pretty martyr based society, to give in.

Splunks 2026-06-12 02:59:34 Polymarket

he's not personally calling every shot

he's not personally calling every shot

Splunks 2026-06-12 02:59:22 Polymarket

Trump is stupid, the people around him aren't AS stupid anyway

Trump is stupid, the people around him aren't AS stupid anyway

Splunks 2026-06-12 02:58:49 Polymarket

the TACO cycle is a bit longer than that, there's no reason for him to do the bait and switch anymore. There's no trust to exploit.

the TACO cycle is a bit longer than that, there's no reason for him to do the bait and switch anymore. There's no trust to exploit.

Splunks 2026-06-12 02:53:12 Polymarket

well if it makes you feel better trump is lying, but it'll definitely be a rough peace pump weekend

well if it makes you feel better trump is lying, but it'll definitely be a rough peace pump weekend

Splunks 2026-06-11 17:46:50 Polymarket

how long does pratt stay open for this: https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117

how long does pratt stay open for this: https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117

Splunks 2026-06-11 17:17:10 Polymarket

that's a weird looking beetle

that's a weird looking beetle

Splunks 2026-06-11 17:07:48 Polymarket

not if poly review channel bonds it 😭

not if poly review channel bonds it 😭

Splunks 2026-06-11 16:58:04 Polymarket

so if PM was aware of this I'm guessing they'd refund if the market is DOA

so if PM was aware of this I'm guessing they'd refund if the market is DOA

Splunks 2026-06-11 16:57:04 Polymarket

I'm not risking connecting it to anything lol

I'm not risking connecting it to anything lol

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