秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Splunks参与话题 10消息总数 1061

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 1061 条,显示第 251-300 条
Splunks 2026-06-17 19:12:31 Polymarket

it just needs to be a successor version to the June 14th one, yes

it just needs to be a successor version to the June 14th one, yes

Splunks 2026-06-17 19:11:48 Polymarket

bro...

bro...

Splunks 2026-06-17 19:11:24 Polymarket

bro because EVERY SINGLE LEAKED MOU IS ALMOST FUCKING IDENTICALLLLL

bro because EVERY SINGLE LEAKED MOU IS ALMOST FUCKING IDENTICALLLLL

Splunks 2026-06-17 19:10:36 Polymarket

you can't be real breh

you can't be real breh

Splunks 2026-06-17 19:09:29 Polymarket

I'll just ignore him atp, yeah

I'll just ignore him atp, yeah

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:58:19 Polymarket

yeah I'd be suprised if anything about lebanon is on there, trump must've shoe-horned that shit in last second

yeah I'd be suprised if anything about lebanon is on there, trump must've shoe-horned that shit in last second

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:57:03 Polymarket

lets be real, nothing significant is changing. They've already agreed via backchannels to more than is on the MOU too

lets be real, nothing significant is changing. They've already agreed via backchannels to more than is on the MOU too

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:44:49 Polymarket

zoom in on her pussy region too

zoom in on her pussy region too

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:44:33 Polymarket

srsly put it back

srsly put it back

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:43:43 Polymarket

nigga FUCK you

nigga FUCK you

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:43:04 Polymarket

that pfp says you're of age

that pfp says you're of age

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:42:50 Polymarket

<@1319754532393062425> # nigga go get buns LOL 😭 🙏✌️

<@1319754532393062425> # nigga go get buns LOL 😭 🙏✌️

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:39:58 Polymarket

bro looked at the price and was like "I choose the winning side " 😭

bro looked at the price and was like "I choose the winning side " 😭

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:39:25 Polymarket

you definitely did not do your research but ok <:ICANT:1306491472417263636>

you definitely did not do your research but ok <:ICANT:1306491472417263636>

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:38:41 Polymarket

why did you vote at all without knowing anything?

why did you vote at all without knowing anything?

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:38:12 Polymarket

being first != reliable

being first != reliable

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:37:46 Polymarket

bro <:ICANT:1306491472417263636>

bro <:ICANT:1306491472417263636>

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:37:17 Polymarket

Laccs post on UMA combined with guywhotrades explains it well

Laccs post on UMA combined with guywhotrades explains it well

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:30:43 Polymarket

lmao

lmao

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:25:58 Polymarket

PM won't interfere once the voting process starts. Also UMA token holders aren't allowed to bet on polymarket.

PM won't interfere once the voting process starts. Also UMA token holders aren't allowed to bet on polymarket.

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:24:37 Polymarket

holy cum buckets

holy cum buckets

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:23:04 Polymarket

Yes boys: we wuz kangs

Yes boys: we wuz kangs

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:17:49 Polymarket

there's a UMA discord, this is the thread for the market you're talking about: https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1516110151721943091

there's a UMA discord, this is the thread for the market you're talking about: https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1516110151721943091

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:15:22 Polymarket

they're not ending the war, announcing an agreement if they still disagree on anything but extremely miniscule details

they're not ending the war, announcing an agreement if they still disagree on anything but extremely miniscule details

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:14:59 Polymarket

yes, that copy is the 99% meat copy. Not much is really being changed despite the media confusion.

yes, that copy is the 99% meat copy. Not much is really being changed despite the media confusion.

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:13:26 Polymarket

the friday one is a PR "ceremony". the deal has already been agreed upon.

the friday one is a PR "ceremony". the deal has already been agreed upon.

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:13:02 Polymarket

before it actually got signed

before it actually got signed

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:12:55 Polymarket

they even pre-warned that it would be signed digitally

they even pre-warned that it would be signed digitally

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:12:41 Polymarket

it was digitally signed, as they both annouced to media during interviews/statements

it was digitally signed, as they both annouced to media during interviews/statements

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:12:00 Polymarket

if you want a lottery ticket I suggest you go down to your local gas station and buy one. At least that one has a chance of winning.

if you want a lottery ticket I suggest you go down to your local gas station and buy one. At least that one has a chance of winning.

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:10:18 Polymarket

what? Al Arabiya said "Al Arabiya English has obtained a copy of the 14-point agreement expected to be signed on Friday between Washington and Tehran." How is that not claiming to have the document lol?

what? Al Arabiya said "Al Arabiya English has obtained a copy of the 14-point agreement expected to be signed on Friday between Washington and Tehran." How is that not claiming to have the document lol?

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:02:45 Polymarket

can you link the source for that claim?

can you link the source for that claim?

Splunks 2026-06-17 15:02:02 Polymarket

<@784924476432318484> you did good work, the truth is the rules allow the current leaked parts of the MOU to count. If they wanted a market where the "full MOU document must be formally revealed" then they shouldn't have included leaks and partial leaks at that in the rule clause.

<@784924476432318484> you did good work, the truth is the rules allow the current leaked parts of the MOU to count. If they wanted a market where the "full MOU document must be formally revealed" then they shouldn't have included leaks and partial leaks at that in the rule clause.

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:52:44 Polymarket

yep

yep

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:51:57 Polymarket

so you put together the overlap and you get yourselve SOME of the MOU that is all called valid by each media source

so you put together the overlap and you get yourselve SOME of the MOU that is all called valid by each media source

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:51:39 Polymarket

and each media source calls them valid

and each media source calls them valid

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:51:23 Polymarket

you're making a logical deducation that "because there's differing MOU versions by some amount, they must not all be valid" but that's not true. They could literally all be valid. There could be litereal multiple versions circulating right? Iran could have their version, US could have theirs, their might be multiple iterations.

you're making a logical deducation that "because there's differing MOU versions by some amount, they must not all be valid" but that's not true. They could literally all be valid. There could be litereal multiple versions circulating right? Iran could have their version, US could have theirs, their might be multiple iterations.

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:50:28 Polymarket

I mean at this point you're going against media consensus by calling it "unauthenticated". None of the media articles call it that, it's not like the epstien note case where they all called it unverified. You're deducing it as unauthenticated, the media isn't framing it as such.

I mean at this point you're going against media consensus by calling it "unauthenticated". None of the media articles call it that, it's not like the epstien note case where they all called it unverified. You're deducing it as unauthenticated, the media isn't framing it as such.

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:45:33 Polymarket

this right here is why you never ever ever take the N side of a trump insult market. Literally anything counts. So unless he's in a coma that day, its gg

this right here is why you never ever ever take the N side of a trump insult market. Literally anything counts. So unless he's in a coma that day, its gg

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:43:23 Polymarket

Yes, that's what I'm saying, the consensus of media shows that multiple drafts post june 14th are circulating and they all have some overlap in the clauses (there are clauses that all of them contain). Only part of the MOU must leak so given there is overlap we could reasonably say at least that part leaked even if you don't find consensus on all the clauses. So the exact entire MOU document has not reached a consus of being leaked you could argue, but there's enough overlap that SOME of the text of the MOU has leaked we can say, with consensus. Clearly text of the MOU has been leaked since June 14th.

Yes, that's what I'm saying, the consensus of media shows that multiple drafts post june 14th are circulating and they all have some overlap in the clauses (there are clauses that all of them contain). Only part of the MOU must leak so given there is overlap we could reasonably say at least that part leaked even if you don't find consensus on all the clauses. So the exact entire MOU document has not reached a consus of being leaked you could argue, but there's enough overlap that SOME of the text of the MOU has leaked we can say, with consensus. Clearly text of the MOU has been leaked since June 14th.

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:40:12 Polymarket

I genuinely cannot comprehend these insult markets

I genuinely cannot comprehend these insult markets

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:40:05 Polymarket

is it because he says "nobody every heard of" lol?

is it because he says "nobody every heard of" lol?

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:28:27 Polymarket

what's genocide.live?

what's genocide.live?

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:24:39 Polymarket

the rules are loose, you seem to be operating under a more strict ruleset

the rules are loose, you seem to be operating under a more strict ruleset

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:24:06 Polymarket

that's not debatable and there's plenty of sources for that very fact

that's not debatable and there's plenty of sources for that very fact

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:23:55 Polymarket

becuse there is clear overlap on some of the clauses

becuse there is clear overlap on some of the clauses

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:23:49 Polymarket

its clear that at least some of the MOU has been leaked

its clear that at least some of the MOU has been leaked

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:23:37 Polymarket

you're just obfuscating atp

you're just obfuscating atp

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:22:34 Polymarket

faaaaaah

faaaaaah

Splunks 2026-06-17 14:22:29 Polymarket

I NEED THAT $150 ON MY HIVE ACCNT

I NEED THAT $150 ON MY HIVE ACCNT

← 上一页 第 6 / 22 页 下一页 →