秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Begotten参与话题 14消息总数 1585

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 1585 条,显示第 1051-1100 条
Begotten 2026-06-05 22:47:09 Polymarket

possible referendum =/= possible secession

possible referendum =/= possible secession

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:40:38 Polymarket

so framework means "setting of independence as a valid desire in the inhabitants"

so framework means "setting of independence as a valid desire in the inhabitants"

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:38:53 Polymarket

what do you think framework means?

what do you think framework means?

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:35:00 Polymarket

if it fails, people necessarily choose to stay in canada, if it doesn't people don't necessarily choose to leave canada, in accordance to the voting options

if it fails, people necessarily choose to stay in canada, if it doesn't people don't necessarily choose to leave canada, in accordance to the voting options

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:33:44 Polymarket

no, there's a desire for freedom of choice

no, there's a desire for freedom of choice

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:32:58 Polymarket

this referendum sets a framework for a future democratic referendum, and not for a secession

this referendum sets a framework for a future democratic referendum, and not for a secession

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:27:24 Polymarket

option 2 doesn't necessarily choose poison

option 2 doesn't necessarily choose poison

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:26:48 Polymarket

this is irrelevant

this is irrelevant

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:19:41 Polymarket

no

no

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:18:41 Polymarket

yes

yes

Begotten 2026-06-05 22:14:02 Polymarket

supporting freedom of choice =/= supporting a specific future referendum choice

supporting freedom of choice =/= supporting a specific future referendum choice

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:57:54 Polymarket

can this referendum potentiate a secession? NO

can this referendum potentiate a secession? NO

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:56:31 Polymarket

consensus seems to favor N either way

consensus seems to favor N either way

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:55:30 Polymarket

and it is precisely the sucession referendum that constitutes a potential sucession

and it is precisely the sucession referendum that constitutes a potential sucession

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:53:35 Polymarket

NYT article is a p4 argument

NYT article is a p4 argument

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:52:27 Polymarket

even if it was, this is irrelevant for the purposes of this market. what it implies is that the status quo is not definitive

even if it was, this is irrelevant for the purposes of this market. what it implies is that the status quo is not definitive

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:50:03 Polymarket

"I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"

"I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:48:46 Polymarket

I think there seems to be a confusion regarding what potential secession implies. lets suppose that this referendum concludes that people want the opportunity to vote for secession, then the 2nd referendum is held and they also vote for secession. this doesn't automatically and definitively mean that alberta leaves canada. 2nd referendum constitutes the potential secession here

I think there seems to be a confusion regarding what potential secession implies. lets suppose that this referendum concludes that people want the opportunity to vote for secession, then the 2nd referendum is held and they also vote for secession. this doesn't automatically and definitively mean that alberta leaves canada. 2nd referendum constitutes the potential secession here

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:47:30 Polymarket

until this initial referendum is held, a framework cannot be set either

until this initial referendum is held, a framework cannot be set either

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:46:54 Polymarket

vote for secession is not yet scheduled, only the vote for the opportunity to vote for secession

vote for secession is not yet scheduled, only the vote for the opportunity to vote for secession

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:44:00 Polymarket

holy shit lol

holy shit lol

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:36:51 Polymarket

a good rule of thumb is betting against <@1446097066131460097>

a good rule of thumb is betting against <@1446097066131460097>

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:32:55 Polymarket

yes but also no

yes but also no

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:31:54 Polymarket

potential secession means a referendum which directly asks "should alberta leave canada?" - this is not yet scheduled

potential secession means a referendum which directly asks "should alberta leave canada?" - this is not yet scheduled

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:30:42 Polymarket

"begin going"

"begin going"

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:27:14 Polymarket

N is super underpriced

N is super underpriced

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:23:03 Polymarket

framework cannot be set without the initial vote being complete. framework doesn't yet exist

framework cannot be set without the initial vote being complete. framework doesn't yet exist

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:22:28 Polymarket

lmao insane

lmao insane

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:22:04 Polymarket

let's discuss the 2nd clause. which category does it fall under? clearly not setting a framework

let's discuss the 2nd clause. which category does it fall under? clearly not setting a framework

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:20:35 Polymarket

vote **for secession** is not yet scheduled, therefore the framework is not set

vote **for secession** is not yet scheduled, therefore the framework is not set

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:19:55 Polymarket

NYT as well

NYT as well

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:19:49 Polymarket

I think this should be clear

I think this should be clear

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:18:30 Polymarket

setting a framework cannot be constituted by voting for the opportunity to vote. framework would be how it can be done, but this would only be possible if the people choose to vote for secession in the future in this referendum

setting a framework cannot be constituted by voting for the opportunity to vote. framework would be how it can be done, but this would only be possible if the people choose to vote for secession in the future in this referendum

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:16:34 Polymarket

is there an option which directly votes for secession? no. only for the opportunity to vote

is there an option which directly votes for secession? no. only for the opportunity to vote

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:16:11 Polymarket

whatever that option implies is not definitive for the purposes of this market

whatever that option implies is not definitive for the purposes of this market

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:15:39 Polymarket

fair, but strictly speaking, for the purposes of this market, how is that relevant?

fair, but strictly speaking, for the purposes of this market, how is that relevant?

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:14:07 Polymarket

which clause is this relevant for?

which clause is this relevant for?

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:04:41 Polymarket

you looked up the definition of the word "concerning" 5 minutes ago and you now have a standpoint you argue. it is comical

you looked up the definition of the word "concerning" 5 minutes ago and you now have a standpoint you argue. it is comical

Begotten 2026-06-05 19:00:06 Polymarket

yep! but we are on the different sides here

yep! but we are on the different sides here

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:59:22 Polymarket

in relation to voting, it is the 2nd case

in relation to voting, it is the 2nd case

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:58:49 Polymarket

that's the problem. I don't think they understand in UMA either

that's the problem. I don't think they understand in UMA either

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:56:47 Polymarket

the only problem I see is the ESL misinterpretation of the word "concerning" in this context, which is likely

the only problem I see is the ESL misinterpretation of the word "concerning" in this context, which is likely

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:54:12 Polymarket

in any case, N is underpriced

in any case, N is underpriced

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:52:34 Polymarket

@bosurm help

@bosurm help

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:51:54 Polymarket

it is ambiguous for sure, and a clarif would be nice

it is ambiguous for sure, and a clarif would be nice

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:50:00 Polymarket

the word "concerning" has a clear context here, and when you're talking about a vote, it means the specifics of what the question asks. if it asked "should alberta leave canada?" it would be Y, concerning secession, but this doesn't ask that

the word "concerning" has a clear context here, and when you're talking about a vote, it means the specifics of what the question asks. if it asked "should alberta leave canada?" it would be Y, concerning secession, but this doesn't ask that

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:48:20 Polymarket

he googled "define concerning" once (1 time)

he googled "define concerning" once (1 time)

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:46:56 Polymarket

this referendum establishes the province's desire for the opportunity to vote

this referendum establishes the province's desire for the opportunity to vote

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:46:25 Polymarket

this should be clear

this should be clear

Begotten 2026-06-05 18:45:21 Polymarket

the word "concerning" has a clear meaning in relation to voting

the word "concerning" has a clear meaning in relation to voting

← 上一页 第 22 / 32 页 下一页 →