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Begotten 2026-06-22 17:41:32 Polymarket

but you bought the wrong side

but you bought the wrong side

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:41:25 Polymarket

I did say starmer N was a bond

I did say starmer N was a bond

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:37:25 Polymarket

isn't it also possible that starmer refuses to hand over with a delay?

isn't it also possible that starmer refuses to hand over with a delay?

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:35:50 Polymarket

that's actually true

that's actually true

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:34:15 Polymarket

domer is on starmer

domer is on starmer

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:33:09 Polymarket

he's 91

he's 91

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:33:03 Polymarket

the only alternative is like palestine president dies

the only alternative is like palestine president dies

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:32:36 Polymarket

elite strategy

elite strategy

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:32:28 Polymarket

bought high sold low both sides

bought high sold low both sides

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:30:01 Polymarket

does he actually say september

does he actually say september

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:29:54 Polymarket

did you listen to this?

did you listen to this?

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:28:39 Polymarket

it's most likely gonna be uncontested

it's most likely gonna be uncontested

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:27:08 Polymarket

contest can be complete by august 7

contest can be complete by august 7

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:26:57 Polymarket

no?

no?

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:22:52 Polymarket

genuinely are you saying starmer can't be out by august 7?

genuinely are you saying starmer can't be out by august 7?

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:21:51 Polymarket

why am i a schizo

why am i a schizo

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:21:05 Polymarket

good luck!

good luck!

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:20:08 Polymarket

and why do you think it can't happen by august 7?

and why do you think it can't happen by august 7?

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:16:06 Polymarket

it's possible, but unlikely

it's possible, but unlikely

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:09:39 Polymarket

yeah it's close to a coinflip

yeah it's close to a coinflip

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:08:32 Polymarket

it's up to the contestants, but I suppose it is

it's up to the contestants, but I suppose it is

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:07:01 Polymarket

chatgpt ahh opinion

chatgpt ahh opinion

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:06:28 Polymarket

I'd actually be surprised if he doesn't go uncontested

I'd actually be surprised if he doesn't go uncontested

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:05:45 Polymarket

burnham most likely goes uncontested and if he does, he will 90% of cases replace starmer by august 7

burnham most likely goes uncontested and if he does, he will 90% of cases replace starmer by august 7

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:02:59 Polymarket

I'm actually banging my head against the wall that I didn't buy starmer at 15c

I'm actually banging my head against the wall that I didn't buy starmer at 15c

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:02:49 Polymarket

I was very wrong

I was very wrong

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:02:39 Polymarket

yes

yes

Begotten 2026-06-22 17:02:05 Polymarket

I actually researched this more, and I think fv is around 55c

I actually researched this more, and I think fv is around 55c

Begotten 2026-06-22 16:56:07 Polymarket

actually after doing a bit more research, I think starmer will most likely be out by august 7

actually after doing a bit more research, I think starmer will most likely be out by august 7

Begotten 2026-06-22 16:46:45 Polymarket

yes

yes

Begotten 2026-06-21 19:41:26 Polymarket

I think problem is the British people

I think problem is the British people

Begotten 2026-06-21 19:36:30 Polymarket

https://x.com/Reuters/status/2068608652152275092?s=20

https://x.com/Reuters/status/2068608652152275092?s=20

Begotten 2026-06-21 19:34:31 Polymarket

https://x.com/BRICSinfo/status/2068590606289432971?s=20

https://x.com/BRICSinfo/status/2068590606289432971?s=20

Begotten 2026-06-21 17:07:09 Polymarket

Are they going to have one?

Are they going to have one?

Begotten 2026-06-20 18:23:41 Polymarket

is he gonna do it on the same day after 10 years?

is he gonna do it on the same day after 10 years?

Begotten 2026-06-20 06:50:25 Polymarket

2 persons voted N, menade and it's alt

2 persons voted N, menade and it's alt

Begotten 2026-06-20 06:17:52 Polymarket

analysis != consensus though

analysis != consensus though

Begotten 2026-06-20 06:16:54 Polymarket

obviously

obviously

Begotten 2026-06-20 06:15:32 Polymarket

it's logistically impossible, and judging from what he has said thus far, he won't voluntarily resign

it's logistically impossible, and judging from what he has said thus far, he won't voluntarily resign

Begotten 2026-06-20 06:11:32 Polymarket

that's technically correct, but since the consensus revolves around MoU, I guess it doesn't

that's technically correct, but since the consensus revolves around MoU, I guess it doesn't

Begotten 2026-06-20 06:10:15 Polymarket

what's the likelihood of this going through

what's the likelihood of this going through

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:34:53 Polymarket

also, if this goes p4 judging from MoU or reporting thereof, trump agreeing to enrichment cannot also go p4

also, if this goes p4 judging from MoU or reporting thereof, trump agreeing to enrichment cannot also go p4

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:34:04 Polymarket

<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>

<@941405798096076880> <@1212792946341183578>

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:33:44 Polymarket

The MOU treats the current stockpile as a fixed quantity that needs to be addressed in negotiations (downblending). If Iran resumes or expands uranium enrichment during this 60-day window, the stockpile grows. A growing stockpile directly undermines the stated purpose of the negotiation period (reducing/disposing of the stockpile). The downblending mandate is undermined by any new enrichment. If Iran is permitted to continue or resume enrichment (even at low levels) during this window, a causal problem arises: The total enriched uranium stockpile grows while the parties are supposed to be negotiating how to reduce it. This would make the interim framework internally incoherent. The only way the downblending negotiation makes sense is if the stockpile (and the enrichment that feeds it) is held constant. Low-enriched uranium is the direct feedstock for further enrichment to higher levels. Allowing Iran to produce new LEU during the 60-day interim period increases the available feed material - hence the "status quo of nuclear program" - which eludes a strict definition. If you cannot interpret the standalone "status quo," consider the memorandum text as a whole and you might understand that it has to mean something, i.e. absence of nothing.

The MOU treats the current stockpile as a fixed quantity that needs to be addressed in negotiations (downblending). If Iran resumes or expands uranium enrichment during this 60-day window, the stockpile grows. A growing stockpile directly undermines the stated purpose of the negotiation period (reducing/disposing of the stockpile). The downblending mandate is undermined by any new enrichment. If Iran is permitted to continue or resume enrichment (even at low levels) during this window, a causal problem arises: The total enriched uranium stockpile grows while the parties are supposed to be negotiating how to reduce it. This would make the interim framework internally incoherent. The only way the downblending negotiation makes sense is if the stockpile (and the enrichment that feeds it) is held constant. Low-enriched uranium is the direct feedstock for further enrichment to higher levels. Allowing Iran to produce new LEU during the 60-day interim period increases the available feed material - hence the "status quo of nuclear program" - which eludes a strict definition. If you cannot interpret the standalone "status quo," consider the memorandum text as a whole and you might understand that it has to mean something, i.e. absence of nothing.

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:28:02 Polymarket

it's right there. what do you think status quo means?

it's right there. what do you think status quo means?

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:26:52 Polymarket

if maintaining implicably agrees not to enrich, it agrees to end enrichment. it might be a little complex

if maintaining implicably agrees not to enrich, it agrees to end enrichment. it might be a little complex

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:22:51 Polymarket

you have written nothing but adhominems for the past 6 hours

you have written nothing but adhominems for the past 6 hours

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:13:39 Polymarket

this and trump agrees to enrichment cannot both go p4

this and trump agrees to enrichment cannot both go p4

Begotten 2026-06-20 03:11:05 Polymarket

2h

2h

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