PolymarketYou’re alive?
You’re alive?
manipuhator 👮♂️ 🧱参与话题 14消息总数 498
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共 498 条，显示第 251-300 条It’s all curve fitting
It’s all curve fitting
MUSTAFA!!!!!!!
MUSTAFA!!!!!!!
too bad <@954607102062624808> <@332725883305721856> and <@227596353373470721> all died and turned into cement before they could see it
too bad <@954607102062624808> <@332725883305721856> and <@227596353373470721> all died and turned into cement before they could see it
this is nice
this is nice
but I am actually on the 3rd party market integrity team, I don't think polymarket has a market integrity team
but I am actually on the 3rd party market integrity team, I don't think polymarket has a market integrity team
wow that's my favourite
wow that's my favourite
lol
lol
everyone go follow, got the brand new pfp set up
everyone go follow, got the brand new pfp set up
https://x.com/manipuhator
https://x.com/manipuhator
that's better
that's better
what's KOL?
what's KOL?
if anone has better let me know
if anone has better let me know
I got it
I got it
it's just curve fitting after all
it's just curve fitting after all
I really wanted to but I ran out of free credits on chatgpt
I really wanted to but I ran out of free credits on chatgpt
I really want to hit 100 followers soon
I really want to hit 100 followers soon
<@1376505406926618716> please if you have some suggestions let me know
<@1376505406926618716> please if you have some suggestions let me know
https://x.com/manipuhator
https://x.com/manipuhator
alright
alright
catpoop.org?
catpoop.org?
should bring in some nice counterparties
should bring in some nice counterparties
too scary
too scary
I will let you guys decide
I will let you guys decide
what should I change it to
what should I change it to
ah nice maybe that's what was holding me back and why i only have 10 followers
ah nice maybe that's what was holding me back and why i only have 10 followers
and I am not a troll, I actually know a lot about trading, you can DM if you want a serious chat
and I am not a troll, I actually know a lot about trading, you can DM if you want a serious chat
i just wanted to know what was going on in ML, now I know
i just wanted to know what was going on in ML, now I know
you're welcome, it was all <@1361217824776786031> really
you're welcome, it was all <@1361217824776786031> really
if this is happening then i would recommend trying to buy for lower prices, and sell for higher prices the ideal is if you can buy up + down < 1 but for some people even up + down < 1.15 works
if this is happening then i would recommend trying to buy for lower prices, and sell for higher prices the ideal is if you can buy up + down < 1 but for some people even up + down < 1.15 works
i see so basically the issue is that you are buying for prices which are higher than the prices you sell at
i see so basically the issue is that you are buying for prices which are higher than the prices you sell at
I see
I see
aren't all trades adverserial? or sometimes you trade against people who want to lose money?
aren't all trades adverserial? or sometimes you trade against people who want to lose money?
<@1174231867726245930> sorry if you already mentioned it, what is an adverserial trade?
<@1174231867726245930> sorry if you already mentioned it, what is an adverserial trade?
trade less
trade less
I am just happy if one young child gets hooked on machine learning thanks to the work of <@1361217824776786031> , happy if i can play even a small role in that
I am just happy if one young child gets hooked on machine learning thanks to the work of <@1361217824776786031> , happy if i can play even a small role in that
what's the point?
what's the point?
I agree
I agree
and if you view polymarket btc 5min as a curve then you can just fit that
and if you view polymarket btc 5min as a curve then you can just fit that
it is alllll curve fitting
it is alllll curve fitting
<@1174231867726245930> would recommend you read the above post if you want to get the ML fundamentals down
<@1174231867726245930> would recommend you read the above post if you want to get the ML fundamentals down
https://x.com/manipuhator/status/2064361374260637976?s=20
https://x.com/manipuhator/status/2064361374260637976?s=20
how did you get it so good
how did you get it so good
woah that seems super low!
woah that seems super low!
<@1174231867726245930> have you tried kalshi?
<@1174231867726245930> have you tried kalshi?
a famous ML researcher once told me this
a famous ML researcher once told me this
have you tried viewing it as random noise in your strategy?
have you tried viewing it as random noise in your strategy?
anyone want to give me a market on mustafa getting fired this year?
anyone want to give me a market on mustafa getting fired this year?
it's just curve fitting
it's just curve fitting
no it's pretty fine if you have obsidian tier
no it's pretty fine if you have obsidian tier