秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Mr_Moonlight参与话题 8消息总数 351

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 351 条,显示第 201-250 条
Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:59:59 Kalshi

can potentially have an effect on their cardio

can potentially have an effect on their cardio

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:59:48 Kalshi

with 250 being outside

with 250 being outside

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:59:45 Kalshi

i think the weather conditions

i think the weather conditions

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:57:34 Kalshi

i just want to win

i just want to win

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:57:30 Kalshi

i dont care who my counterparty is

i dont care who my counterparty is

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:57:26 Kalshi

i dont think like other traders

i dont think like other traders

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:56:50 Kalshi

😂

😂

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:56:49 Kalshi

in lightweight

in lightweight

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:56:47 Kalshi

gaethje is 37

gaethje is 37

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:56:30 Kalshi

ngl

ngl

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:56:30 Kalshi

79 is so cheap

79 is so cheap

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:54:02 Kalshi

a LOT

a LOT

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:54:01 Kalshi

but i do like ilia ml

but i do like ilia ml

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:53:55 Kalshi

most of it

most of it

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:53:52 Kalshi

im prob gonna hedge

im prob gonna hedge

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:53:48 Kalshi

no

no

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:53:05 Kalshi

<:Salute:1306491774537302138>

<:Salute:1306491774537302138>

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:50:07 Kalshi

and hopefully knicks pull through for me

and hopefully knicks pull through for me

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:50:02 Kalshi

coming up

coming up

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:49:59 Kalshi

big ufc bets

big ufc bets

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:49:55 Kalshi

i got

i got

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-12 01:49:52 Kalshi

on the sports side prob not too heavy tbh

on the sports side prob not too heavy tbh

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 13:41:59 Kalshi

i made like 200$ liq

i made like 200$ liq

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 13:41:53 Kalshi

cuz it had liq rewards

cuz it had liq rewards

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 13:41:50 Kalshi

i vividly remember doing research for this market

i vividly remember doing research for this market

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 13:41:32 Kalshi

i bet no on every strike 😂

i bet no on every strike 😂

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 13:41:08 Kalshi

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1437275308867981412/1481771355258228876/Cats_Share_Lightsaber_Laugh_Together-ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converter.gif

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1437275308867981412/1481771355258228876/Cats_Share_Lightsaber_Laugh_Together-ezgif.com-video-to-gif-converter.gif

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 13:40:59 Kalshi

no bonds btw

no bonds btw

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 03:59:43 Kalshi

https://www.reddit.com/r/Kalshi/comments/1u1n389/i_think_we_are_betting_against_kalshi_bots/

https://www.reddit.com/r/Kalshi/comments/1u1n389/i_think_we_are_betting_against_kalshi_bots/

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 03:43:16 Kalshi

I don’t know if folks have brought this up or this have been suspected or proven or I don’t even know how to prove it with fact l but after being on Kalshi platform and betting for millions of volume already, and thankfully I’m still up…. But I have now come to the conclusion and suspect that not only am I betting against or with fellow bettors but maybe even Kalshi itself and its bots. Think about it Kalshi has a game team a and team b. Let’s say realistically and statistically team A has 50% to win and Team B has 50% to win. But Kalshi show 80% team A to win and team B 20% to win. Why do we trust the % so much on Kalshi. I think majority of people trust the % shown by Kalshi when it can easily be manipulated by the system itself to get you to bet a certain way or get out of the bet. Another example. Let’s say I place a contract bet 50% for the game to tie. Now it’s close to game end and it’s still tie and now it’s 90%. You would think I would be up my money. Before the game ends, I probably want to exit to guarantee my win… but some cases I can’t get out because I would get out with a loss even though I am up 40% but in terms of monetary I am at a loss? Maybe the system purposely don’t let me exit with the gain so I still have my bet because the system knows the game will not end in a tie thus I’ll lose my whole money. Lose my whole money to who? Maybe the other side who might even be the Kalshi bots better the other side using their stastically analysis. If I still win, Kalshi wins since it takes a cut anyways. But if I lose, Kalshi definately win if it is really true that Kalshi itself have the other side placing bets… Again can’t really prove but I have been very suspected when I’m up so much in terms of percentage yet when I try to cash out, I would cash out as a loss…

I don’t know if folks have brought this up or this have been suspected or proven or I don’t even know how to prove it with fact l but after being on Kalshi platform and betting for millions of volume already, and thankfully I’m still up…. But I have now come to the conclusion and suspect that not only am I betting against or with fellow bettors but maybe even Kalshi itself and its bots. Think about it Kalshi has a game team a and team b. Let’s say realistically and statistically team A has 50% to win and Team B has 50% to win. But Kalshi show 80% team A to win and team B 20% to win. Why do we trust the % so much on Kalshi. I think majority of people trust the % shown by Kalshi when it can easily be manipulated by the system itself to get you to bet a certain way or get out of the bet. Another example. Let’s say I place a contract bet 50% for the game to tie. Now it’s close to game end and it’s still tie and now it’s 90%. You would think I would be up my money. Before the game ends, I probably want to exit to guarantee my win… but some cases I can’t get out because I would get out with a loss even though I am up 40% but in terms of monetary I am at a loss? Maybe the system purposely don’t let me exit with the gain so I still have my bet because the system knows the game will not end in a tie thus I’ll lose my whole money. Lose my whole money to who? Maybe the other side who might even be the Kalshi bots better the other side using their stastically analysis. If I still win, Kalshi wins since it takes a cut anyways. But if I lose, Kalshi definately win if it is really true that Kalshi itself have the other side placing bets… Again can’t really prove but I have been very suspected when I’m up so much in terms of percentage yet when I try to cash out, I would cash out as a loss…

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 02:25:56 Kalshi

Maybe would’ve been better in the morning but couldn’t wake up

Maybe would’ve been better in the morning but couldn’t wake up

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 02:25:47 Kalshi

Idk tbh I tried to quote Trump overnight but got like 1k shares in total

Idk tbh I tried to quote Trump overnight but got like 1k shares in total

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 02:23:33 Kalshi

Like Trump on the red carpet, it’s a random walk

Like Trump on the red carpet, it’s a random walk

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 02:23:25 Kalshi

No skill in gambling

No skill in gambling

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 02:20:05 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 00:32:57 Kalshi

Crine!

Crine!

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-11 00:32:54 Kalshi

Bro thinks sportsball is more important than democracy

Bro thinks sportsball is more important than democracy

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 12:09:05 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:58:53 Kalshi

quoting is setting the prices

quoting is setting the prices

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:58:46 Kalshi

ur just picking a side

ur just picking a side

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:58:41 Kalshi

ive been doing NBA too but i dont consider that quoting when the orderbook is stacked

ive been doing NBA too but i dont consider that quoting when the orderbook is stacked

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:57:58 Kalshi

bc i cba

bc i cba

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:57:54 Kalshi

i just gotta not quote the strikes that people can do research for lol

i just gotta not quote the strikes that people can do research for lol

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:57:42 Kalshi

by the president sharps

by the president sharps

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:57:40 Kalshi

i got adversed

i got adversed

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:57:23 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:23:49 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

https://tenor.com/view/sad-cat-car-silly-cat-sad-scary-gif-12889095585962936860

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:20:01 Kalshi

lets see

lets see

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:19:58 Kalshi

first market ive quoted in like a month lol

first market ive quoted in like a month lol

Mr_Moonlight 2026-06-10 06:19:51 Kalshi

i quoted for mamdani

i quoted for mamdani