聊天记录
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<@1361217824776786031> <@880242004720771104> The Kalshi app shows **mentions inside the UI of sports matches**. Like a tab you can click on "Mentions" and it shows mention markets for that match.
I highly recommend doing this if you want a great increase in sports mention volume.
<@1361217824776786031> <@880242004720771104> The Kalshi app shows **mentions inside the UI of sports matches**. Like a tab you can click on "Mentions" and it shows mention markets for that match.
I highly recommend doing this if you want a great increase in sports mention volume.
i never bought egg cuz I would never have believed
i never bought egg cuz I would never have believed
omfg
omfg
NO
NO
egg
egg
<:POG:595424999272087562>
<:POG:595424999272087562>
he is changing the whole procedures of the fed
he is changing the whole procedures of the fed
his vibe is very different
his vibe is very different
crazy different
crazy different
Kevin Warsh is so different from Powell
Kevin Warsh is so different from Powell
Will France play against Germany?
Will France play against Germany?
<@1272383282687905939> <@1457826843766947977> Amount of Own Goals (world cup wide)
currently at 2
<@1272383282687905939> <@1457826843766947977> Amount of Own Goals (world cup wide)
currently at 2
<@1272383282687905939> <@1457826843766947977> Number of teams to win a World Cup match for the first time
- 0
- 1-2
- 3-4
- 5-6
- 7 or more
These teams never won a World Cup match
```Canada, Qatar, Haiti, Curaçao, Egypt, New Zealand, Cape Verde, Iraq, Jordan, DR Congo, Uzbekistan, Panama```
<@1272383282687905939> <@1457826843766947977> Number of teams to win a World Cup match for the first time
- 0
- 1-2
- 3-4
- 5-6
- 7 or more
These teams never won a World Cup match
```Canada, Qatar, Haiti, Curaçao, Egypt, New Zealand, Cape Verde, Iraq, Jordan, DR Congo, Uzbekistan, Panama```
catch-all markets are having terrible liquidity
catch-all markets are having terrible liquidity
if you spam a market for each day you're going to get a lot of dead markets
if you spam a market for each day you're going to get a lot of dead markets
why not one for whole summit
why not one for whole summit
no deal
no deal
the people have spoken
the people have spoken
he said what you quoted
he said what you quoted
he didn't say today
he didn't say today
but what he says today doesn't alter the fact he announced a finalized deal on june 13
but what he says today doesn't alter the fact he announced a finalized deal on june 13
he has been saying we're close since forever
he has been saying we're close since forever
when he says "so close" it either means the signing won't be today, or that he is expecting to sign it today and doesn't want any attacks
when he says "so close" it either means the signing won't be today, or that he is expecting to sign it today and doesn't want any attacks
imagine you actually have a signing, but announcement goes N because he didn't "say the words"
imagine you actually have a signing, but announcement goes N because he didn't "say the words"
he is saying "we are very close", which is a step back
he is saying "we are very close", which is a step back
this post is bearish
this post is bearish
## ANNOUNCEMENT HOLDERS ARE VICTIMS.
I was always on the announcement market, because I was betting on Trump making an announcement like the one he made yesterday. The rules are very permissive if you look closely.
But the intention of the rules (announcement, not the actual deal happening) have been squandered
## ANNOUNCEMENT HOLDERS ARE VICTIMS.
I was always on the announcement market, because I was betting on Trump making an announcement like the one he made yesterday. The rules are very permissive if you look closely.
But the intention of the rules (announcement, not the actual deal happening) have been squandered
UMA has a ridiculous protocol under which a past clarification or past precedent bears overwhelming value.
So this clarification which deals with a complete different statement, and not the actual post from 13 June, is used to automatically produce a P4 understanding, without even analyzing the merit. You in fact have another market which resolved, and the rules of that market require a definitive announcement, so we know that this announcement is, too, definitive.
But they will vote NO regardless
UMA has a ridiculous protocol under which a past clarification or past precedent bears overwhelming value.
So this clarification which deals with a complete different statement, and not the actual post from 13 June, is used to automatically produce a P4 understanding, without even analyzing the merit. You in fact have another market which resolved, and the rules of that market require a definitive announcement, so we know that this announcement is, too, definitive.
But they will vote NO regardless
which requires you to not have a life, since news happens all the time
which requires you to not have a life, since news happens all the time
airspace closure requires something substantial enough that they're gonna be launching an attack and close so they know that any shit they see in the air is OK for shooting down
airspace closure requires something substantial enough that they're gonna be launching an attack and close so they know that any shit they see in the air is OK for shooting down
my point is that things like this are much tougher than it seems. You see some explosions on X and FOMO in then lose because it doesn't cause them to actually close
my point is that things like this are much tougher than it seems. You see some explosions on X and FOMO in then lose because it doesn't cause them to actually close
as for announcement by june 13, the only way it goes Y is through a clarification
knew that from the start
as for announcement by june 13, the only way it goes Y is through a clarification
knew that from the start
iran already arguably closed twice in the month
iran already arguably closed twice in the month
it's harder than iran
it's harder than iran
see my point
see my point
have any israel airspace markets resolve as YES lately
have any israel airspace markets resolve as YES lately
the right way to trade middle east markets is this
you buy cheap stuff and wait for a pump then sell
the right way to trade middle east markets is this
you buy cheap stuff and wait for a pump then sell
UMA is completely clinging to a clarification that does not apply
UMA is completely clinging to a clarification that does not apply
goalposts moved
goalposts moved
it's just sad for the announcement market, that nothing but a signing will resolve that crap at this point
it's just sad for the announcement market, that nothing but a signing will resolve that crap at this point
you mean lose
you mean lose
nice job, me
nice job, me
basically, months of middle east trading to stay at a loss
basically, months of middle east trading to stay at a loss
bibi trying to sabotage this
bibi trying to sabotage this
the bears win again? signing not gonna happen?
the bears win again? signing not gonna happen?
## N IS A SCAM
## EVEN THE N ARGUERS ADMIT IT "WOULD HAVE BEEN Y IF 50P DIDNT PUSH JUNE 12"
## N IS A SCAM
## EVEN THE N ARGUERS ADMIT IT "WOULD HAVE BEEN Y IF 50P DIDNT PUSH JUNE 12"
Let me buy back at 3c, I sold by mistake
Let me buy back at 3c, I sold by mistake
I sold June 13 by mistake at 3c, now it's pumping, nice
I sold June 13 by mistake at 3c, now it's pumping, nice
People are siding with a past clarification that says informal statements don't count, while he made a very formal post today.
People are siding with a past clarification that says informal statements don't count, while he made a very formal post today.
anyone saying P4 is bandwagoning
anyone saying P4 is bandwagoning
Polymarket
Kalshi