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aenews参与话题 18消息总数 900

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aenews 2026-07-03 19:25:56 Polymarket

on a plane

on a plane

aenews 2026-07-03 19:22:44 Polymarket

No, I was never a voting member. I quit advisory voluntarily because they wanted to make me a voting member.

No, I was never a voting member. I quit advisory voluntarily because they wanted to make me a voting member.

aenews 2026-07-03 19:21:30 Polymarket

<a:evil_patrick:609580772667555851>

<a:evil_patrick:609580772667555851>

aenews 2026-07-03 19:21:22 Polymarket

They didn't listen, hope the mfs get slashed!

They didn't listen, hope the mfs get slashed!

aenews 2026-07-03 19:05:47 Polymarket

maybe I'll bond N too

maybe I'll bond N too

aenews 2026-07-03 19:05:36 Polymarket

hm

hm

aenews 2026-07-03 19:05:25 Polymarket

in before ae alt

in before ae alt

aenews 2026-07-03 19:05:10 Polymarket

in before hidden file

in before hidden file

aenews 2026-07-03 15:35:55 Polymarket

Moana Opening Weekend <29 29-34 34-39 39-44 >44 <@941405798096076880> <@1402074242211643422> <@1272383282687905939> <@1212792946341183578>

Moana Opening Weekend <29 29-34 34-39 39-44 >44 <@941405798096076880> <@1402074242211643422> <@1272383282687905939> <@1212792946341183578>

aenews 2026-07-03 08:53:43 Polymarket

I will get a suggestion up by morning probs

I will get a suggestion up by morning probs

aenews 2026-07-01 18:07:53 Polymarket

I think you're having a bad moment

I think you're having a bad moment

aenews 2026-07-01 18:04:24 Polymarket

he did say it three times I guess

he did say it three times I guess

aenews 2026-07-01 18:04:05 Polymarket

Doesn't sound like one to me

Doesn't sound like one to me

aenews 2026-06-28 19:30:43 Polymarket

wut

wut

aenews 2026-06-28 19:28:51 Kalshi

well this is what they ended up doing, just for N

well this is what they ended up doing, just for N

aenews 2026-06-28 19:27:49 Polymarket

@ is a symbol, this is just a font

@ is a symbol, this is just a font

aenews 2026-06-28 19:25:26 Kalshi

in this case

in this case

aenews 2026-06-28 19:24:55 Kalshi

Also, all counties certified besides Tazwell It's actually mathematically impossible to shift any brackets Ambiguity definition does not matter

Also, all counties certified besides Tazwell It's actually mathematically impossible to shift any brackets Ambiguity definition does not matter

aenews 2026-06-28 19:23:39 Kalshi

That's how it should be optimally

That's how it should be optimally

aenews 2026-06-28 19:23:30 Kalshi

Certification only if there's ambiguity None of the brackets were remotely close

Certification only if there's ambiguity None of the brackets were remotely close

aenews 2026-06-28 19:22:55 Kalshi

There is not a 1 in 1000 shot that occurs

There is not a 1 in 1000 shot that occurs

aenews 2026-06-28 19:22:27 Kalshi

Stranger Things is not releasing a new episode, either Gotta wait until EOY

Stranger Things is not releasing a new episode, either Gotta wait until EOY

aenews 2026-06-28 19:21:42 Kalshi

Whether it's happening or not is irrelevant

Whether it's happening or not is irrelevant

aenews 2026-06-28 19:21:23 Kalshi

There was never ambiguity here on correct bracket, so certification optimally should not have mattered at all. Good if they fix that.

There was never ambiguity here on correct bracket, so certification optimally should not have mattered at all. Good if they fix that.

aenews 2026-06-28 19:19:34 Kalshi

Would be good yeah

Would be good yeah

aenews 2026-06-28 19:18:43 Kalshi

Even if that's true, that means poor construction And again, early resolution to N is not even an option in the contract at all.

Even if that's true, that means poor construction And again, early resolution to N is not even an option in the contract at all.

aenews 2026-06-28 19:17:41 Polymarket

I have no issue reading that

I have no issue reading that

aenews 2026-06-28 19:17:23 Polymarket

I mean, yeah

I mean, yeah

aenews 2026-06-28 19:14:44 Polymarket

if someone takes a selfie, it isn't a picture of the person, they look alien

if someone takes a selfie, it isn't a picture of the person, they look alien

aenews 2026-06-28 19:11:31 Polymarket

like slam Y from 10c to 90c?

like slam Y from 10c to 90c?

aenews 2026-06-28 19:10:52 Polymarket

ah

ah

aenews 2026-06-28 19:07:00 Polymarket

I'm buying Y

I'm buying Y

aenews 2026-06-28 18:54:27 Kalshi

It kinda was tripped up tho? A scenario where the main resolves differently from margin/turnout shouldn't happen. It only happened due to poor rules construction or implementation. Even though both have the same certification requirement, apparently acceleration allows main to resolve contrary? And then even though there is no acceleration to resolve N, that also occurs...

It kinda was tripped up tho? A scenario where the main resolves differently from margin/turnout shouldn't happen. It only happened due to poor rules construction or implementation. Even though both have the same certification requirement, apparently acceleration allows main to resolve contrary? And then even though there is no acceleration to resolve N, that also occurs...

aenews 2026-06-28 18:47:53 Kalshi

But point is not the liklihood in the first place

But point is not the liklihood in the first place

aenews 2026-06-28 18:47:38 Kalshi

It's a pretty long time until deadline, stranger things have happened.

It's a pretty long time until deadline, stranger things have happened.

aenews 2026-06-28 18:46:32 Kalshi

VA SC would have to change their mind

VA SC would have to change their mind

aenews 2026-06-28 18:44:54 Kalshi

Deadlines are absolute, there was no reason for it to be resolved

Deadlines are absolute, there was no reason for it to be resolved

aenews 2026-06-28 11:04:00 Kalshi

Markets that are basically impossible always stay open until deadline

Markets that are basically impossible always stay open until deadline

aenews 2026-06-28 11:03:40 Kalshi

My point is not that they will, but that the market was not resolvable

My point is not that they will, but that the market was not resolvable

aenews 2026-06-28 11:02:46 Kalshi

It isn't impossible for the court to change their mind and rule again. While that is a <1% possibility, the contract does not have any pathway to resolve before the mid-2027 deadline.

It isn't impossible for the court to change their mind and rule again. While that is a <1% possibility, the contract does not have any pathway to resolve before the mid-2027 deadline.

aenews 2026-06-28 10:50:13 Kalshi

Why did the main market resolve Y when both indicate certification?

Why did the main market resolve Y when both indicate certification?

aenews 2026-06-28 10:49:17 Kalshi

It was the Kalshi equivalent of a rules dispute

It was the Kalshi equivalent of a rules dispute

aenews 2026-06-28 10:29:26 Kalshi

lolz

lolz

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