KalshiRemember when Trump talked about busting for like a full minute earlier
Remember when Trump talked about busting for like a full minute earlier
Mitchieboi参与话题 45消息总数 4455
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共 4455 条，显示第 651-700 条Yo
Yo
delete
delete
so no point
so no point
I have nothing to change about my methods
I have nothing to change about my methods
I'm just over it
I'm just over it
wasn't even that bad of a game
wasn't even that bad of a game
I have officially given up!
I have officially given up!
my spirit has been broken dw
my spirit has been broken dw
https://klipy.com/gifs/man-trying-to-kil-himself-joke
https://klipy.com/gifs/man-trying-to-kil-himself-joke
both!
both!
I would be a trillionaire
I would be a trillionaire
instead of holding the last 5 minutes of the game
instead of holding the last 5 minutes of the game
if I had the option to sell positions when they get to 95
if I had the option to sell positions when they get to 95
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MU_6BPKmBg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MU_6BPKmBg
https://klipy.com/gifs/freddy-freddy-fazbear-29
https://klipy.com/gifs/freddy-freddy-fazbear-29
there's some small edges on wc
there's some small edges on wc
it'll be fun if/when I get my sports pnl back in the green
it'll be fun if/when I get my sports pnl back in the green
now do webwon to gsw
now do webwon to gsw
I DIDNT HAVE ANXIETY DREAMS ABOUT ANNOUNCERS SAYING WHAT A SAVE LAST NIGHT
I DIDNT HAVE ANXIETY DREAMS ABOUT ANNOUNCERS SAYING WHAT A SAVE LAST NIGHT
MY FAITH WAS NEVER SHAKEN
MY FAITH WAS NEVER SHAKEN
I NEVER DOUBTED WORLD CUP
I NEVER DOUBTED WORLD CUP
<@1417220501407011020> can we get a before july 2 strike on fable 5 access?
<@1417220501407011020> can we get a before july 2 strike on fable 5 access?
Hella lot of bread
Hella lot of bread
Lenovo van bicycle was really funny
Lenovo van bicycle was really funny
That's behind the lunya
That's behind the lunya
I've only been in that courtyard a couple times
I've only been in that courtyard a couple times
Oh it's back behind alyx
Oh it's back behind alyx
I've never seen that place
I've never seen that place
Where tf is that
Where tf is that
On an unrelated note, any drum players here?
On an unrelated note, any drum players here?
And obviously there's correlated failures between strikes as a result of ET, so gotta keep that in mind
And obviously there's correlated failures between strikes as a result of ET, so gotta keep that in mind
It's just so unlikely to spin such a bad outcome that if you size to it, you're not sizing big enough the other 99% of the time
It's just so unlikely to spin such a bad outcome that if you size to it, you're not sizing big enough the other 99% of the time
And there's only a few that were even more than 5%
And there's only a few that were even more than 5%
This is the first time I've ever had a loss bigger than 10%
This is the first time I've ever had a loss bigger than 10%
I've done 170 sports markets with similar risk management
I've done 170 sports markets with similar risk management
I regularly size 30-40% into single sports markets
I regularly size 30-40% into single sports markets
Live by the sword die by the sword
Live by the sword die by the sword
Hair under
Hair under
25%
25%
So your theoretical max loss can be bigger than what you're "comfortable" losing imo
So your theoretical max loss can be bigger than what you're "comfortable" losing imo
Part of that is that the actual black swan of having every N you own flip is so extremely small
Part of that is that the actual black swan of having every N you own flip is so extremely small
But I didn't feel the need to for exposure reasons
But I didn't feel the need to for exposure reasons
So there is standalone value in hedging that actual ET delta
So there is standalone value in hedging that actual ET delta
And it's different than the main market
And it's different than the main market
There's an implied ET price
There's an implied ET price
On mentions
On mentions
Because you're effectively shorting ET by buying N
Because you're effectively shorting ET by buying N
I think the hedge has merit
I think the hedge has merit
Yeah
Yeah