KalshiLike obviously if I had known a 30k loss was in the cards I wouldn't have
Like obviously if I had known a 30k loss was in the cards I wouldn't have
Mitchieboi参与话题 46消息总数 4455
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共 4455 条，显示第 701-750 条It didn't
It didn't
He's out till mid August
He's out till mid August
But yeah hedging was an option I considered
But yeah hedging was an option I considered
Live by the sword die by the sword
Live by the sword die by the sword
So I didn't bother
So I didn't bother
It would've eaten all my profit from a non ET outcome to hedge it anyway
It would've eaten all my profit from a non ET outcome to hedge it anyway
But I didn't
But I didn't
I considered doing this once it went under 15
I considered doing this once it went under 15
And ET was very unlikely to begin with
And ET was very unlikely to begin with
If that
If that
Even assuming ET my EV was probably only like -5k
Even assuming ET my EV was probably only like -5k
And then obviously poor variance within ET
And then obviously poor variance within ET
Game stage baiting me into going larger
Game stage baiting me into going larger
So it's a combo of market pricings
So it's a combo of market pricings
This was a very heavy N game for me
This was a very heavy N game for me
I taker and maker both sides plenty
I taker and maker both sides plenty
Yes
Yes
I do many things
I do many things
Yes
Yes
Even the "safe" ones like bicycle
Even the "safe" ones like bicycle
Flipped in ET
Flipped in ET
That were itm
That were itm
Like 35k contracts
Like 35k contracts
Hit in ET
Hit in ET
Literally every N I had but one
Literally every N I had but one
I sized up super hard on this game cause the edges were so massive
I sized up super hard on this game cause the edges were so massive
But I can just take it easy for a game or two
But I can just take it easy for a game or two
The hard part is convincing myself it won't happen again
The hard part is convincing myself it won't happen again
Yeah
Yeah
If anything I probably ran a little above average the last few days
If anything I probably ran a little above average the last few days
I'm chill
I'm chill
Oh absolutely
Oh absolutely
I was hoping to make a push but oh well
I was hoping to make a push but oh well
I think I was around 90k going into that
I think I was around 90k going into that
Kills my 100k month tho
Kills my 100k month tho
I don't think that includes this yet
I don't think that includes this yet
No who is that
No who is that
Praying right
Praying right
Is that supposed to be praying on my downfall or being sad
Is that supposed to be praying on my downfall or being sad
A mix
A mix
I was up 9k going into that game
I was up 9k going into that game
Lmao
Lmao
And it was a comically bad tail outcome, it happens
And it was a comically bad tail outcome, it happens
That eats 4 days of profit
That eats 4 days of profit
Yeah I'm good lmfao
Yeah I'm good lmfao
nothing
nothing
yes
yes
yes
yes
nope
nope