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Mitchieboi参与话题 50消息总数 4615

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Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 22:18:23 Kalshi

Ted kaczynski would've loved mentions

Ted kaczynski would've loved mentions

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 22:18:07 Kalshi

Ngl

Ngl

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 13:38:33 Kalshi

Isn't that a thing

Isn't that a thing

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 13:38:30 Kalshi

bm apy

bm apy

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 13:29:49 Kalshi

Yeah I guess I'd take it

Yeah I guess I'd take it

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 13:29:43 Kalshi

The most valuable financial instrument in human history

The most valuable financial instrument in human history

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 13:29:31 Kalshi

Lmfao

Lmfao

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 13:01:06 Kalshi

What is a browser

What is a browser

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 12:59:00 Kalshi

It would be a massive tail case for him to exceed 35%

It would be a massive tail case for him to exceed 35%

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 12:58:39 Kalshi

Pratt U35 is almost a bond imo

Pratt U35 is almost a bond imo

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 12:58:25 Kalshi

Very interesting stuff

Very interesting stuff

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 12:58:14 Kalshi

I just got out of the trenches researching this

I just got out of the trenches researching this

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:58:16 Kalshi

HAHAHAHA

HAHAHAHA

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:57:57 Kalshi

shitter

shitter

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:57:56 Kalshi

get interrupted <@1210384389092151359>

get interrupted <@1210384389092151359>

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:57:53 Kalshi

lmao

lmao

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:49:04 Kalshi

wtf

wtf

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:49:03 Kalshi

he didnt pick up on my troll

he didnt pick up on my troll

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:45:32 Kalshi

pratt would get less than caruso in a runoff vs bass

pratt would get less than caruso in a runoff vs bass

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:45:19 Kalshi

no vote splitting

no vote splitting

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:41:10 Kalshi

no

no

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:41:00 Kalshi

which one <@194548733357064192>

which one <@194548733357064192>

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:40:26 Kalshi

20 is a bit tough

20 is a bit tough

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:40:24 Kalshi

yeah I like it at 16

yeah I like it at 16

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:39:59 Kalshi

and pratt is sub 35

and pratt is sub 35

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:39:52 Kalshi

I think bass still gets >38 or so

I think bass still gets >38 or so

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:39:47 Kalshi

I just don't think it'll happen

I just don't think it'll happen

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:39:43 Kalshi

but it's not controversial

but it's not controversial

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:39:24 Kalshi

but it could happen

but it could happen

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:39:22 Kalshi

it's not all that likely

it's not all that likely

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:33:21 Kalshi

1st round winner or pure advance

1st round winner or pure advance

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:33:05 Kalshi

is there a pure advance market?

is there a pure advance market?

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:32:57 Kalshi

or just to advance

or just to advance

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:32:50 Kalshi

lmfao

lmfao

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:32:48 Kalshi

are you on pratt Y

are you on pratt Y

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:32:01 Kalshi

https://x.com/Yueqi_Yang/status/2061533429074649529?s=20

https://x.com/Yueqi_Yang/status/2061533429074649529?s=20

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:31:21 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/beep-fire-alarm-gif-9941385010448951746

https://tenor.com/view/beep-fire-alarm-gif-9941385010448951746

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:30:58 Kalshi

to end up getting like 3-5%

to end up getting like 3-5%

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:30:51 Kalshi

it's easy to write off miller barely getting any votes, but I can definitely see a scenario where he gets 10-15% of GOP and some independent

it's easy to write off miller barely getting any votes, but I can definitely see a scenario where he gets 10-15% of GOP and some independent

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:29:47 Kalshi

similar for if pratt only gets ~30% of the third party votes

similar for if pratt only gets ~30% of the third party votes

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:29:36 Kalshi

like if miller takes 15% of the GOP vote, O30 for pratt is cooked

like if miller takes 15% of the GOP vote, O30 for pratt is cooked

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:29:24 Kalshi

the big questions for me are how pratt does with GOP and third party voters

the big questions for me are how pratt does with GOP and third party voters

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:29:11 Kalshi

pretty fairly priced imo

pretty fairly priced imo

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:29:06 Kalshi

and U30 is just over 50

and U30 is just over 50

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:28:59 Kalshi

like 28 or 29

like 28 or 29

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:28:55 Kalshi

I think pratt O/U is very close to 30

I think pratt O/U is very close to 30

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:27:56 Kalshi

debating

debating

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:27:53 Kalshi

i may sell my U30 too

i may sell my U30 too

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:27:41 Kalshi

I have unders on 30, 35, 40 and may take an over 25 pos

I have unders on 30, 35, 40 and may take an over 25 pos

Mitchieboi 2026-06-02 07:27:32 Kalshi

that's what i'm working on

that's what i'm working on

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