Kalshiwinning the SB is really hard
winning the SB is really hard
Mitchieboi参与话题 50消息总数 4615
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共 4615 条，显示第 4101-4150 条one player isn't worth that much
one player isn't worth that much
like +70%
like +70%
it's close lmfao
it's close lmfao
11-18 is close
11-18 is close
mike tomlin head coach w1
mike tomlin head coach w1
vrabel is done
vrabel is done
cooked right
cooked right
yo but <@1382568520969228408> what does this mean for vrabel fired before w1
yo but <@1382568520969228408> what does this mean for vrabel fired before w1
i got that off twitter btw
i got that off twitter btw
lol
lol
but at a surface level, is +EV
but at a surface level, is +EV
only way this crushes just shorting them later in the season is if they miss playoffs
only way this crushes just shorting them later in the season is if they miss playoffs
if they make playoffs they'll be like 10% minimum to win SB
if they make playoffs they'll be like 10% minimum to win SB
they're gonna make the playoffs
they're gonna make the playoffs
like the rams are gonna be competitive
like the rams are gonna be competitive
expected growth is probably bad
expected growth is probably bad
but
but
I'm confident rams aren't 18% to win SB
I'm confident rams aren't 18% to win SB
the only thing is
the only thing is
sniping YES, flipping into NO off the run up would've been a nice lick
sniping YES, flipping into NO off the run up would've been a nice lick
pretty sharp ngl
pretty sharp ngl
lmfao
lmfao
there's also theoretically slightly lower implied % of burrow injury
there's also theoretically slightly lower implied % of burrow injury
verse is a good player but he's not garrett
verse is a good player but he's not garrett
probably adds like 1/4-1/2 win or so in EV
probably adds like 1/4-1/2 win or so in EV
CIN win % in the two browns games increases off that
CIN win % in the two browns games increases off that
unironically, probably pushes bengals to win AFCN by at least a cent or two
unironically, probably pushes bengals to win AFCN by at least a cent or two
yeah I mean
yeah I mean
if it's like two 1sts + verse
if it's like two 1sts + verse
probably love the trade for CLE
probably love the trade for CLE
i'm curious to see what the pick comp is
i'm curious to see what the pick comp is
i know
i know
WOW
WOW
HOLY
HOLY
FOR VERSE AND PICKS
FOR VERSE AND PICKS
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48939456/sources-browns-rams-finalizing-myles-garrett-blockbuster-trade
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48939456/sources-browns-rams-finalizing-myles-garrett-blockbuster-trade
that's insane
that's insane
holy shit
holy shit
i gotta get some best balls going for NFL
i gotta get some best balls going for NFL
missed that
missed that
ty
ty
surprisingly I was profitable on betmgm in 2025
surprisingly I was profitable on betmgm in 2025
lol
lol
that was when it was previously at ~27 in feb, I didn't think we'd see teens
that was when it was previously at ~27 in feb, I didn't think we'd see teens
so we'll see
so we'll see
i also called figma to 40 by end of august
i also called figma to 40 by end of august
4 months ago https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1354530766067077312/1473909753108365557
4 months ago https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1354530766067077312/1473909753108365557
i want to see workday go to 0
i want to see workday go to 0
a lot of bad saas will die, but AI will be an accelerant for good saas
a lot of bad saas will die, but AI will be an accelerant for good saas