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Mitchieboi参与话题 50消息总数 4660

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Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:52:42 Kalshi

good job Miguel

good job Miguel

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:50:28 Kalshi

YOURE SO BRAVE KATHY

YOURE SO BRAVE KATHY

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:50:10 Kalshi

yeah we've flipped to people being too loose with stink bids lmao

yeah we've flipped to people being too loose with stink bids lmao

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:49:59 Kalshi

kathy based for this

kathy based for this

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:49:19 Kalshi

hochul background

hochul background

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:49:17 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/everybody-hates-chris-everybody-hates-chris-meme-everybody-hates-chris-tv-show-everybody-hates-chris-boombox-boombox-gif-9984813089547523217

https://tenor.com/view/everybody-hates-chris-everybody-hates-chris-meme-everybody-hates-chris-tv-show-everybody-hates-chris-boombox-boombox-gif-9984813089547523217

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:46:26 Kalshi

kathy talking about why tech workers need to rto

kathy talking about why tech workers need to rto

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:46:20 Kalshi

they're collaborating more

they're collaborating more

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:44:10 Kalshi

nah

nah

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:43:14 Kalshi

helicopter ah parents

helicopter ah parents

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:43:09 Kalshi

like you don't need to have access to your kids during the day bro

like you don't need to have access to your kids during the day bro

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:43:01 Kalshi

yep

yep

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:41:13 Kalshi

like brother, kids went to school for hundreds of years without phones

like brother, kids went to school for hundreds of years without phones

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:41:03 Kalshi

and parents will do the "but what if my kids need to call me 😭 " shit

and parents will do the "but what if my kids need to call me 😭 " shit

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:40:53 Kalshi

a lot of schools do the phone lockers

a lot of schools do the phone lockers

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:40:47 Kalshi

but even then it's like

but even then it's like

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:40:43 Kalshi

if you've not gotten fcked before that point

if you've not gotten fcked before that point

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:40:35 Kalshi

I think 9th grade is a fine threshold to make it available

I think 9th grade is a fine threshold to make it available

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:40:25 Kalshi

sure

sure

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:37:39 Kalshi

and we'll talk about this like it was obvious

and we'll talk about this like it was obvious

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:37:30 Kalshi

it will be known that they cause insane ADHD

it will be known that they cause insane ADHD

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:37:26 Kalshi

but in 10-20 years

but in 10-20 years

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:37:24 Kalshi

we're not there yet as a society

we're not there yet as a society

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:37:18 Kalshi

like

like

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:37:16 Kalshi

phones are unequivocally TERRIBLE for kids dude

phones are unequivocally TERRIBLE for kids dude

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:37:10 Kalshi

yeah like

yeah like

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:35:24 Kalshi

but when she comes back she's wearing one of these. Does it count?

but when she comes back she's wearing one of these. Does it count?

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:35:07 Kalshi

say the livestream goes to intermission

say the livestream goes to intermission

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:35:03 Kalshi

what is a livestream btw

what is a livestream btw

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:34:48 Kalshi

i have never read them!

i have never read them!

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:34:34 Kalshi

what are these

what are these

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:28:57 Kalshi

sightseeing > WINE

sightseeing > WINE

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:28:43 Kalshi

sightseeing and WINE are tier 2

sightseeing and WINE are tier 2

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:28:13 Kalshi

https://open.spotify.com/track/0jV54uBrEZsd22ouECA3ts?si=18bf154047194b9f

https://open.spotify.com/track/0jV54uBrEZsd22ouECA3ts?si=18bf154047194b9f

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:28:13 Kalshi

this is the goat

this is the goat

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 22:28:09 Kalshi

fake fan

fake fan

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 13:04:16 Kalshi

And then the quadrants cases make it easy

And then the quadrants cases make it easy

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 13:04:08 Kalshi

Main thing is generalizing the problem to two points in a line

Main thing is generalizing the problem to two points in a line

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 13:03:53 Kalshi

But that's how I thought about it

But that's how I thought about it

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 13:03:49 Kalshi

If I drew it out it'd be super clear

If I drew it out it'd be super clear

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 13:03:37 Kalshi

So it's something like: 1. Recognize that the actual placement of the points is irrelevant, and that you can just imagine them as two points next to each other horizontally with some arbitrary distance between them. This is because any two points will connect a line, and the problem was "obviously" symmetric with respect to rotation and distance to me So just imagine two points next to each other 2. Now imagine drawing an infinite line out of the left point in one direction. It falls into one of four quadrants - up and right, up and left, down and left, down and right. Consider just up and right (towards the other point) and then think about the same four quadrants for the other point. Anything up and left would have to intersect (so fill that quadrant in) Anything up and right would intersect iff the slope of the right point's line is greater than that of the left's (the one we fixed). This has a 50% chance of happening via symmetry, so color "half of it in". Then the bottom ones obviously can never intersect. So we have 1.5/4 quadrants colored in, so when we fix the left point to top right quadrant, it has a 3/8 chance of happening. Apply similar reasoning to fixing the left point to the top left quadrant and find that it has a 1/8 chance. This averages to 1/4 for the top two quadrants on the left point. By symmetry, bottom two quadrants will be the same, so 1/4 total

So it's something like: 1. Recognize that the actual placement of the points is irrelevant, and that you can just imagine them as two points next to each other horizontally with some arbitrary distance between them. This is because any two points will connect a line, and the problem was "obviously" symmetric with respect to rotation and distance to me So just imagine two points next to each other 2. Now imagine drawing an infinite line out of the left point in one direction. It falls into one of four quadrants - up and right, up and left, down and left, down and right. Consider just up and right (towards the other point) and then think about the same four quadrants for the other point. Anything up and left would have to intersect (so fill that quadrant in) Anything up and right would intersect iff the slope of the right point's line is greater than that of the left's (the one we fixed). This has a 50% chance of happening via symmetry, so color "half of it in". Then the bottom ones obviously can never intersect. So we have 1.5/4 quadrants colored in, so when we fix the left point to top right quadrant, it has a 3/8 chance of happening. Apply similar reasoning to fixing the left point to the top left quadrant and find that it has a 1/8 chance. This averages to 1/4 for the top two quadrants on the left point. By symmetry, bottom two quadrants will be the same, so 1/4 total

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:57:12 Kalshi

Very neat problem

Very neat problem

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:57:06 Kalshi

Nice I was right

Nice I was right

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:57:04 Kalshi

Yeah it is 0.25

Yeah it is 0.25

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:56:43 Kalshi

There's a really nice visual proof if I'm right

There's a really nice visual proof if I'm right

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:56:13 Kalshi

Let me double check

Let me double check

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:55:58 Kalshi

It's 0.25

It's 0.25

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:55:48 Kalshi

Naively

Naively

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:55:45 Kalshi

But I THINK

But I THINK

Mitchieboi 2026-06-01 12:55:41 Kalshi

I haven't looked at the answer yet

I haven't looked at the answer yet

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