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NonprofitProphet参与话题 9消息总数 298

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NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 13:37:58 Kalshi

If that happens I get why they'll be upset but I don't think they realize that he might not make it

If that happens I get why they'll be upset but I don't think they realize that he might not make it

I don't get the outrage from the right. Pratt is probably going to make it to the runoff. Yeah he underperformed but why would they cheat unless he was going to get 50.1%, just save the cheating for the runoff

I don't get the outrage from the right. Pratt is probably going to make it to the runoff. Yeah he underperformed but why would they cheat unless he was going to get 50.1%, just save the cheating for the runoff

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 12:13:32 Kalshi

Why did they get M&Ms

Why did they get M&Ms

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 11:43:30 Kalshi

I would think this would be more likely to mislead than that, but anyway, the solution to having misleading titles is not to have more

I would think this would be more likely to mislead than that, but anyway, the solution to having misleading titles is not to have more

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 11:41:54 Kalshi 特朗普话题市场计数方式不明引发用户困惑

Does it count repeated words? If he says bibi at 2 mins then goes back to it at 14 mins, is that plus 1 for iran or plus 2? And just counting words alone is gonna make it so that the title doesn't actually fit the result (title is more like what group of words will trump say the most). Plenty of times he talks about a subject while dodging strikes

Does it count repeated words? If he says bibi at 2 mins then goes back to it at 14 mins, is that plus 1 for iran or plus 2? And just counting words alone is gonna make it so that the title doesn't actually fit the result (title is more like what group of words will trump say the most). Plenty of times he talks about a subject while dodging strikes

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 11:38:57 Kalshi

Gonna have so many rulescucks

Gonna have so many rulescucks

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 11:33:12 Kalshi

Is feenstra the first trump endorsement that lost in the primaries?

Is feenstra the first trump endorsement that lost in the primaries?

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 07:22:28 Kalshi

10/10

10/10

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 03:59:57 Kalshi

You can get used stuff for pretty cheap, my dressers etc are used, only bed and couch is new

You can get used stuff for pretty cheap, my dressers etc are used, only bed and couch is new

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 03:48:16 Kalshi

I know someone who lives in LA named Diana, that does seem legit

I know someone who lives in LA named Diana, that does seem legit

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 03:47:28 Kalshi

You forgot to tell it to make no mistakes

You forgot to tell it to make no mistakes

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 03:01:26 Kalshi

For la mayor

For la mayor

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 03:01:21 Kalshi

Do we get any early results or nothing til polls close

Do we get any early results or nothing til polls close

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 02:20:23 Kalshi

You guys are in nithya Y at 10 then?

You guys are in nithya Y at 10 then?

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 02:18:58 Kalshi

I think you guys are talking about libertarians too much like they're all ideologues. Some say that all leftists want communism, but not really the case, the vast majority don't take it to the extreme end

I think you guys are talking about libertarians too much like they're all ideologues. Some say that all leftists want communism, but not really the case, the vast majority don't take it to the extreme end

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 02:01:44 Kalshi

Similar ability to win the party, but trump was a lot more likely to run

Similar ability to win the party, but trump was a lot more likely to run

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 02:01:31 Kalshi

Obviously speaking with hindsight but honestly think it should have been a good chunk higher than jon stewart is now for the Dem nominee

Obviously speaking with hindsight but honestly think it should have been a good chunk higher than jon stewart is now for the Dem nominee

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 02:00:21 Kalshi

It was all memes nothing was serious enough to care about yet

It was all memes nothing was serious enough to care about yet

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 02:00:06 Kalshi

2015 and 2016 were hilarious

2015 and 2016 were hilarious

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:58:34 Kalshi

That was so weird

That was so weird

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:58:18 Kalshi

Wtf is this I've never seen it before lmao

Wtf is this I've never seen it before lmao

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:56:12 Kalshi

Gary Johnson seemed like he barely had 2 functional brain cells

Gary Johnson seemed like he barely had 2 functional brain cells

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:54:53 Kalshi

Abortion is a topic that divides libertarians, even the true ones before the shy MAGA era

Abortion is a topic that divides libertarians, even the true ones before the shy MAGA era

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:54:08 Kalshi

Drug reform is my big thing (decriminalization of all drugs). The first time I brought it up, a self-identifying libertarian laughed at me, said it was a ridiculous idea, had never heard it before. Kinda broke my brain

Drug reform is my big thing (decriminalization of all drugs). The first time I brought it up, a self-identifying libertarian laughed at me, said it was a ridiculous idea, had never heard it before. Kinda broke my brain

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:52:43 Kalshi

I'm in software dev so its probably more surprising about the trump plaque than the trump hate in Texas haha

I'm in software dev so its probably more surprising about the trump plaque than the trump hate in Texas haha

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:51:16 Kalshi

Was in Minneapolis. Now in Texas my boss hates trump, I avoid politics in office but he's brought it up multiple times

Was in Minneapolis. Now in Texas my boss hates trump, I avoid politics in office but he's brought it up multiple times

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:50:44 Kalshi

The CEO of the company I first worked for had a big ole TRUMP plaque on his desk

The CEO of the company I first worked for had a big ole TRUMP plaque on his desk

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:49:18 Kalshi

Idk mixed, just not rich, I don't speak to many millionaires. But idk that that matters

Idk mixed, just not rich, I don't speak to many millionaires. But idk that that matters

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:48:22 Kalshi

Probably exist but I think its mostly peer pressure that makes some people avoid admitting they like trump/the right wing

Probably exist but I think its mostly peer pressure that makes some people avoid admitting they like trump/the right wing

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:47:55 Kalshi

I've never met an older "shy MAGA"

I've never met an older "shy MAGA"

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:47:14 Kalshi

I'm not saying its popular as in has a large number of people claiming it, just that its become a fake title some shy MAGA people use these days

I'm not saying its popular as in has a large number of people claiming it, just that its become a fake title some shy MAGA people use these days

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:46:51 Kalshi

Absolutely is on the MAGA right. I've spoken to multiple "libertarians" who didn't know a major tenant of the party has to do with removing drug prohibitions

Absolutely is on the MAGA right. I've spoken to multiple "libertarians" who didn't know a major tenant of the party has to do with removing drug prohibitions

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-03 01:45:36 Kalshi

I think two reasons: younger people (who are more likely to do the fake centrist/unaffiliated bit) worry more about their peers judging them for liking trump/being right wing, and also they think claiming to be a centrist or unbiased makes their viewpoints seem more rational, less partisan. They also like to claim to be libertarian these days, its another way to say unaffiliated

I think two reasons: younger people (who are more likely to do the fake centrist/unaffiliated bit) worry more about their peers judging them for liking trump/being right wing, and also they think claiming to be a centrist or unbiased makes their viewpoints seem more rational, less partisan. They also like to claim to be libertarian these days, its another way to say unaffiliated

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 06:40:47 Kalshi

He's gotta be like 5'5

He's gotta be like 5'5

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 06:40:39 Kalshi

That's a good point

That's a good point

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 06:39:55 Kalshi

<@&1432453406018113596>

<@&1432453406018113596>

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 06:39:26 Kalshi

Ty hugo

Ty hugo

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 06:00:20 Kalshi

Y vs N voters

Y vs N voters

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 05:54:12 Kalshi

I will come back to mentions eventually and bring the volume back no worries

I will come back to mentions eventually and bring the volume back no worries

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 05:12:49 Kalshi

The polls showed Trump with a decent chance in 2016, not high but realistic. Was only some interpretations like Huffington Post who said chances were extremely small

The polls showed Trump with a decent chance in 2016, not high but realistic. Was only some interpretations like Huffington Post who said chances were extremely small

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 04:20:02 Kalshi

Yeah me too

Yeah me too

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 04:19:14 Kalshi

MAGA will be convinced he's winning

MAGA will be convinced he's winning

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 04:19:04 Kalshi

If Pratt survives round 1 he gonna take off

If Pratt survives round 1 he gonna take off

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 02:44:05 Kalshi

Idk why you guys talking about the rams this is clearly the bucs year

Idk why you guys talking about the rams this is clearly the bucs year

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 01:54:10 Kalshi

There's a good reason no NFL team has ever done a threepeat, and even back to backs are rare (only 2 in this century)

There's a good reason no NFL team has ever done a threepeat, and even back to backs are rare (only 2 in this century)

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 01:51:53 Kalshi

This is a crazy take

This is a crazy take

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 01:46:50 Kalshi

Although the Micah Parsons trade DID wind up winning the SB for the Packers last season so doubling odds makes perfect sense

Although the Micah Parsons trade DID wind up winning the SB for the Packers last season so doubling odds makes perfect sense

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-02 01:45:48 Kalshi

Yeah 18c much too high

Yeah 18c much too high

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