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mark zuckerberg参与话题 13消息总数 318

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mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 07:12:19 Kalshi

all my orders at 30 got filled

all my orders at 30 got filled

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 07:10:56 Kalshi

but market is moving in opposite direction

but market is moving in opposite direction

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 07:10:44 Kalshi

a drop like this in SF suggests a good margin in LA for raman and steyer too

a drop like this in SF suggests a good margin in LA for raman and steyer too

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 07:07:35 Kalshi

lol i love being immediately wrong https://x.com/votehub/status/2063034216565108901?s=46

lol i love being immediately wrong https://x.com/votehub/status/2063034216565108901?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 07:06:14 Kalshi

I’ll play devils advocate and say 11

I’ll play devils advocate and say 11

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 02:54:56 Kalshi

the live chat is full of losing slips

the live chat is full of losing slips

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 01:51:34 Kalshi

https://x.com/ginamilan_/status/2062935073532313642?s=46

https://x.com/ginamilan_/status/2062935073532313642?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-06 00:37:30 Kalshi

why is advancers market trading 5 points below second place market

why is advancers market trading 5 points below second place market

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 11:03:11 Kalshi

some of these strikes didn’t get a ton of volume but i appreciate having them there

some of these strikes didn’t get a ton of volume but i appreciate having them there

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 10:43:49 Kalshi

is there a governor turnout market or only mayor?

is there a governor turnout market or only mayor?

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 08:09:34 Kalshi

Remember this?

Remember this?

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 07:31:04 Kalshi

https://x.com/_escroll/status/2062658654030164460?s=46 Many such cases. This guy is down at least $500

https://x.com/_escroll/status/2062658654030164460?s=46 Many such cases. This guy is down at least $500

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 07:22:54 Kalshi

https://x.com/spencerpratt/status/2062589381584773497?s=46

https://x.com/spencerpratt/status/2062589381584773497?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 07:17:00 Kalshi

6pt margin

6pt margin

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 07:16:22 Kalshi

https://x.com/votehub/status/2062674714221322481?s=46

https://x.com/votehub/status/2062674714221322481?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 07:12:52 Kalshi

it’s gonna be a batch of like 10k votes watch

it’s gonna be a batch of like 10k votes watch

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 05:17:34 Kalshi

wtf someone bought my chellie pingree

wtf someone bought my chellie pingree

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 03:14:04 Kalshi

https://x.com/henryolseneppc/status/2060821361300545760?s=46

https://x.com/henryolseneppc/status/2060821361300545760?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 03:06:47 Kalshi

oh lol is that not the same pingree? there goes $7

oh lol is that not the same pingree? there goes $7

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 02:58:33 Kalshi

Mills Y has the benefit of being the only other live strike in a high volume market

Mills Y has the benefit of being the only other live strike in a high volume market

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 02:35:42 Kalshi

this reminds me of biden drop out

this reminds me of biden drop out

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 02:26:42 Kalshi

seems bullish for dems but there are better near term buying opportunities

seems bullish for dems but there are better near term buying opportunities

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 02:25:19 Kalshi

https://x.com/anthonymemerson/status/2062590297389813858?s=46

https://x.com/anthonymemerson/status/2062590297389813858?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 01:32:27 Kalshi

i started trading stocks on robinhood and never stopped 😅 like 40% of my stock trades ever made were in the bathroom at work

i started trading stocks on robinhood and never stopped 😅 like 40% of my stock trades ever made were in the bathroom at work

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 01:30:40 Kalshi

the pro-pratt “analysis” has been top notch the past day https://x.com/theballotbook/status/2062559911746445554?s=46

the pro-pratt “analysis” has been top notch the past day https://x.com/theballotbook/status/2062559911746445554?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-05 01:16:45 Kalshi

has the order book on the app been buggy for anyone? just tried to buy a phantom 500 shares of pratt N at 59

has the order book on the app been buggy for anyone? just tried to buy a phantom 500 shares of pratt N at 59

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 23:51:47 Kalshi

https://x.com/votehub/status/2062561796620275843?s=46

https://x.com/votehub/status/2062561796620275843?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 15:27:48 Kalshi

nba seems like an insane crapshoot. at least nfl/cfb had a method to the madness

nba seems like an insane crapshoot. at least nfl/cfb had a method to the madness

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 15:19:16 Kalshi

knicks to win the nba championship, a $250M market, swung 22 points between when i checked. it seems trivially easy for a sports winner to distort an election market

knicks to win the nba championship, a $250M market, swung 22 points between when i checked. it seems trivially easy for a sports winner to distort an election market

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 14:39:16 Kalshi

but also, knicks/spurs swung between 31 and 53 tonight on a $250M volume market. so maybe it’s sports fish making certain things less accurate

but also, knicks/spurs swung between 31 and 53 tonight on a $250M volume market. so maybe it’s sports fish making certain things less accurate

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 14:37:09 Kalshi

i think it’s an data point in favor that PMs are somehow getting less efficient with volume, in some cases

i think it’s an data point in favor that PMs are somehow getting less efficient with volume, in some cases

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 14:34:11 Kalshi

zohran MOV market last november held at 70 for >9 for a month even when he was at 8

zohran MOV market last november held at 70 for >9 for a month even when he was at 8

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 14:25:38 Kalshi

you know it’s kind of remarkable that Zohran >9 held at 70 for so long given the current discussion around raman. margin of victory markets seem -EV when there’s so many fish in the advance and 2nd place markets

you know it’s kind of remarkable that Zohran >9 held at 70 for so long given the current discussion around raman. margin of victory markets seem -EV when there’s so many fish in the advance and 2nd place markets

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 10:48:28 Kalshi

Pratt knows his odds https://x.com/sachinettiyil/status/2062232368065249329?s=46

Pratt knows his odds https://x.com/sachinettiyil/status/2062232368065249329?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 10:10:06 Kalshi

i also thought becerra 1st at 90 while pratt n was at 89 was nuts, but that seems to have corrected itself

i also thought becerra 1st at 90 while pratt n was at 89 was nuts, but that seems to have corrected itself

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 10:08:53 Kalshi

most people here think bass raman is 60/40-65/35, i think any price in the low 60s is about as good as buying pratt at like 95

most people here think bass raman is 60/40-65/35, i think any price in the low 60s is about as good as buying pratt at like 95

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 10:04:41 Kalshi

seems like she recovered to 69, im on a plane with bad wifi

seems like she recovered to 69, im on a plane with bad wifi

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 09:59:11 Kalshi

can someone who hasn’t sold pratt n yet explain why bass y at 65ish isn’t a better buy assuming she jumps to 75?

can someone who hasn’t sold pratt n yet explain why bass y at 65ish isn’t a better buy assuming she jumps to 75?

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 07:20:06 Kalshi

both but more so steyer

both but more so steyer

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 07:19:32 Kalshi

am i crazy or was that not a good enough dump to win

am i crazy or was that not a good enough dump to win

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 07:13:33 Kalshi

https://x.com/pokijaciii/status/2062311559901368505?s=46

https://x.com/pokijaciii/status/2062311559901368505?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 07:08:45 Kalshi

every day for the next 2 weeks

every day for the next 2 weeks

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 07:08:37 Kalshi

LA timeline said 3:30 tabulation 4pm posting

LA timeline said 3:30 tabulation 4pm posting

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 06:42:42 Kalshi

amazing replies https://x.com/mikehtrujillo/status/2062271243550924884?s=46

amazing replies https://x.com/mikehtrujillo/status/2062271243550924884?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 06:39:31 Kalshi

rumor has it the last thing losing candidates see before their demise is the angel of death, come to them in the form of a lego corn cob

rumor has it the last thing losing candidates see before their demise is the angel of death, come to them in the form of a lego corn cob

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 03:32:27 Kalshi

sycophantic AI makes this worse

sycophantic AI makes this worse

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 03:07:04 Kalshi

hmmm https://x.com/realmabarreto/status/2062237682995237357?s=46

hmmm https://x.com/realmabarreto/status/2062237682995237357?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 02:39:30 Kalshi

LA isn’t worth saving?

LA isn’t worth saving?

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-04 00:19:19 Kalshi

Big if true https://x.com/mjtruthultra/status/2062174007395311966?s=46

Big if true https://x.com/mjtruthultra/status/2062174007395311966?s=46

mark zuckerberg 2026-06-03 23:36:03 Kalshi

he is a MAGA pundit

he is a MAGA pundit