Polymarketoh nvm they already ignored this <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
oh nvm they already ignored this <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
Beans参与话题 7消息总数 84
该用户的聊天记录定位。
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共 84 条，显示第 1-50 条cause before the wV category weight was proportional to the fee coefficient, but this page still shows sports with the lowest weight https://docs.polymarket.com/trading/taker-rebates
cause before the wV category weight was proportional to the fee coefficient, but this page still shows sports with the lowest weight https://docs.polymarket.com/trading/taker-rebates
wait is the sports fee increase also going to affect the wV calculation?
wait is the sports fee increase also going to affect the wV calculation?
Kalshilike any normal person woulda stopped at 20k or something, not stopping earlier just means hes gonna blow it eventually
like any normal person woulda stopped at 20k or something, not stopping earlier just means hes gonna blow it eventually
to even get to the point of 600k you gotta be pretty ill
to even get to the point of 600k you gotta be pretty ill
bro thinks he's Jake from 2 days ago
bro thinks he's Jake from 2 days ago
Predictseems like someone abusing it
seems like someone abusing it
I've had 3 maker orders in a row fail on Portugal for this market, what is causing that? It matches and then the tx fails/reverts https://predict.fun/market/fifa-world-cup-group-k-winner
I've had 3 maker orders in a row fail on Portugal for this market, what is causing that? It matches and then the tx fails/reverts https://predict.fun/market/fifa-world-cup-group-k-winner
not 429
not 429
geoblock is 403 I think
geoblock is 403 I think
sounds like the 429 is gonna come with a crazy Retry-After
sounds like the 429 is gonna come with a crazy Retry-After
``` POST https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/communications/quotes body: {"rfq_id":"386babd1-...","yes_bid":"0.0000","no_bid":"0.0010","rest_remainder":false} ``` ``` Response: 201 {"id":"518c445-....-550015"} ``` RFQ is working for me, but I've never done one before
``` POST https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/communications/quotes body: {"rfq_id":"386babd1-...","yes_bid":"0.0000","no_bid":"0.0010","rest_remainder":false} ``` ``` Response: 201 {"id":"518c445-....-550015"} ``` RFQ is working for me, but I've never done one before
the Combo Quant putting everyone in their place
the Combo Quant putting everyone in their place
0x87287f6444a8c5dde787c109c97b60dffcae0882 thanks for looking in to it
0x87287f6444a8c5dde787c109c97b60dffcae0882 thanks for looking in to it
Also neither of the refunds for NY-08 or VA Gov race actually hit my acct
Also neither of the refunds for NY-08 or VA Gov race actually hit my acct
It resolved early to Blakeman as a result of the clarification https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner
It resolved early to Blakeman as a result of the clarification https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner
<@1272383282687905939> Why is NY Republican primary for governor not included here? It has the same circumstances as the refunded NY-08 dem primary and VA gov dem primary https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1342332106046570556/1518016404450709574
<@1272383282687905939> Why is NY Republican primary for governor not included here? It has the same circumstances as the refunded NY-08 dem primary and VA gov dem primary https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/1342332106046570556/1518016404450709574
someone was saying that Poly US is reporting world cup volume 100x
someone was saying that Poly US is reporting world cup volume 100x
glad we had time to adjust before our cancel requests get rejected
glad we had time to adjust before our cancel requests get rejected
oh wow sick changelog
oh wow sick changelog
Just depends how cost basis get calculated for those I guess
Just depends how cost basis get calculated for those I guess
Wouldnt it work out even without taking “other” in to account? If you converted No Reynolds, you would have also received Yes Warner, which was a winning bet. If you converted No Warner, you received Yes Reynolds which got a refund
Wouldnt it work out even without taking “other” in to account? If you converted No Reynolds, you would have also received Yes Warner, which was a winning bet. If you converted No Warner, you received Yes Reynolds which got a refund
<@524122609764401174> <@220235483547041794>
<@524122609764401174> <@220235483547041794>
Do y'alls refunds look right? I was owed $3 for the Palestine vs Kyrgyz market and $500 for the Warner one, but the refund was for $30
Do y'alls refunds look right? I was owed $3 for the Palestine vs Kyrgyz market and $500 for the Warner one, but the refund was for $30
tbh I think they clarified it based on irregular activity + the comment I put in the market and not this chat
tbh I think they clarified it based on irregular activity + the comment I put in the market and not this chat
yeah I wish we got some updates on this
yeah I wish we got some updates on this
I got 4 separate failed settlements tonight, all on different markets. Not sure how to get the txhash, but the most recent settlementId is `019eb5af-2921-7c38-b043-ac8836598b7d`
I got 4 separate failed settlements tonight, all on different markets. Not sure how to get the txhash, but the most recent settlementId is `019eb5af-2921-7c38-b043-ac8836598b7d`
the clarification said that losing shares get a refund tho
the clarification said that losing shares get a refund tho
if you hover the chrome tab it'll say like 1.3GB memory
if you hover the chrome tab it'll say like 1.3GB memory
some kalshi tabs have memory leaks
some kalshi tabs have memory leaks
kinda defeats the whole decentralized thing if poly is gonna write ambiguous rules and then constantly step in tho
kinda defeats the whole decentralized thing if poly is gonna write ambiguous rules and then constantly step in tho
The rules were written pretty stupidly, and following them strictly would be strange. Like if it's a close contest but then one candidate starts to pull ahead, say to like 80/20 odds, then the market has to start factoring the possibility of the 20% candidate dropping out and the election getting canceled
The rules were written pretty stupidly, and following them strictly would be strange. Like if it's a close contest but then one candidate starts to pull ahead, say to like 80/20 odds, then the market has to start factoring the possibility of the 20% candidate dropping out and the election getting canceled
and then https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner Source: https://ballotpedia.org/New_York_gubernatorial_and_lieutenant_gubernatorial_election,_2026_(June_23_Republican_primary)
and then https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-republican-primary-winner Source: https://ballotpedia.org/New_York_gubernatorial_and_lieutenant_gubernatorial_election,_2026_(June_23_Republican_primary)
These markets have the same exact edge case. https://polymarket.com/event/ny-8-democratic-primary-winner Source: https://ballotpedia.org/New_York's_8th_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_23_Democratic_primary)
These markets have the same exact edge case. https://polymarket.com/event/ny-8-democratic-primary-winner Source: https://ballotpedia.org/New_York's_8th_Congressional_District_election,_2026_(June_23_Democratic_primary)
I'll try again
I'll try again
Thank you lol
Thank you lol
“You can subscribe to the RSS changelog at /changelog/rss.xml if you’d like to stay ahead of breaking changes.”
“You can subscribe to the RSS changelog at /changelog/rss.xml if you’d like to stay ahead of breaking changes.”
Assuming no Poly clarification, what's your take on the odds of how UMA goes?
Assuming no Poly clarification, what's your take on the odds of how UMA goes?
Same applies to NY08 Dem and NY Gov Rep primaries. Originally I thought Other was the intended outcome for these scenarios, I specifically excluded those states for arbing with Kalshi cause Kalshi uses nominee. Market disagrees for now but I think theres a solid argument for Other and Im kinda loaded up now for the coinflip
Same applies to NY08 Dem and NY Gov Rep primaries. Originally I thought Other was the intended outcome for these scenarios, I specifically excluded those states for arbing with Kalshi cause Kalshi uses nominee. Market disagrees for now but I think theres a solid argument for Other and Im kinda loaded up now for the coinflip
sketchy source ngl, figured it would at least go off the fifa website to resolve early
sketchy source ngl, figured it would at least go off the fifa website to resolve early
Who's the election guy? <@941405798096076880> ?
Who's the election guy? <@941405798096076880> ?
Agree on spirit. But where do you see uncontested? https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Virginia,_2026 Every page I see says "canceled"
Agree on spirit. But where do you see uncontested? https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Virginia,_2026 Every page I see says "canceled"
My understanding is that uncontested is different, that is where you go to vote but only 1 candidate is on the ballot (Warner). But in this case there isn't any election or ballot at all. He just becomes the nominee
My understanding is that uncontested is different, that is where you go to vote but only 1 candidate is on the ballot (Warner). But in this case there isn't any election or ballot at all. He just becomes the nominee
also what happened to https://polymarket.com/sports/fifa-friendlies/fif-bah1-syr-2026-06-09 ? the game is not canceled or anything, but already resolved to "draw"
also what happened to https://polymarket.com/sports/fifa-friendlies/fif-bah1-syr-2026-06-09 ? the game is not canceled or anything, but already resolved to "draw"
oh that's the rules for a spread market, probably different from the moneyline
oh that's the rules for a spread market, probably different from the moneyline
and yeah why not draw?
and yeah why not draw?
The rules and ticker both said June 9? Is this just cause it said the wrong score at the top?
The rules and ticker both said June 9? Is this just cause it said the wrong score at the top?
at the very least the rules need to be cleaned up here, there are like 10+ states that cancel primaries like that
at the very least the rules need to be cleaned up here, there are like 10+ states that cancel primaries like that
Possible UMA coinflip, lmk if I'm trippin Market: https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-democratic-senate-primary-winner Rules: "If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to 'Other'." Source: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/casting-a-ballot/candidate-list/ "There will not be a U.S. Senate Democratic Primary." Virginia cancels uncontested primaries. So while Warner will be the nominee, I believe the market should resolve to "Other" according to the "no primary takes place" clause, since the market rules don't take the nominee into consideration at all and are completely based on the actual election.
Possible UMA coinflip, lmk if I'm trippin Market: https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-democratic-senate-primary-winner Rules: "If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to 'Other'." Source: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/casting-a-ballot/candidate-list/ "There will not be a U.S. Senate Democratic Primary." Virginia cancels uncontested primaries. So while Warner will be the nominee, I believe the market should resolve to "Other" according to the "no primary takes place" clause, since the market rules don't take the nominee into consideration at all and are completely based on the actual election.
♾️ RTT
♾️ RTT
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