Polymarketyes
yes
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yes
no way they dropped korea to 8c after that goal
no way they dropped korea to 8c after that goal
yeah you can tell
yeah you can tell
in the current world cup matches there is still huge non-bot presence that effects the prices by a huge margin
in the current world cup matches there is still huge non-bot presence that effects the prices by a huge margin
i ll say this tho
i ll say this tho
very true
very true
past performance is included but mostly the present performance on the field so far
past performance is included but mostly the present performance on the field so far
. this is the nuance
. this is the nuance
because people up pile on the score not the bigger picture
because people up pile on the score not the bigger picture
but then recovered since they are still the better team and still had dominance
but then recovered since they are still the better team and still had dominance
and then conceded
and then conceded
got a bit unlucky in a single position after not being able to finish on multiple attempts
got a bit unlucky in a single position after not being able to finish on multiple attempts
no they were playing relatively well
no they were playing relatively well
but still its a slip up
but still its a slip up
for example korea dominated the game, they had a single slip-up and conceded
for example korea dominated the game, they had a single slip-up and conceded
usually speaking by just watching the match
usually speaking by just watching the match
especially on a national cup
especially on a national cup
building an actual persistent edge model on football is pretty much impossible
building an actual persistent edge model on football is pretty much impossible
like on median US is still better true but the diff is much tinier
like on median US is still better true but the diff is much tinier
they beat Argentina and Brazil in qualifying
they beat Argentina and Brazil in qualifying
use it
use it
thats why you have your head
thats why you have your head
you dont need a model
you dont need a model
also its backward-looking so very very impractical
also its backward-looking so very very impractical
very blunt
very blunt
just look up the formula they use
just look up the formula they use
FIFA rankings dont mean shit
FIFA rankings dont mean shit
US is overpriced slop just because they have homefield advantage
US is overpriced slop just because they have homefield advantage
LOL
LOL
if ur so smart find it nigga
if ur so smart find it nigga
dumb af
dumb af
like mfs today sent korea straight the 8c when czechia scored
like mfs today sent korea straight the 8c when czechia scored
and not size too big
and not size too big
just need to be smarter than the crowd
just need to be smarter than the crowd
you dont really need to
you dont really need to
is the peace in the room with US bro
is the peace in the room with US bro
bet on soccer
bet on soccer
only on average cases
only on average cases
doesnt really matter on the ev, you can make 100 +EV bets and the -EV side can still win 100 of them in the end
doesnt really matter on the ev, you can make 100 +EV bets and the -EV side can still win 100 of them in the end
thats why i said if u are unlucky in the end
thats why i said if u are unlucky in the end
yeah **likely**
yeah **likely**
it is
it is
you can make the most +EV bets ever in the history and it would still look choppy if you are unlucky in the end
you can make the most +EV bets ever in the history and it would still look choppy if you are unlucky in the end
p&l graph is meaningless
p&l graph is meaningless
GOD buying US x Iran ceasefire over lol
GOD buying US x Iran ceasefire over lol
like at worst very likely that trump will spew some bs
like at worst very likely that trump will spew some bs
not fullport but june 14 and beyond should be above 50c progressively
not fullport but june 14 and beyond should be above 50c progressively
but doubtful its gonna happen
but doubtful its gonna happen
i mean i do think its undervalued for announcement still
i mean i do think its undervalued for announcement still