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TakenOver参与话题 12消息总数 1144

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TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:53:09 Polymarket

Find me the manip wallets as soon as they are created and convince them to keep doing the same things

Find me the manip wallets as soon as they are created and convince them to keep doing the same things

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:43:06 Polymarket

The easiest edge just got wiped as Ohan stopped trading and losing 10k

The easiest edge just got wiped as Ohan stopped trading and losing 10k

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:42:44 Polymarket

Unless you're with them

Unless you're with them

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:42:32 Polymarket

There's no conceivable edge copying manips

There's no conceivable edge copying manips

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:34:25 Polymarket

They fight, fail, barely win and etc.

They fight, fail, barely win and etc.

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:34:18 Polymarket

That's dangerous in terms of execution, you can't know how much to size

That's dangerous in terms of execution, you can't know how much to size

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:33:17 Polymarket

They always do some weird new shit

They always do some weird new shit

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:33:12 Polymarket

You can't model those degenerates

You can't model those degenerates

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:33:01 Polymarket

I do the same, the moment a first move is flagged it's off

I do the same, the moment a first move is flagged it's off

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:31:15 Polymarket

But yeah I'm not finding the effort to profit ratio worth it

But yeah I'm not finding the effort to profit ratio worth it

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:30:57 Polymarket

Definetly can

Definetly can

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:29:32 Polymarket

Yeah, for pretty good reason most of the time

Yeah, for pretty good reason most of the time

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:28:32 Polymarket

Maybe in a couple of markets here and there but nowhere near like it was before

Maybe in a couple of markets here and there but nowhere near like it was before

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:27:51 Polymarket

I'm not seeing makers improperly pricing chainlink in the final seconds until resolution these days

I'm not seeing makers improperly pricing chainlink in the final seconds until resolution these days

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:26:30 Polymarket

Didn't this die since feb?

Didn't this die since feb?

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:25:28 Polymarket

Mustafa's favorite brownian motion

Mustafa's favorite brownian motion

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:25:21 Polymarket

50/50 at the end

50/50 at the end

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:25:00 Polymarket

Then you get a regime shift and you get wiped

Then you get a regime shift and you get wiped

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:24:42 Polymarket

Except the BSM guys <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

Except the BSM guys <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:24:33 Polymarket

Most degens these days have a solid model foundation

Most degens these days have a solid model foundation

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:24:22 Polymarket

And a gnarly good model but that's very hard

And a gnarly good model but that's very hard

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:23:51 Polymarket

Highly doubt, you need a fuck ton of data to conclude any edge

Highly doubt, you need a fuck ton of data to conclude any edge

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:22:25 Polymarket

Market open fills are as toxic as they can get

Market open fills are as toxic as they can get

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:22:07 Polymarket

But that's so foolish

But that's so foolish

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:22:04 Polymarket

Rsi leads makers to pricing options high at start

Rsi leads makers to pricing options high at start

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:20:27 Polymarket

He's just saying that makers are pricing some options high at the start

He's just saying that makers are pricing some options high at the start

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:20:08 Polymarket

He's not claiming an edge

He's not claiming an edge

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:20:02 Polymarket

We misunderstood him

We misunderstood him

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:19:29 Polymarket

Welcome to the club

Welcome to the club

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:18:00 Polymarket

-10k every second

-10k every second

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:17:57 Polymarket

Now without backtesting you will become an Ohan simulator

Now without backtesting you will become an Ohan simulator

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:17:15 Polymarket

Back in the day you could do without any backtesting

Back in the day you could do without any backtesting

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:15:18 Polymarket

Inverse copy trading Ohan is consistently +EV

Inverse copy trading Ohan is consistently +EV

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:14:38 Polymarket

Spoken like a true PM dev

Spoken like a true PM dev

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:01:50 Polymarket

Do NOT overfit

Do NOT overfit

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:01:45 Polymarket

It's easy to overfit

It's easy to overfit

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:01:16 Polymarket

You need a very large walk forward to claim a ~65% prediction rate lol

You need a very large walk forward to claim a ~65% prediction rate lol

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:00:28 Polymarket

Especially during manip hours

Especially during manip hours

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:00:21 Polymarket

Market opens are usually toxic

Market opens are usually toxic

TakenOver 2026-06-08 09:00:03 Polymarket

I am a skeptic of this

I am a skeptic of this

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:56:34 Polymarket

Variance is shitting on us recently 🌹

Variance is shitting on us recently 🌹

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:55:55 Polymarket

Do NOT overfit

Do NOT overfit

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:55:52 Polymarket

The scientists have NOT revealed rhe secret

The scientists have NOT revealed rhe secret

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:55:39 Polymarket

This is as well known as Ohan losing 10k

This is as well known as Ohan losing 10k

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:51:50 Polymarket

It's just 2:51 where you live bro it's not that late

It's just 2:51 where you live bro it's not that late

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:29:21 Polymarket

To receive the alpha

To receive the alpha

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:29:18 Polymarket

You must become a cat

You must become a cat

TakenOver 2026-06-08 08:29:14 Polymarket

Brödhundt

Brödhundt

TakenOver 2026-06-08 07:26:23 Polymarket

I will turn you into cement

I will turn you into cement

TakenOver 2026-06-08 07:25:32 Polymarket

I do NOT want to overfit your insta account

I do NOT want to overfit your insta account

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