Polymarket? The "International Atomic Energy Agency" has nothing to do with "Nuclear issues"?
? The "International Atomic Energy Agency" has nothing to do with "Nuclear issues"?
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共 93 条，显示第 51-93 条"if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”." So yes. Retard
"if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”." So yes. Retard
Yes side is genuinely retarded it's insane. They are taking (1) Out of context (2) Anonymous (3) Outdated (4) Opinion pieces and presenting them as facts. In the meantime we have the literal IEAE saying they CAN NOT CONFIRM whether they are or are not enriching uranium.
Yes side is genuinely retarded it's insane. They are taking (1) Out of context (2) Anonymous (3) Outdated (4) Opinion pieces and presenting them as facts. In the meantime we have the literal IEAE saying they CAN NOT CONFIRM whether they are or are not enriching uranium.
To keep the status quo. Which is NOT agreeing to end enrichment
To keep the status quo. Which is NOT agreeing to end enrichment
Not a single source that is 1) not anonymous 2) from after the MoU 3) not an opinion piece. You keep spouting lies and going in circles.
Not a single source that is 1) not anonymous 2) from after the MoU 3) not an opinion piece. You keep spouting lies and going in circles.
Iran never said it is not enriching. Why do you keep spouting this lie?
Iran never said it is not enriching. Why do you keep spouting this lie?
mid
mid
You are quoting OLD reports from BEFORE the MoU. Completely irrelevant.
You are quoting OLD reports from BEFORE the MoU. Completely irrelevant.
Doesn't work that way. It's not either agreeing to yes or agreeing to no, there can also just be no agreement yet.
Doesn't work that way. It's not either agreeing to yes or agreeing to no, there can also just be no agreement yet.
Still no dates. Still mostly anonymous
Still no dates. Still mostly anonymous
Have you even read it? Please, put your argument and then right under it the quote of clause 9 in the MoU that proves your argument. Please, either do this or your argument is wrong (which it is)
Have you even read it? Please, put your argument and then right under it the quote of clause 9 in the MoU that proves your argument. Please, either do this or your argument is wrong (which it is)
"Iran agreed to a nuclear freeze during the period of negotiations" is a **lie **plain and simple.
"Iran agreed to a nuclear freeze during the period of negotiations" is a **lie **plain and simple.
Add the dates to these screenshots. Theyre mostly outdated and/or anonymous
Add the dates to these screenshots. Theyre mostly outdated and/or anonymous
Agreeing to status quo = NOT agreeing to no enrichment.
Agreeing to status quo = NOT agreeing to no enrichment.
This is a retarded argument. This is like going to your enemy, ALLEGEDLY cutting their legs off, and then saying "see, they publicly agreed to not walk anymore"
This is a retarded argument. This is like going to your enemy, ALLEGEDLY cutting their legs off, and then saying "see, they publicly agreed to not walk anymore"
Not sure why the Yes side keeps flipflopping from argument to argument while recycling old anonymous reports as credible reporting.
Not sure why the Yes side keeps flipflopping from argument to argument while recycling old anonymous reports as credible reporting.
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/how-trumps-deal-with-iran-compares-obamas-2026-06-18/ "Trump’s interim deal outlines only a general path toward curbing Iran’s nuclear activities, with no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window."
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/how-trumps-deal-with-iran-compares-obamas-2026-06-18/ "Trump’s interim deal outlines only a general path toward curbing Iran’s nuclear activities, with no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window."
Michael crowley as source for a market that requires an IRANIAN PUBLIC STATEMENT hahahahahahahahaha
Michael crowley as source for a market that requires an IRANIAN PUBLIC STATEMENT hahahahahahahahaha
Yes.
Yes.
https://x.com/FarsNews_Agency/status/2067978848432505053 "🔴 Foreign Ministry Spokesman: We have no program for IAEA inspections of Iran's nuclear facilities Inspections of facilities to which the IAEA's access has been halted due to military attacks by the United States and the Zionist regime will be contingent on the course of negotiations and their outcome. Inspections of facilities such as Bushehr will continue." Yet another confirmation that there are no inspections happening, not even by the IEAE. Confirming once more that it is IMPOSSIBLE to say this is a P2 as of right now.
https://x.com/FarsNews_Agency/status/2067978848432505053 "🔴 Foreign Ministry Spokesman: We have no program for IAEA inspections of Iran's nuclear facilities Inspections of facilities to which the IAEA's access has been halted due to military attacks by the United States and the Zionist regime will be contingent on the course of negotiations and their outcome. Inspections of facilities such as Bushehr will continue." Yet another confirmation that there are no inspections happening, not even by the IEAE. Confirming once more that it is IMPOSSIBLE to say this is a P2 as of right now.
When you have no argument so you decide to go for the ad hominem
When you have no argument so you decide to go for the ad hominem
People are not scared of this being the truth, people are scared that UMA will be manipulated by a bunch of lying criminals
People are not scared of this being the truth, people are scared that UMA will be manipulated by a bunch of lying criminals
Exactly And on top of that, Iran has been enriching uranium for DECADES and yet still haven't built (or attempted to build) a nuke
Exactly And on top of that, Iran has been enriching uranium for DECADES and yet still haven't built (or attempted to build) a nuke
You can enrich uranium without producing a nuke you moron
You can enrich uranium without producing a nuke you moron
Show me a single credible report of IRAN saying they are not enriching
Show me a single credible report of IRAN saying they are not enriching
“Trump’s interim deal outlines only a general path toward curbing Iran’s nuclear activities, with **no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window.**” -- Reuters
“Trump’s interim deal outlines only a general path toward curbing Iran’s nuclear activities, with **no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window.**” -- Reuters
They never committed to this
They never committed to this
The Iranian position is that they can still enrich, and might still enrich, and will always retain the right to enrich. Aragchi (Iranian FM) literally said the enrichment issue will be discussed in the next 60 days
The Iranian position is that they can still enrich, and might still enrich, and will always retain the right to enrich. Aragchi (Iranian FM) literally said the enrichment issue will be discussed in the next 60 days
"i dont have to prove it, it's just true"
"i dont have to prove it, it's just true"
lmao okay yeah it doesn't work that way
lmao okay yeah it doesn't work that way
"If they are not enriching right now," Can you prove this? The IEAE can't, so if you could that would be very impressive of you!
"If they are not enriching right now," Can you prove this? The IEAE can't, so if you could that would be very impressive of you!
This is not Iran publicly agreeing to it lol. The USA has repeatedly lied about what Iran is / is not doing
This is not Iran publicly agreeing to it lol. The USA has repeatedly lied about what Iran is / is not doing
Absolutely insane how we literally have Reuters saying: “Trump’s interim deal outlines only a general path toward curbing Iran’s nuclear activities, with no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window.” And yet the yestards here are saying it’s P2.
Absolutely insane how we literally have Reuters saying: “Trump’s interim deal outlines only a general path toward curbing Iran’s nuclear activities, with no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window.” And yet the yestards here are saying it’s P2.
P4, not P2. The Yes case depends on one assumption: “status quo = no enrichment.” But the actual MOU never defines status quo that way. It separately says the parties will “discuss the issue of enrichment” in the final deal. Reuters June 18: “no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window.” https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/how-trumps-deal-with-iran-compares-obamas-2026-06-18/ Reuters June 17: “Another sticking point is Iran’s future uranium enrichment” and “Iran says it will not give up its right to enrich.” https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/what-challenges-could-stand-way-final-us-iran-deal-2026-06-17/ AP June 18 headline: “The interim US-Iran deal leaves the fate of Tehran’s nuclear program still to be negotiated.” https://apnews.com/article/d8e5c8ada80c35446d4194201d9a7502 Anadolu, quoting Araghchi: “no final decisions” on uranium enrichment levels or stockpiles. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/irans-foreign-minister-details-proposed-memorandum-with-us-says-war-would-end-across-all-fronts/3965675 Carnegie: “the document’s failure to define the status quo creates problems.” https://carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2026/06/iran-deal-nuclear-weapons-clarity-history IAEA/Grossi: “There are different ranges of enrichment in the current Iranian inventory and we will see what is agreed.” https://media.un.org/unifeed/en/asset/d359/d3591555 This is not a public Iranian pledge to end all enrichment. It is undefined status quo + enrichment left for later negotiation. At minimum ambiguous/unresolved, so P4.
P4, not P2. The Yes case depends on one assumption: “status quo = no enrichment.” But the actual MOU never defines status quo that way. It separately says the parties will “discuss the issue of enrichment” in the final deal. Reuters June 18: “no specific commitments from Tehran other than to discuss nuclear issues in the 60-day window.” https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/how-trumps-deal-with-iran-compares-obamas-2026-06-18/ Reuters June 17: “Another sticking point is Iran’s future uranium enrichment” and “Iran says it will not give up its right to enrich.” https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/what-challenges-could-stand-way-final-us-iran-deal-2026-06-17/ AP June 18 headline: “The interim US-Iran deal leaves the fate of Tehran’s nuclear program still to be negotiated.” https://apnews.com/article/d8e5c8ada80c35446d4194201d9a7502 Anadolu, quoting Araghchi: “no final decisions” on uranium enrichment levels or stockpiles. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/irans-foreign-minister-details-proposed-memorandum-with-us-says-war-would-end-across-all-fronts/3965675 Carnegie: “the document’s failure to define the status quo creates problems.” https://carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2026/06/iran-deal-nuclear-weapons-clarity-history IAEA/Grossi: “There are different ranges of enrichment in the current Iranian inventory and we will see what is agreed.” https://media.un.org/unifeed/en/asset/d359/d3591555 This is not a public Iranian pledge to end all enrichment. It is undefined status quo + enrichment left for later negotiation. At minimum ambiguous/unresolved, so P4.
Exactly this
Exactly this
that they won’t build nuclear weapons. The same promise they have had for literally decades
that they won’t build nuclear weapons. The same promise they have had for literally decades
The rules clearly show it’s not enough lol. Did they publicly agree to END ALL enrichment? No. So it’s not p2
The rules clearly show it’s not enough lol. Did they publicly agree to END ALL enrichment? No. So it’s not p2
What clarification would it need?
What clarification would it need?
You can’t prove that
You can’t prove that
imagine thinking all of this came into existence out of nothing
imagine thinking all of this came into existence out of nothing
you must be atheist
you must be atheist
sell your bags and join the truth, karma will get your ass if you lie for your bags
sell your bags and join the truth, karma will get your ass if you lie for your bags
The rules literally state “Iran publicly agrees” lmao
The rules literally state “Iran publicly agrees” lmao
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