Polymarketthey clarified by vibe and made up rules on the fly multiple times last month
they clarified by vibe and made up rules on the fly multiple times last month
pi参与话题 14消息总数 990
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共 990 条，显示第 801-850 条i dont think that fv of they clarifying this one strictly by rules is even 70c
i dont think that fv of they clarifying this one strictly by rules is even 70c
that a guy 1 month into prediction regrets it
that a guy 1 month into prediction regrets it
who would have thought
who would have thought
"Garrick Wilhelm joined the crowds piling into prediction markets last month. He quickly came to regret it."
"Garrick Wilhelm joined the crowds piling into prediction markets last month. He quickly came to regret it."
"mommy look i'm writing for wsj now" style article
"mommy look i'm writing for wsj now" style article
both markets are doa then
both markets are doa then
it doesnt make any sense
it doesnt make any sense
if this is higher strikes market if they will clarify without thursday they basically cut 8.5m box from it
if this is higher strikes market if they will clarify without thursday they basically cut 8.5m box from it
nothing to dispute yet
nothing to dispute yet
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>
thonker will dispute
thonker will dispute
100% will be disputed unless preclarified
100% will be disputed unless preclarified
gamblers destiny
gamblers destiny
strike123 already lost 500k he made from mstr
strike123 already lost 500k he made from mstr
house already passed, chances it will pass in senate are decent
house already passed, chances it will pass in senate are decent
this will be voted in senate till june 22
this will be voted in senate till june 22
https://polymarket.com/event/congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-june-30
https://polymarket.com/event/congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-june-30
meh, no one wants to scam this 🥱
meh, no one wants to scam this 🥱
but it's still the fact that he said nuclear 5 times on a interview, which was scheduled and recorded on a farm on wisconsin same day, and aired first time exclusively on events coverage live from nbc
but it's still the fact that he said nuclear 5 times on a interview, which was scheduled and recorded on a farm on wisconsin same day, and aired first time exclusively on events coverage live from nbc
need to work with what we have
need to work with what we have
scam horizon is dry
scam horizon is dry
"The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution." same clause
"The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution." same clause
Prerecorded footage from this interview will qualify toward this market's resolution if it is aired within timeframe.
Prerecorded footage from this interview will qualify toward this market's resolution if it is aired within timeframe.
https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-fox-business-interview-on-april-15/will-trump-say-underwater-during-fox-interview-on-wednesday
https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-fox-business-interview-on-april-15/will-trump-say-underwater-during-fox-interview-on-wednesday
dont we have a precedent with prerecorded interview aired first time counts?
dont we have a precedent with prerecorded interview aired first time counts?
any argument against it by rules?
any argument against it by rules?
idk what is the problem here?
idk what is the problem here?
it's in the rules, first time aired exclusive prerecorded interview from farm
it's in the rules, first time aired exclusive prerecorded interview from farm
"If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution."
"If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution."
recorded just now on wisconsin farm
recorded just now on wisconsin farm
says its exclusive NBC interview shown first time
says its exclusive NBC interview shown first time
reporter says it
reporter says it
interview is aired first time
interview is aired first time
"If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution."
"If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution."
there is no clause it should be live
there is no clause it should be live
Reporter says before showing
Reporter says before showing
It's NBC exclusive they are showing it first
It's NBC exclusive they are showing it first
define aired then, when it should be aired?
define aired then, when it should be aired?
but we know it was on wisconsin right, and aired in news live, while coverage was going
but we know it was on wisconsin right, and aired in news live, while coverage was going
"If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution."
"If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution."
Yeah, 5 times trump said it
Yeah, 5 times trump said it
if interview counts just, **5 times he said nuclear** so far just in interview
if interview counts just, **5 times he said nuclear** so far just in interview
+ 2 per wisconsin farmer events
+ 2 per wisconsin farmer events
on a farm
on a farm
3 times just in interview
3 times just in interview
a lot of nuclear
a lot of nuclear
3 times total definitely said
3 times total definitely said
watching interview, 2 on wisconsin farmer speech, atleast 1 at the interview on the farm
watching interview, 2 on wisconsin farmer speech, atleast 1 at the interview on the farm
right on this farm
right on this farm