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pi 2026-06-15 03:22:30 Polymarket

We don’t know us Israel internals for sure

We don’t know us Israel internals for sure

pi 2026-06-15 03:22:17 Polymarket

Idk it all may be Pete 4d chess

Idk it all may be Pete 4d chess

pi 2026-06-15 03:20:55 Polymarket

Depends on Israel decision to retaliate or not

Depends on Israel decision to retaliate or not

pi 2026-06-15 03:10:03 Polymarket

not if you're airspace quant <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

not if you're airspace quant <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

pi 2026-06-15 03:09:09 Polymarket

if something related to strike happens

if something related to strike happens

pi 2026-06-15 03:08:53 Polymarket

you can literally make 2-4x in 15 minutes on iran airspace

you can literally make 2-4x in 15 minutes on iran airspace

pi 2026-06-15 03:08:21 Polymarket

it's every time like this, airspace rollercoaster is the best

it's every time like this, airspace rollercoaster is the best

pi 2026-06-15 03:06:09 Polymarket

yeah it was like this, that' why you wait for notam

yeah it was like this, that' why you wait for notam

pi 2026-06-15 03:01:43 Polymarket

Yes it's not listed in the rules, but icaa listed. You can buy just icaa announcement if you can verify it's real, cause notam will follow if icaa will announce. But there were precedents already whith fake media coverage on icaa announcements, so real 100% way to guarantee it's closed it just wait for notam.

Yes it's not listed in the rules, but icaa listed. You can buy just icaa announcement if you can verify it's real, cause notam will follow if icaa will announce. But there were precedents already whith fake media coverage on icaa announcements, so real 100% way to guarantee it's closed it just wait for notam.

pi 2026-06-15 02:58:17 Polymarket

You cannot close airspace without notam cause pilots and dispatchers are not sitting and reading twitter to be aware of the airspace situation

You cannot close airspace without notam cause pilots and dispatchers are not sitting and reading twitter to be aware of the airspace situation

pi 2026-06-15 02:57:34 Polymarket

Other way it's the clear icaa announcement, but notam will be issued if it's clear closure

Other way it's the clear icaa announcement, but notam will be issued if it's clear closure

pi 2026-06-15 02:55:30 Polymarket

Just wait for icaa and notam, if it's closed - they will announce and close it, what's the problem

Just wait for icaa and notam, if it's closed - they will announce and close it, what's the problem

pi 2026-06-15 02:54:55 Polymarket

Primary source is icaa, also there is list of airports 2/5 of which needs to be closed, you cannot clearly say which airports are closed to fulfill the rules unless notam or icaa clear announcement. That's why you can't just use twitter announcement from tasnim to resolve it.

Primary source is icaa, also there is list of airports 2/5 of which needs to be closed, you cannot clearly say which airports are closed to fulfill the rules unless notam or icaa clear announcement. That's why you can't just use twitter announcement from tasnim to resolve it.

pi 2026-06-15 02:51:25 Polymarket

it's the same situation as with every iran closure

it's the same situation as with every iran closure

pi 2026-06-15 02:51:14 Polymarket

Everything i can say atm it's not closed until notam, and there probably will not be notam until icaa make announcement that they are closing it

Everything i can say atm it's not closed until notam, and there probably will not be notam until icaa make announcement that they are closing it

pi 2026-06-15 02:49:34 Polymarket

So far no official confirmation from ICAA, and notam, can't follow this closure though i'm from phone atm

So far no official confirmation from ICAA, and notam, can't follow this closure though i'm from phone atm

pi 2026-06-15 02:42:16 Polymarket

it's just a projection of what happening in the country, there is struggle in internal politics, Pezeshkian fraction wants peace asap since feb on practically any terms to stabilize economy at any cost, IRGC want to press US for better terms knowing they also want to get over with the war asap

it's just a projection of what happening in the country, there is struggle in internal politics, Pezeshkian fraction wants peace asap since feb on practically any terms to stabilize economy at any cost, IRGC want to press US for better terms knowing they also want to get over with the war asap

pi 2026-06-14 19:01:24 Polymarket

barak baiting iran

barak baiting iran

pi 2026-06-14 18:56:56 Polymarket

also this one is good for context

also this one is good for context

pi 2026-06-14 18:56:47 Polymarket

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/the-iranian-enforcer-driving-tehrans-hard-bargaining-with-the-u-s-b848e67c?mod=hp_lead_pos3

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/the-iranian-enforcer-driving-tehrans-hard-bargaining-with-the-u-s-b848e67c?mod=hp_lead_pos3

pi 2026-06-14 18:56:33 Polymarket

WSJ yesterday

WSJ yesterday

pi 2026-06-14 18:55:45 Polymarket

hard to say how it will unfold

hard to say how it will unfold

pi 2026-06-14 18:55:31 Polymarket

iran is under heavy internal struggle on this agreement, and it's also truth that they want to delay it as much as possible

iran is under heavy internal struggle on this agreement, and it's also truth that they want to delay it as much as possible

pi 2026-06-14 17:56:26 Polymarket

He’ll live through this

He’ll live through this

pi 2026-06-14 17:53:58 Polymarket

<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

<:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

pi 2026-06-14 17:45:43 Polymarket

I have a gut feeling it will not be signed today

I have a gut feeling it will not be signed today

pi 2026-06-14 15:12:50 Polymarket

lol

lol

pi 2026-06-14 15:12:43 Polymarket

"Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency said on Saturday that Iranian officials would not allow any nuclear agreement with the U.S to be signed on Sunday, which coincides with U.S. President Donald Trump’s birthday"

"Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency said on Saturday that Iranian officials would not allow any nuclear agreement with the U.S to be signed on Sunday, which coincides with U.S. President Donald Trump’s birthday"

pi 2026-06-14 15:10:24 Polymarket

not if you are the main source of truth, everyone around just quoting your jewish friend which is telling everyone it's divorce papers, and your wife is a lying bitch

not if you are the main source of truth, everyone around just quoting your jewish friend which is telling everyone it's divorce papers, and your wife is a lying bitch

pi 2026-06-14 15:07:46 Polymarket

Better analogue will be "On the 13th we might be signing agreement with my wife". Everyone around knows it's divorce papers, and your wife said it's divorce papers but for some reason you havent said it and calling it just and "agreement signing" for purpose.

Better analogue will be "On the 13th we might be signing agreement with my wife". Everyone around knows it's divorce papers, and your wife said it's divorce papers but for some reason you havent said it and calling it just and "agreement signing" for purpose.

pi 2026-06-14 07:58:36 Polymarket

they dont need to meet

they dont need to meet

pi 2026-06-14 07:58:16 Polymarket

they can do it same way through mediation of pakistan

they can do it same way through mediation of pakistan

pi 2026-06-14 07:58:06 Polymarket

why is pakistan so high, cause of "future technical talks"?

why is pakistan so high, cause of "future technical talks"?

pi 2026-06-14 07:55:21 Polymarket

i bet cause they still doubt that iran will not bail out last minute

i bet cause they still doubt that iran will not bail out last minute

pi 2026-06-14 07:55:07 Polymarket

idk why but US officials avoid ceasefire, peace, halt of military etc for some reason

idk why but US officials avoid ceasefire, peace, halt of military etc for some reason

pi 2026-06-14 07:53:14 Polymarket

it is not enough

it is not enough

pi 2026-06-14 07:53:00 Polymarket

based on the breefing from officials we expect yadayada

based on the breefing from officials we expect yadayada

pi 2026-06-14 07:52:06 Polymarket

imagine trump surprise announce

imagine trump surprise announce

pi 2026-06-14 07:47:32 Polymarket

ah no, 30k

ah no, 30k

pi 2026-06-14 07:47:26 Polymarket

he'll get 40k if he will win too

he'll get 40k if he will win too

pi 2026-06-14 07:46:35 Polymarket

40k in 4 hours not bad at all

40k in 4 hours not bad at all

pi 2026-06-14 07:46:13 Polymarket

free 40k for the guy

free 40k for the guy

pi 2026-06-14 07:44:28 Polymarket

he'll win if nothing will came out

he'll win if nothing will came out

pi 2026-06-14 07:41:51 Polymarket

great that is fantastic agreement, but would be greater if they would say ANYTHING about they extended ceasefire or halted military activities

great that is fantastic agreement, but would be greater if they would say ANYTHING about they extended ceasefire or halted military activities

pi 2026-06-14 07:32:11 Polymarket

some details yes, no details on ceasefire though

some details yes, no details on ceasefire though

pi 2026-06-14 07:31:59 Polymarket

you have agreement, but no details from US

you have agreement, but no details from US

pi 2026-06-14 07:31:47 Polymarket

yeah and you are missing just these details announced from US

yeah and you are missing just these details announced from US

pi 2026-06-14 07:31:14 Polymarket

i have my Y on later dates

i have my Y on later dates

pi 2026-06-14 07:31:07 Polymarket

if someone have the ace go and resolve

if someone have the ace go and resolve

pi 2026-06-14 07:31:00 Polymarket

i already answered, never spoken about ceasefire or halting military from official US sources, it's needed by the rules

i already answered, never spoken about ceasefire or halting military from official US sources, it's needed by the rules

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