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Thonker参与话题 26消息总数 1397

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Thonker 2026-06-05 15:49:46 Polymarket

I have an exploit, I can put any damn price on the books I want

I have an exploit, I can put any damn price on the books I want

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:49:24 Polymarket

I have a sell at 100.1c

I have a sell at 100.1c

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:49:06 Polymarket

"It's not x — it's y" <:sobpray:1476012617007894548>

"It's not x — it's y" <:sobpray:1476012617007894548>

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:48:53 Polymarket

"Let's unpack this" <:sobpray:1476012617007894548>

"Let's unpack this" <:sobpray:1476012617007894548>

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:48:12 Polymarket

ChatGPT can't emulate my wonderfully discursive and parenthetical prose

ChatGPT can't emulate my wonderfully discursive and parenthetical prose

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:46:42 Polymarket

I think ultimately the P2 argument boils down to the fact that the P1 argument that it doesn't count because it's a vote on if a vote will be held on sucession is a false dichotomy — it's both a vote on if a vote on secession will be held and a non-binding vote on secession due to the (somewhat bizarre) way the question is formed

I think ultimately the P2 argument boils down to the fact that the P1 argument that it doesn't count because it's a vote on if a vote will be held on sucession is a false dichotomy — it's both a vote on if a vote on secession will be held and a non-binding vote on secession due to the (somewhat bizarre) way the question is formed

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:42:03 Polymarket

Real ones move in silence 🤫

Real ones move in silence 🤫

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:41:57 Polymarket

Love the sharpies that are all furtive about it 🤫

Love the sharpies that are all furtive about it 🤫

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:41:45 Polymarket

pi is a secret sharp 🤫

pi is a secret sharp 🤫

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:41:33 Polymarket

He just communicates in an ESL/AI-like way

He just communicates in an ESL/AI-like way

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:41:26 Polymarket

pi isn't a retard

pi isn't a retard

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:39:43 Polymarket

He made a ton of money on Microstrategy and singlehandedly saved the airspace market from misresolving

He made a ton of money on Microstrategy and singlehandedly saved the airspace market from misresolving

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:39:24 Polymarket

fr, omg that guy must have such a big cock

fr, omg that guy must have such a big cock

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:38:41 Polymarket

I don't think there would be something else before EOY

I don't think there would be something else before EOY

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:38:31 Polymarket

I love price arguments when the price is 75c, meaning the market actually leans toward it counting

I love price arguments when the price is 75c, meaning the market actually leans toward it counting

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:38:04 Polymarket

Price was at 1c for No bro!!! Gr33dy is a scammer bro, market decided it was a Yes!

Price was at 1c for No bro!!! Gr33dy is a scammer bro, market decided it was a Yes!

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:37:42 Polymarket

Why didn't you buy bro????

Why didn't you buy bro????

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:34:29 Polymarket

Remember the time Canada and Mexico got steel tariffs imposed on them and it was widely reported on every outlet on the planet and the market was at 2c at the end of the market timeframe and it got proposed Yes at the end of like April for the EO that happened in February that did that? I remember

Remember the time Canada and Mexico got steel tariffs imposed on them and it was widely reported on every outlet on the planet and the market was at 2c at the end of the market timeframe and it got proposed Yes at the end of like April for the EO that happened in February that did that? I remember

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:33:18 Polymarket

It's been at 75c for a long time

It's been at 75c for a long time

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:33:04 Polymarket

I've transcended monetary desires. 🪷

I've transcended monetary desires. 🪷

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:32:27 Polymarket

Was literally weeks

Was literally weeks

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:32:21 Polymarket

Yeah I was surprised how long it went basically undiscussed here

Yeah I was surprised how long it went basically undiscussed here

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:30:28 Polymarket

asshole I was just on the page

asshole I was just on the page

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:30:16 Polymarket

who stole my proposal

who stole my proposal

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:27:58 Polymarket

Not nary a one

Not nary a one

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:27:51 Polymarket

I don't recognize a single one of these niggas

I don't recognize a single one of these niggas

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:27:41 Polymarket

what sharps bro

what sharps bro

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:27:00 Polymarket

Has literally NEVER EVER EVER happened and when someone says it's available it's ALWAYS a scam.

Has literally NEVER EVER EVER happened and when someone says it's available it's ALWAYS a scam.

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:26:40 Polymarket

There's NEVER free money on Polymarket on something that's already happened.

There's NEVER free money on Polymarket on something that's already happened.

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:26:12 Polymarket

I'm just more eloquent

I'm just more eloquent

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:25:52 Polymarket

Yeah but you do -- not —

Yeah but you do -- not —

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:24:05 Polymarket

That it's just a vote to hold a vote on sucession, but I think I defeated that with my argument above

That it's just a vote to hold a vote on sucession, but I think I defeated that with my argument above

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:23:45 Polymarket

Media charaterizations are also somewhat unfriendly to the P1 interpretation

Media charaterizations are also somewhat unfriendly to the P1 interpretation

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:21:58 Polymarket

Hyphens are for hypenated compounds — dashes are a punctuation mark that marks an abrupt chance in a sentence.

Hyphens are for hypenated compounds — dashes are a punctuation mark that marks an abrupt chance in a sentence.

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:21:01 Polymarket

It's a DASH not a HYPHEN

It's a DASH not a HYPHEN

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:20:47 Polymarket

It's the proper way to do it

It's the proper way to do it

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:20:24 Polymarket

I was typing for 5 years I take offense to the idea I was using AI <:sobpray:1476012617007894548>

I was typing for 5 years I take offense to the idea I was using AI <:sobpray:1476012617007894548>

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:20:09 Polymarket

option shift -

option shift -

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:19:38 Polymarket

Yes I use em dashes — no I'm not an AI

Yes I use em dashes — no I'm not an AI

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:19:29 Polymarket

———————

———————

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:19:23 Polymarket

option shift - bro

option shift - bro

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:19:17 Polymarket

Windows user spotted

Windows user spotted

Thonker 2026-06-05 15:16:19 Polymarket

I discussed this extensively with someone else — I'm almost tempted to say it should be P4 -> P3 due to how the question is formed. This is a market on if Canada will hold a vote, binding or non-binding, on if any provincial government in Canada will schedule a referendum for secession. Non-binding votes qualify. An example of a non-binding vote would be a vote that establishes a desire to secede from Canada, but if passed has no legal power to actually do that. Attached is an example of a non-binding vote in the political primaries for a state in the US (namely, Texas). The question asks if Texas "should prohibit denial of healthcare or any medical service based solely on the patient's vaccination status." If passed, this vote has no legal power. It's non-binding. The Alberta referendum has been characterized as non-binding. This means that once passed, it has no legal power to force secession from Canada. The exact wording of the question is: "Should Alberta remain a province of Canada or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?" This has been characterized as non-binding. But it *is* binding for something. It's binding in that it legally binds Alberta to hold a binding vote on secession. The question is a bit fragmented and borders on the grammatically improper. It kinda asks a question in a way that imposes a false dichotomy, right? The alternative to holding a vote on secession is not a lack of a desire to secede, and the converse is also true. The answers to the question are: "Hold Seperation Referendum" or "Remain in Canada" The question is asking, in perhaps a manner that imposes a false dichotomy on its voters, two questions: "Do you want to remain in Canada" and "Do you want to hold a binding vote on remaining in Canada"? The first question is non-binding. The second is binding. The non-binding desire to leave Canada portion still applies and qualifies under the rule. Additionally, media have charaterized this as a non-binding secession question. It counts.

I discussed this extensively with someone else — I'm almost tempted to say it should be P4 -> P3 due to how the question is formed. This is a market on if Canada will hold a vote, binding or non-binding, on if any provincial government in Canada will schedule a referendum for secession. Non-binding votes qualify. An example of a non-binding vote would be a vote that establishes a desire to secede from Canada, but if passed has no legal power to actually do that. Attached is an example of a non-binding vote in the political primaries for a state in the US (namely, Texas). The question asks if Texas "should prohibit denial of healthcare or any medical service based solely on the patient's vaccination status." If passed, this vote has no legal power. It's non-binding. The Alberta referendum has been characterized as non-binding. This means that once passed, it has no legal power to force secession from Canada. The exact wording of the question is: "Should Alberta remain a province of Canada or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?" This has been characterized as non-binding. But it *is* binding for something. It's binding in that it legally binds Alberta to hold a binding vote on secession. The question is a bit fragmented and borders on the grammatically improper. It kinda asks a question in a way that imposes a false dichotomy, right? The alternative to holding a vote on secession is not a lack of a desire to secede, and the converse is also true. The answers to the question are: "Hold Seperation Referendum" or "Remain in Canada" The question is asking, in perhaps a manner that imposes a false dichotomy on its voters, two questions: "Do you want to remain in Canada" and "Do you want to hold a binding vote on remaining in Canada"? The first question is non-binding. The second is binding. The non-binding desire to leave Canada portion still applies and qualifies under the rule. Additionally, media have charaterized this as a non-binding secession question. It counts.

Thonker 2026-06-05 08:48:29 Polymarket

We have daily Trump insult markets. Might Trump daily *praise* markets be a nice addition? <a:thonkSpin:662106139344764929>

We have daily Trump insult markets. Might Trump daily *praise* markets be a nice addition? <a:thonkSpin:662106139344764929>

Thonker 2026-06-05 07:09:54 Polymarket

I stand by this btw You can read every word clear as day

I stand by this btw You can read every word clear as day

Thonker 2026-06-05 07:08:42 Polymarket

It was clear

It was clear

Thonker 2026-06-05 07:08:36 Polymarket

I was upset initially too but then I actually read the rule 💀

I was upset initially too but then I actually read the rule 💀

Thonker 2026-06-05 07:08:26 Polymarket

The credible reporting was for the reopening

The credible reporting was for the reopening

Thonker 2026-06-05 07:05:03 Polymarket

I'm eternally grateful

I'm eternally grateful

Thonker 2026-06-05 07:04:50 Polymarket

He said the site wouldn't update and it didn't

He said the site wouldn't update and it didn't

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